How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Cathay Pacific Airways
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 34.0% of 2,193 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 66.0% of 2,193 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
34.0% of 2,193 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34.0% of 2,193 movements | 0.7% of 2,193 movements | 33.4–60.5 minutes; delayed denominator 730–1,258 | 1.0% of 2,193 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
1.0% of 2,193 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 0.7% of 2,193 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 33.3% of 2,193 movements | 3.0 |
| More than 30 minutes | 17.7% of 2,193 movements | 5.6 |
| More than 60 minutes | 6.5% of 2,193 movements | 15.4 |
| More than 120 minutes | 2.1% of 2,193 movements | 46.7 |
| More than 180 minutes | 1.0% of 2,193 movements | 104.4 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.5% of 2,193 movements | 182.8 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
2.1% of 2,193 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Sep 2021, 7.5% of 107 movements. Worst month: Jul 2022, 67.3% of 55 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 31.1% of 209 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 14.1% of 192 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 37.1% of 213 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 51.8% of 197 movements |
| May 2018 | 16.7% of 192 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 24.1% of 203 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 9.2% of 217 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 19.8% of 217 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 35.7% of 210 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 26.1% of 203 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 25.8% of 194 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 27.9% of 208 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 13.9% of 202 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 23.7% of 190 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 35.6% of 202 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 46.7% of 210 movements |
| May 2019 | 28.6% of 192 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 29.4% of 201 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 13.0% of 216 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 32.4% of 216 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 20.5% of 210 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 44.7% of 199 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 23.6% of 195 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 19.8% of 207 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 27.4% of 208 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 30.1% of 163 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 13.3% of 75 movements |
| Apr 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Aug 2020 | no events in 22 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Sep 2020 | 4.3% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Oct 2020 | 3.2% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Nov 2020 | no events in 30 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Dec 2020 | 9.7% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jan 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Feb 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Apr 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2021 | 9.1% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Aug 2021 | 4.2% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Sep 2021 | 7.5% of 107 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 21.9% of 64 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 15.4% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Dec 2021 | 17.5% of 57 movements |
| Jan 2022 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Feb 2022 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2022 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Apr 2022 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2022 | 60.7% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jun 2022 | 53.2% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jul 2022 | 67.3% of 55 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 28.3% of 60 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 57.7% of 78 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 62.9% of 62 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 23.8% of 101 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 18.1% of 94 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 15.3% of 111 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 44.2% of 113 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 31.3% of 147 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 34.5% of 142 movements |
| May 2023 | 16.7% of 144 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 31.5% of 149 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 34.0% of 162 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 26.9% of 156 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 43.5% of 170 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 27.2% of 169 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 37.2% of 145 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 53.1% of 145 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 35.8% of 134 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 33.1% of 136 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 18.2% of 148 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 37.3% of 142 movements |
| May 2024 | 28.2% of 149 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 27.1% of 170 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 31.6% of 155 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 36.2% of 160 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 25.3% of 174 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 28.5% of 172 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 11.2% of 161 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 13.3% of 166 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 9.5% of 179 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 10.4% of 164 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 9.3% of 182 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 47.2% of 180 movements |
| May 2025 | 34.9% of 169 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 27.0% of 163 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 24.2% of 186 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 34.8% of 187 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 54.2% of 179 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 47.3% of 186 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 8.9% of 180 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 21.0% of 186 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 32.8% of 186 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 31.5% of 168 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 15.8% of 190 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 65.2% of 184 movements |
| May 2026 | 35.7% of 182 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 36.9% of 179 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 67.3% of 55 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 73.7% of 57 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 26.9% of 156 movements | 33.2% across 1,363 flights | returned after 2 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 43.5% of 154 movements | 47.7% across 1,351 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 9.3% of 182 movements | 23.1% across 1,940 flights | returned after 8 months |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 15.4% of 182 movements | 34.2% across 1,939 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Apr, 46.9% across 6 months. Lowest median: Dec, 20.4% across 6 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 23.2% | 9.5–35.8% | 6 months, 1,021 flights |
| Feb | 27.6% | 10.4–44.2% | 6 months, 963 flights |
| Mar | 24.8% | 9.3–37.1% | 6 months, 1,082 flights |
| Apr | 46.9% | 34.5–65.2% | 6 months, 1,055 flights |
| May | 28.6% | 16.7–60.7% | 7 months, 1,056 flights |
| Jun | 29.4% | 24.1–53.2% | 7 months, 1,112 flights |
| Jul | 27.9% | 9.2–67.3% | 6 months, 991 flights |
| Aug | 30.4% | 19.8–36.2% | 6 months, 996 flights |
| Sep | 39.6% | 20.5–57.7% | 6 months, 1,021 flights |
| Oct | 36.6% | 26.1–62.9% | 6 months, 991 flights |
| Nov | 23.7% | 8.9–37.2% | 6 months, 976 flights |
| Dec | 20.4% | 13.3–53.1% | 6 months, 1,006 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: LHR ↔ HONG-KONG-CHEK-LAP-KOK, 34.0% of 1,828 movements. Highest disruption: MAN ↔ HONG-KONG-CHEK-LAP-KOK, 34.0% of 365 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heathrow ↔ Hong Kong (Chek Lap Kok) | 34.0% of 1,828 movements | 0.7% of 1,828 movements | descriptive comparison |
| MAN ↔ HONG-KONG-CHEK-LAP-KOK | 34.0% of 365 movements | 0.8% of 365 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
2 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Heathrow | 34.0% of 1,828 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 34.0% of 365 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
34.0% of 2,193 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 28.6% of 2,200 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
1.0% of 2,193 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Cathay Pacific Airways appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 13,402 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 6.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
34.0% of 2,193 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
0.7% of 2,193 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
33.4–60.5 minutes; delayed denominator 730–1,258
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.