UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

BHX ↔ DUSSELDORF

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 21.7% of 609 movements arriving into BHX were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 78.3% of 609 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 609 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 21.7% of 609 movements were disrupted and 1.8% of 609 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
21.7% of 609 movements1.8% of 609 movements17.0–53.0 min; N of delayed flights=121–343609
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 1.8% of 609 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min19.9%30 min11.2%60 min3.3%120 min0.2%180 min0.2%360 min0.0%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min19.9% of 609 movements1215.0
>30 min11.2% of 609 movements689.0
>60 min3.3% of 609 movements2030.4
>120 min0.2% of 609 movements1609.0
>180 min0.2% of 609 movements1609.0
>360 minno events in 609 movements0no observed events, which is not zero risk
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

When this route runs late, it is usually only a little late: big blow-ups are rarer here than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early152.5%15–1 early24039.4%0–15 late22236.5%16–30538.7%31–60487.9%61…120193.1%121…18000.0%181…36010.2%>36000.0%D=609
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0099; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Nov 2019, 3.6% of 167 movements. Worst month: Jul 2024, 50.9% of 53 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 38.6%; sample: 1712018Feb 2018: 32.9%; sample: 164Mar 2018: 36.1%; sample: 180Apr 2018: 15.9%; sample: 176May 2018: 26.8%; sample: 179Jun 2018: 29.4%; sample: 163Jul 2018: 28.3%; sample: 173Aug 2018: 24.3%; sample: 173Sep 2018: 41.7%; sample: 168Oct 2018: 20.5%; sample: 185Nov 2018: 13.8%; sample: 196Dec 2018: 15.5%; sample: 168Jan 2019: 18.7%; sample: 1822019Feb 2019: 14.0%; sample: 178Mar 2019: 19.8%; sample: 197Apr 2019: 16.0%; sample: 144May 2019: 18.2%; sample: 159Jun 2019: 28.6%; sample: 147Jul 2019: 34.7%; sample: 150Aug 2019: 27.1%; sample: 129Sep 2019: 29.1%; sample: 141Oct 2019: 26.1%; sample: 153Nov 2019: 3.6%; sample: 167Dec 2019: 19.2%; sample: 156Jan 2020: 7.1%; sample: 1682020Feb 2020: 18.0%; sample: 161Mar 2020: 37.8%; sample: 98Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: 11.1%; sample: 27Aug 2020: 7.7%; sample: 26Sep 2020: 0.0%; sample: 44Oct 2020: 3.7%; sample: 27Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: no data×Jun 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2021: 23.1%; sample: 26Nov 2021: 12.8%; sample: 39Dec 2021: 14.8%; sample: 27Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: 9.6%; sample: 52Apr 2022: 14.0%; sample: 43May 2022: 27.1%; sample: 48Jun 2022: 73.2%; sample: 41Jul 2022: 64.7%; sample: 34Aug 2022: 40.0%; sample: 50Sep 2022: 62.5%; sample: 48Oct 2022: 26.3%; sample: 38Nov 2022: 8.5%; sample: 47Dec 2022: 25.0%; sample: 40Jan 2023: 13.8%; sample: 292023Feb 2023: 13.6%; sample: 44Mar 2023: 30.0%; sample: 50Apr 2023: 27.5%; sample: 51May 2023: 16.4%; sample: 61Jun 2023: 29.6%; sample: 54Jul 2023: 37.0%; sample: 46Aug 2023: 44.0%; sample: 50Sep 2023: 30.5%; sample: 59Oct 2023: 19.3%; sample: 57Nov 2023: 23.9%; sample: 46Dec 2023: 29.3%; sample: 41Jan 2024: 31.2%; sample: 322024Feb 2024: 4.5%; sample: 44Mar 2024: 9.8%; sample: 41Apr 2024: 29.1%; sample: 55May 2024: 23.3%; sample: 60Jun 2024: 46.7%; sample: 60Jul 2024: 50.9%; sample: 53Aug 2024: 20.8%; sample: 48Sep 2024: 50.8%; sample: 59Oct 2024: 25.0%; sample: 56Nov 2024: 6.7%; sample: 45Dec 2024: 23.1%; sample: 39Jan 2025: 19.4%; sample: 362025Feb 2025: 9.5%; sample: 42Mar 2025: 15.6%; sample: 45Apr 2025: 6.1%; sample: 49May 2025: 11.9%; sample: 59Jun 2025: 20.0%; sample: 55Jul 2025: 28.6%; sample: 56Aug 2025: 31.9%; sample: 47Sep 2025: 31.1%; sample: 61Oct 2025: 16.7%; sample: 54Nov 2025: 13.0%; sample: 54Dec 2025: 16.2%; sample: 37Jan 2026: 26.3%; sample: 382026Feb 2026: 12.2%; sample: 41Mar 2026: 12.8%; sample: 47Apr 2026: 16.1%; sample: 56May 2026: 21.3%; sample: 61Jun 2026: 29.8%; sample: 57Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201838.6% of 171 movements
Feb 201832.9% of 164 movements
Mar 201836.1% of 180 movements
Apr 201815.9% of 176 movements
May 201826.8% of 179 movements
Jun 201829.4% of 163 movements
Jul 201828.3% of 173 movements
Aug 201824.3% of 173 movements
Sep 201841.7% of 168 movements
Oct 201820.5% of 185 movements
Nov 201813.8% of 196 movements
Dec 201815.5% of 168 movements
Jan 201918.7% of 182 movements
Feb 201914.0% of 178 movements
Mar 201919.8% of 197 movements
Apr 201916.0% of 144 movements
May 201918.2% of 159 movements
Jun 201928.6% of 147 movements
Jul 201934.7% of 150 movements
Aug 201927.1% of 129 movements
Sep 201929.1% of 141 movements
Oct 201926.1% of 153 movements
Nov 20193.6% of 167 movements
Dec 201919.2% of 156 movements
Jan 20207.1% of 168 movements
Feb 202018.0% of 161 movements
Mar 202037.8% of 98 movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 202011.1% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 20207.7% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 2020no events in 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 20203.7% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021no data
Jun 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 202123.1% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202112.8% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202114.8% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 20229.6% of 52 movements
Apr 202214.0% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202227.1% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202273.2% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202264.7% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202240.0% of 50 movements
Sep 202262.5% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202226.3% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 20228.5% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202225.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202313.8% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202313.6% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202330.0% of 50 movements
Apr 202327.5% of 51 movements
May 202316.4% of 61 movements
Jun 202329.6% of 54 movements
Jul 202337.0% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202344.0% of 50 movements
Sep 202330.5% of 59 movements
Oct 202319.3% of 57 movements
Nov 202323.9% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202329.3% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202431.2% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20244.5% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 20249.8% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202429.1% of 55 movements
May 202423.3% of 60 movements
Jun 202446.7% of 60 movements
Jul 202450.9% of 53 movements
Aug 202420.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202450.8% of 59 movements
Oct 202425.0% of 56 movements
Nov 20246.7% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202423.1% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202519.4% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20259.5% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202515.6% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 20256.1% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202511.9% of 59 movements
Jun 202520.0% of 55 movements
Jul 202528.6% of 56 movements
Aug 202531.9% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202531.1% of 61 movements
Oct 202516.7% of 54 movements
Nov 202513.0% of 54 movements
Dec 202516.2% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202626.3% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202612.2% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202612.8% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202616.1% of 56 movements
May 202621.3% of 61 movements
Jun 202629.8% of 57 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals64.7% of 34 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures79.4% of 34 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals44.0% of 50 movements27.5% across 558 flightsreturned after 2 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures57.1% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked40.0% across 558 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals15.6% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked26.3% across 594 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures24.4% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked31.5% across 594 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

September has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical September, 36.4% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Septembers in the archive. November has been the calmest, at 10.7% across 6 Novembers.

Even September has ranged from 29.1% to 62.5% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201918.7% of 182 movements14.0% of 178 movements19.8% of 197 movements16.0% of 144 movements18.2% of 159 movements28.6% of 147 movements34.7% of 150 movements27.1% of 129 movements29.1% of 141 movements26.1% of 153 movements3.6% of 167 movements19.2% of 156 movements20207.1% of 168 movements18.0% of 161 movements37.8% of 98 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements11.1% of 27 movements †7.7% of 26 movements †no events in 44 movements †3.7% of 27 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datano datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements23.1% of 26 movements †12.8% of 39 movements †14.8% of 27 movements †2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements9.6% of 52 movements14.0% of 43 movements †27.1% of 48 movements †73.2% of 41 movements †64.7% of 34 movements †40.0% of 50 movements62.5% of 48 movements †26.3% of 38 movements †8.5% of 47 movements †25.0% of 40 movements †202313.8% of 29 movements †13.6% of 44 movements †30.0% of 50 movements27.5% of 51 movements16.4% of 61 movements29.6% of 54 movements37.0% of 46 movements †44.0% of 50 movements30.5% of 59 movements19.3% of 57 movements23.9% of 46 movements †29.3% of 41 movements †202431.2% of 32 movements †4.5% of 44 movements †9.8% of 41 movements †29.1% of 55 movements23.3% of 60 movements46.7% of 60 movements50.9% of 53 movements20.8% of 48 movements †50.8% of 59 movements25.0% of 56 movements6.7% of 45 movements †23.1% of 39 movements †202519.4% of 36 movements †9.5% of 42 movements †15.6% of 45 movements †6.1% of 49 movements †11.9% of 59 movements20.0% of 55 movements28.6% of 56 movements31.9% of 47 movements †31.1% of 61 movements16.7% of 54 movements13.0% of 54 movements16.2% of 37 movements †202626.3% of 38 movements †12.2% of 41 movements †12.8% of 47 movements †16.1% of 56 movements21.3% of 61 movements29.8% of 57 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan22.9%13.8–38.6%6 months, 488 flights
Feb12.9%4.5–32.9%6 months, 513 flights
Mar15.6%9.6–36.1%7 months, 612 flights
Apr16.0%6.1–29.1%7 months, 574 flights
May21.3%11.9–27.1%7 months, 627 flights
Jun29.6%20.0–73.2%7 months, 577 flights
Jul35.8%28.3–64.7%6 months, 512 flights
Aug29.5%20.8–44.0%6 months, 497 flights
Sep36.4%29.1–62.5%6 months, 536 flights
Oct22.8%16.7–26.3%6 months, 543 flights
Nov10.7%3.6–23.9%6 months, 555 flights
Dec21.2%15.5–29.3%6 months, 481 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

Only one carrier published enough flights here to report: Eurowings Luftverkehrs, 21.7% of 609 movements disrupted.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEurowings Luftverkehrs21.7% of 609 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Airtanker Servicessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
British Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Eurowings Luftverkehrs60921.7% of 609 movements1.8% of 609 movements0.2% of 609 movementsdescriptive comparison
Flybesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Germanwingssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lufthansasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LHR had the lowest disruption share at 22.5% of 2,874 movements and LGW the highest at 28.7% of 240 movements. This route sits at 21.7% of 609 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionEdi ↔ Dusseldorf28.4% of 278 flightsLgw ↔ Dusseldorf28.7% of 240 flightsLhr ↔ Dusseldorf22.5% of 2,874 flightsMan ↔ Dusseldorf24.1% of 693 flightsNcl ↔ Dusseldorf24.1% of 108 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Bfs ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Boh ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Brs ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Cwl ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Dusseldorf27828.4% of 278 movements0.4% of 278 movementsno events in 278 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ext ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jer ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lcy ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lgw ↔ Dusseldorf24028.7% of 240 movements0.8% of 240 movementsno events in 240 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Dusseldorf2,87422.5% of 2,874 movements0.8% of 2,874 movements0.2% of 2,874 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ltn ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Man ↔ Dusseldorf69324.1% of 693 movements1.0% of 693 movementsno events in 693 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Dusseldorf10824.1% of 108 movements0.9% of 108 movementsno events in 108 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sou ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Stn ↔ Dusseldorfsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into BHX ran 21.7% of 609 movements disrupted, departures 28.9% of 610 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into BHX21.7% of 609 movements1.8% of 609 movements0.2% of 609 movements
Departures from BHX28.9% of 610 movements2.0% of 610 movements0.2% of 610 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202617 flights out of 7,24117 × £220 = £3,740
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 20262 flights out of 2,8072 × £220 = £440
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202623 flights out of 7,23723 × £220 = £5,060
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 20266 flights out of 2,8076 × £220 = £1,320
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportBIRMINGHAM · BHX
Final point / countryDUSSELDORF / GERMANY
Final point codesDUS / EDDL
Great-circle distance598 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£220
Average operated arrivals per day1.64
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive93

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 609; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

21.7% of 609 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

1.8% of 609 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.2% of 609 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

chronically slightly late. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

598 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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