UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

LGW ↔ LARNACA

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 35.8% of 1,204 movements arriving into LGW were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 64.2% of 1,204 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 109 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 35.8% of 1,204 movements were disrupted and 1.6% of 1,204 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
35.8% of 1,204 movements1.6% of 1,204 movements31.7–57.2 min; N of delayed flights=412–7061,204
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 1.6% of 1,204 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min34.2%30 min20.5%60 min7.0%120 min2.0%180 min0.9%360 min0.2%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min34.2% of 1,204 movements4122.9
>30 min20.5% of 1,204 movements2474.9
>60 min7.0% of 1,204 movements8414.3
>120 min2.0% of 1,204 movements2450.2
>180 min0.9% of 1,204 movements11109.5
>360 min0.2% of 1,204 movements2602.0
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early17314.4%15–1 early30625.4%0–15 late29424.4%16–3016513.7%31–6016313.5%61…120605.0%121…180131.1%181…36090.7%>36020.2%D=1,204
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0335; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Nov 2025, 1.4% of 73 movements. Worst month: Jun 2022, 88.3% of 120 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 25.5%; sample: 472018Feb 2018: 19.6%; sample: 46Mar 2018: 25.5%; sample: 55Apr 2018: 31.0%; sample: 84May 2018: 41.7%; sample: 120Jun 2018: 49.6%; sample: 131Jul 2018: 54.2%; sample: 131Aug 2018: 39.8%; sample: 133Sep 2018: 42.7%; sample: 131Oct 2018: 25.7%; sample: 105Nov 2018: 29.6%; sample: 27Dec 2018: 44.0%; sample: 25Jan 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2019Feb 2019: 18.2%; sample: 22Mar 2019: 23.1%; sample: 26Apr 2019: 29.2%; sample: 48May 2019: 38.8%; sample: 80Jun 2019: 62.8%; sample: 86Jul 2019: 72.0%; sample: 93Aug 2019: 63.8%; sample: 94Sep 2019: 52.4%; sample: 84Oct 2019: 34.4%; sample: 64Nov 2019: 29.6%; sample: 27Dec 2019: 48.0%; sample: 25Jan 2020: 10.0%; sample: 202020Feb 2020: 47.8%; sample: 23Mar 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2020: 5.7%; sample: 35Oct 2020: 7.7%; sample: 26Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: 21.6%; sample: 37Sep 2021: 12.5%; sample: 40Oct 2021: 21.4%; sample: 42Nov 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2021: 0.0%; sample: 24Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: 17.9%; sample: 28Apr 2022: 59.1%; sample: 66May 2022: 76.8%; sample: 99Jun 2022: 88.3%; sample: 120Jul 2022: 78.8%; sample: 104Aug 2022: 77.2%; sample: 123Sep 2022: 84.1%; sample: 126Oct 2022: 63.6%; sample: 118Nov 2022: 15.4%; sample: 52Dec 2022: 37.9%; sample: 58Jan 2023: 32.7%; sample: 492023Feb 2023: 20.0%; sample: 45Mar 2023: 50.9%; sample: 53Apr 2023: 55.4%; sample: 74May 2023: 63.9%; sample: 83Jun 2023: 75.5%; sample: 102Jul 2023: 76.3%; sample: 114Aug 2023: 60.0%; sample: 110Sep 2023: 59.5%; sample: 116Oct 2023: 62.5%; sample: 112Nov 2023: 17.0%; sample: 47Dec 2023: 34.3%; sample: 35Jan 2024: 27.6%; sample: 292024Feb 2024: 15.2%; sample: 33Mar 2024: 13.5%; sample: 37Apr 2024: 28.4%; sample: 74May 2024: 37.0%; sample: 81Jun 2024: 56.7%; sample: 97Jul 2024: 62.6%; sample: 123Aug 2024: 65.6%; sample: 125Sep 2024: 60.2%; sample: 123Oct 2024: 45.4%; sample: 108Nov 2024: 29.0%; sample: 69Dec 2024: 39.2%; sample: 79Jan 2025: 27.3%; sample: 552025Feb 2025: 27.4%; sample: 62Mar 2025: 13.3%; sample: 75Apr 2025: 20.0%; sample: 130May 2025: 36.1%; sample: 133Jun 2025: 50.0%; sample: 136Jul 2025: 50.0%; sample: 144Aug 2025: 45.6%; sample: 149Sep 2025: 54.7%; sample: 148Oct 2025: 31.2%; sample: 138Nov 2025: 1.4%; sample: 73Dec 2025: 14.3%; sample: 70Jan 2026: 32.0%; sample: 502026Feb 2026: 9.4%; sample: 53Mar 2026: 25.0%; sample: 72Apr 2026: 23.9%; sample: 88May 2026: 36.8%; sample: 106Jun 2026: 50.4%; sample: 113Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201825.5% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 201819.6% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201825.5% of 55 movements
Apr 201831.0% of 84 movements
May 201841.7% of 120 movements
Jun 201849.6% of 131 movements
Jul 201854.2% of 131 movements
Aug 201839.8% of 133 movements
Sep 201842.7% of 131 movements
Oct 201825.7% of 105 movements
Nov 201829.6% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201844.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 201918.2% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201923.1% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201929.2% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201938.8% of 80 movements
Jun 201962.8% of 86 movements
Jul 201972.0% of 93 movements
Aug 201963.8% of 94 movements
Sep 201952.4% of 84 movements
Oct 201934.4% of 64 movements
Nov 201929.6% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201948.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202010.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202047.8% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 20205.7% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 20207.7% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 202121.6% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202112.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202121.4% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2021no events in 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 202217.9% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202259.1% of 66 movements
May 202276.8% of 99 movements
Jun 202288.3% of 120 movements
Jul 202278.8% of 104 movements
Aug 202277.2% of 123 movements
Sep 202284.1% of 126 movements
Oct 202263.6% of 118 movements
Nov 202215.4% of 52 movements
Dec 202237.9% of 58 movements
Jan 202332.7% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202320.0% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202350.9% of 53 movements
Apr 202355.4% of 74 movements
May 202363.9% of 83 movements
Jun 202375.5% of 102 movements
Jul 202376.3% of 114 movements
Aug 202360.0% of 110 movements
Sep 202359.5% of 116 movements
Oct 202362.5% of 112 movements
Nov 202317.0% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202334.3% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202427.6% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202415.2% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202413.5% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202428.4% of 74 movements
May 202437.0% of 81 movements
Jun 202456.7% of 97 movements
Jul 202462.6% of 123 movements
Aug 202465.6% of 125 movements
Sep 202460.2% of 123 movements
Oct 202445.4% of 108 movements
Nov 202429.0% of 69 movements
Dec 202439.2% of 79 movements
Jan 202527.3% of 55 movements
Feb 202527.4% of 62 movements
Mar 202513.3% of 75 movements
Apr 202520.0% of 130 movements
May 202536.1% of 133 movements
Jun 202550.0% of 136 movements
Jul 202550.0% of 144 movements
Aug 202545.6% of 149 movements
Sep 202554.7% of 148 movements
Oct 202531.2% of 138 movements
Nov 20251.4% of 73 movements
Dec 202514.3% of 70 movements
Jan 202632.0% of 50 movements
Feb 20269.4% of 53 movements
Mar 202625.0% of 72 movements
Apr 202623.9% of 88 movements
May 202636.8% of 106 movements
Jun 202650.4% of 113 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals78.8% of 104 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures88.3% of 103 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals60.0% of 110 movements54.4% across 997 flightsreturned after 3 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures81.2% of 112 movements59.0% across 982 flightsreturned after 3 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals13.3% of 75 movements41.0% across 1,033 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures25.6% of 78 movements52.1% across 1,023 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

July has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical July, 67.3% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Julys in the archive. February has been the calmest, at 18.9% across 6 Februarys.

Even July has ranged from 50.0% to 78.8% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements18.2% of 22 movements †23.1% of 26 movements †29.2% of 48 movements †38.8% of 80 movements62.8% of 86 movements72.0% of 93 movements63.8% of 94 movements52.4% of 84 movements34.4% of 64 movements29.6% of 27 movements †48.0% of 25 movements †202010.0% of 20 movements †47.8% of 23 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements5.7% of 35 movements †7.7% of 26 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements21.6% of 37 movements †12.5% of 40 movements †21.4% of 42 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno events in 24 movements †2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements17.9% of 28 movements †59.1% of 66 movements76.8% of 99 movements88.3% of 120 movements78.8% of 104 movements77.2% of 123 movements84.1% of 126 movements63.6% of 118 movements15.4% of 52 movements37.9% of 58 movements202332.7% of 49 movements †20.0% of 45 movements †50.9% of 53 movements55.4% of 74 movements63.9% of 83 movements75.5% of 102 movements76.3% of 114 movements60.0% of 110 movements59.5% of 116 movements62.5% of 112 movements17.0% of 47 movements †34.3% of 35 movements †202427.6% of 29 movements †15.2% of 33 movements †13.5% of 37 movements †28.4% of 74 movements37.0% of 81 movements56.7% of 97 movements62.6% of 123 movements65.6% of 125 movements60.2% of 123 movements45.4% of 108 movements29.0% of 69 movements39.2% of 79 movements202527.3% of 55 movements27.4% of 62 movements13.3% of 75 movements20.0% of 130 movements36.1% of 133 movements50.0% of 136 movements50.0% of 144 movements45.6% of 149 movements54.7% of 148 movements31.2% of 138 movements1.4% of 73 movements14.3% of 70 movements202632.0% of 50 movements9.4% of 53 movements25.0% of 72 movements23.9% of 88 movements36.8% of 106 movements50.4% of 113 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan27.6%25.5–32.7%5 months, 230 flights
Feb18.9%9.4–27.4%6 months, 261 flights
Mar23.1%13.3–50.9%7 months, 346 flights
Apr29.2%20.0–59.1%7 months, 564 flights
May38.8%36.1–76.8%7 months, 702 flights
Jun56.7%49.6–88.3%7 months, 785 flights
Jul67.3%50.0–78.8%6 months, 709 flights
Aug61.9%39.8–77.2%6 months, 734 flights
Sep57.1%42.7–84.1%6 months, 728 flights
Oct39.9%25.7–63.6%6 months, 645 flights
Nov23.0%1.4–29.6%6 months, 295 flights
Dec38.6%14.3–48.0%6 months, 292 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Wizz Air 17.3% of 260 movements, Ba Euroflyer British Airways 30.1% of 302 movements, Wizz Air Uk 35.1% of 74 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionBa Euroflyer British Airways30.1% of 302 flightsEasyjet Uk46.4% of 412 flightsTui Airways48.3% of 149 flightsWizz Air17.3% of 260 flightsWizz Air Uk35.1% of 74 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Ba Euroflyer British Airways30230.1% of 302 movementsno events in 302 movements2.3% of 302 movementsdescriptive comparison
British Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Cobaltsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk41246.4% of 412 movements2.4% of 412 movementsno events in 412 movementsdescriptive comparison
Leav Aviationsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Monarch Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Norwegian Air Internationalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Privilege Stylesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Small Planet Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airways14948.3% of 149 movements2.0% of 149 movements1.3% of 149 movementsdescriptive comparison
Wizz Air26017.3% of 260 movementsno events in 260 movements0.8% of 260 movementsdescriptive comparison
Wizz Air Uk7435.1% of 74 movementsno events in 74 movementsno events in 74 movementsdescriptive comparison

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LHR had the lowest disruption share at 21.7% of 1,103 movements and BHX the highest at 51.7% of 321 movements. This route sits at 35.8% of 1,204 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBfs ↔ Larnaca37.8% of 98 flightsBhx ↔ Larnaca51.7% of 321 flightsBrs ↔ Larnaca43.9% of 230 flightsCwl ↔ Larnaca40.0% of 50 flightsEdi ↔ Larnaca †28.6% of 49 flightsEma ↔ Larnaca35.9% of 156 flightsGla ↔ Larnaca35.0% of 103 flightsLba ↔ Larnaca35.5% of 110 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Larnacasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bfs ↔ Larnaca9837.8% of 98 movementsno events in 98 movementsno events in 98 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhd ↔ Larnacasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhx ↔ Larnaca32151.7% of 321 movements0.3% of 321 movements0.3% of 321 movementsdescriptive comparison
Brs ↔ Larnaca23043.9% of 230 movementsno events in 230 movements1.3% of 230 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Larnaca5040.0% of 50 movementsno events in 50 movements2.0% of 50 movementsdescriptive comparison
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Larnacasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Larnaca4928.6% of 49 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 49 movements — small sample, not ranked2.0% of 49 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Ema ↔ Larnaca15635.9% of 156 movementsno events in 156 movements0.6% of 156 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ext ↔ Larnacasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Larnaca10335.0% of 103 movements1.0% of 103 movements1.0% of 103 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lba ↔ Larnaca11035.5% of 110 movements1.8% of 110 movements0.9% of 110 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Larnaca1,10321.7% of 1,103 movements1.0% of 1,103 movements0.9% of 1,103 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Larnaca9727.8% of 97 movements3.1% of 97 movementsno events in 97 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Larnaca46222.3% of 462 movements0.4% of 462 movements0.6% of 462 movementsdescriptive comparison
Man ↔ Larnaca37750.4% of 377 movements0.3% of 377 movements0.3% of 377 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Larnaca13743.1% of 137 movementsno events in 137 movementsno events in 137 movementsdescriptive comparison
Stn ↔ Larnaca17044.1% of 170 movementsno events in 170 movementsno events in 170 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into LGW ran 35.8% of 1,204 movements disrupted, departures 43.2% of 1,195 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into LGW35.8% of 1,204 movements1.6% of 1,204 movements0.9% of 1,204 movements
Departures from LGW43.2% of 1,195 movements0.9% of 1,195 movements1.0% of 1,195 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202675 flights out of 6,65975 × £350 = £26,250
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202660 flights out of 4,89560 × £350 = £21,000
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202692 flights out of 6,58992 × £350 = £32,200
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202674 flights out of 4,83774 × £350 = £25,900
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportGATWICK · LGW
Final point / countryLARNACA / CYPRUS
Final point codesLCA / LCLK
Great-circle distance3,247 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day3.25
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive96

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 1,204; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

35.8% of 1,204 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

1.6% of 1,204 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.9% of 1,204 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

3,247 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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