UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

LGW ↔ MAHON

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.2% of 783 movements arriving into LGW were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 54.8% of 783 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 157 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.2% of 783 movements were disrupted and 0.1% of 783 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
45.2% of 783 movements0.1% of 783 movements34.0–55.3 min; N of delayed flights=353–552783
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.1% of 783 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min45.1%30 min28.4%60 min10.6%120 min2.2%180 min0.6%360 min0.1%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min45.1% of 783 movements3532.2
>30 min28.4% of 783 movements2223.5
>60 min10.6% of 783 movements839.4
>120 min2.2% of 783 movements1746.1
>180 min0.6% of 783 movements5156.6
>360 min0.1% of 783 movements1783.0
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

When this route runs late, it is usually only a little late: big blow-ups are rarer here than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early405.1%15–1 early19024.3%0–15 late19925.4%16–3013116.7%31–6013917.8%61…120668.4%121…180121.5%181…36040.5%>36010.1%D=783
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0185; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Aug 2020, 1.6% of 63 movements. Worst month: Jul 2023, 70.3% of 155 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2018Feb 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2018: 27.3%; sample: 22May 2018: 34.7%; sample: 75Jun 2018: 48.1%; sample: 133Jul 2018: 55.2%; sample: 145Aug 2018: 58.7%; sample: 150Sep 2018: 38.0%; sample: 137Oct 2018: 26.2%; sample: 61Nov 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2019Feb 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2019: 24.2%; sample: 33May 2019: 31.3%; sample: 67Jun 2019: 45.1%; sample: 113Jul 2019: 61.4%; sample: 140Aug 2019: 60.6%; sample: 160Sep 2019: 44.4%; sample: 117Oct 2019: 32.7%; sample: 49Nov 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2020Feb 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: 1.6%; sample: 63Sep 2020: 6.7%; sample: 30Oct 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2021: 8.6%; sample: 58Aug 2021: 8.6%; sample: 81Sep 2021: 24.5%; sample: 49Oct 2021: 10.3%; sample: 29Nov 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2022: 27.8%; sample: 54May 2022: 46.8%; sample: 94Jun 2022: 59.4%; sample: 128Jul 2022: 51.3%; sample: 152Aug 2022: 51.0%; sample: 155Sep 2022: 48.4%; sample: 124Oct 2022: 38.9%; sample: 108Nov 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2023Feb 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2023: 56.1%; sample: 57May 2023: 44.2%; sample: 86Jun 2023: 54.8%; sample: 124Jul 2023: 70.3%; sample: 155Aug 2023: 65.1%; sample: 152Sep 2023: 62.6%; sample: 139Oct 2023: 43.6%; sample: 94Nov 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2024Feb 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2024: 26.2%; sample: 42May 2024: 41.0%; sample: 61Jun 2024: 56.5%; sample: 124Jul 2024: 54.7%; sample: 139Aug 2024: 50.7%; sample: 144Sep 2024: 59.1%; sample: 115Oct 2024: 34.3%; sample: 102Nov 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2025Feb 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2025: 13.6%; sample: 44May 2025: 36.2%; sample: 80Jun 2025: 46.0%; sample: 113Jul 2025: 66.4%; sample: 134Aug 2025: 48.2%; sample: 139Sep 2025: 55.9%; sample: 118Oct 2025: 38.2%; sample: 89Nov 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2026: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2026Feb 2026: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2026: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2026: 12.9%; sample: 31May 2026: 27.7%; sample: 94Jun 2026: 45.3%; sample: 128Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 201827.3% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201834.7% of 75 movements
Jun 201848.1% of 133 movements
Jul 201855.2% of 145 movements
Aug 201858.7% of 150 movements
Sep 201838.0% of 137 movements
Oct 201826.2% of 61 movements
Nov 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 201924.2% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201931.3% of 67 movements
Jun 201945.1% of 113 movements
Jul 201961.4% of 140 movements
Aug 201960.6% of 160 movements
Sep 201944.4% of 117 movements
Oct 201932.7% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 20201.6% of 63 movements
Sep 20206.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 20218.6% of 58 movements
Aug 20218.6% of 81 movements
Sep 202124.5% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202110.3% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202227.8% of 54 movements
May 202246.8% of 94 movements
Jun 202259.4% of 128 movements
Jul 202251.3% of 152 movements
Aug 202251.0% of 155 movements
Sep 202248.4% of 124 movements
Oct 202238.9% of 108 movements
Nov 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202356.1% of 57 movements
May 202344.2% of 86 movements
Jun 202354.8% of 124 movements
Jul 202370.3% of 155 movements
Aug 202365.1% of 152 movements
Sep 202362.6% of 139 movements
Oct 202343.6% of 94 movements
Nov 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202426.2% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202441.0% of 61 movements
Jun 202456.5% of 124 movements
Jul 202454.7% of 139 movements
Aug 202450.7% of 144 movements
Sep 202459.1% of 115 movements
Oct 202434.3% of 102 movements
Nov 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202513.6% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202536.2% of 80 movements
Jun 202546.0% of 113 movements
Jul 202566.4% of 134 movements
Aug 202548.2% of 139 movements
Sep 202555.9% of 118 movements
Oct 202538.2% of 89 movements
Nov 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2026suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2026suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2026suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202612.9% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202627.7% of 94 movements
Jun 202645.3% of 128 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals51.3% of 152 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures53.6% of 153 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals65.1% of 152 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures57.6% of 151 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

July has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical July, 58.3% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Julys in the archive. April has been the calmest, at 26.2% across 7 Aprils.

Even July has ranged from 51.3% to 70.3% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements24.2% of 33 movements †31.3% of 67 movements45.1% of 113 movements61.4% of 140 movements60.6% of 160 movements44.4% of 117 movements32.7% of 49 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements1.6% of 63 movements6.7% of 30 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements8.6% of 58 movements8.6% of 81 movements24.5% of 49 movements †10.3% of 29 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements27.8% of 54 movements46.8% of 94 movements59.4% of 128 movements51.3% of 152 movements51.0% of 155 movements48.4% of 124 movements38.9% of 108 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements56.1% of 57 movements44.2% of 86 movements54.8% of 124 movements70.3% of 155 movements65.1% of 152 movements62.6% of 139 movements43.6% of 94 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements26.2% of 42 movements †41.0% of 61 movements56.5% of 124 movements54.7% of 139 movements50.7% of 144 movements59.1% of 115 movements34.3% of 102 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements13.6% of 44 movements †36.2% of 80 movements46.0% of 113 movements66.4% of 134 movements48.2% of 139 movements55.9% of 118 movements38.2% of 89 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2026suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements12.9% of 31 movements †27.7% of 94 movements45.3% of 128 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Janno datano datano data
Febno datano datano data
Marno datano datano data
Apr26.2%12.9–56.1%7 months, 283 flights
May36.2%27.7–46.8%7 months, 557 flights
Jun48.1%45.1–59.4%7 months, 863 flights
Jul58.3%51.3–70.3%6 months, 865 flights
Aug54.8%48.2–65.1%6 months, 900 flights
Sep52.2%38.0–62.6%6 months, 750 flights
Oct36.3%26.2–43.6%6 months, 503 flights
Novno datano datano data
Decno datano datano data
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Jet2.Com 30.8% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked, Easyjet Uk 40.8% of 505 movements, Ba Euroflyer British Airways 50.0% of 150 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionBa Euroflyer British Airways50.0% of 150 flightsEasyjet Uk40.8% of 505 flightsJet2.Com †30.8% of 26 flightsTui Airways63.7% of 102 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Ba Euroflyer British Airways15050.0% of 150 movementsno events in 150 movements3.3% of 150 movementsdescriptive comparison
British Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk50540.8% of 505 movements0.2% of 505 movementsno events in 505 movementsdescriptive comparison
Jet2.Com2630.8% of 26 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 26 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 26 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Monarch Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Norwegian Air Internationalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airways10263.7% of 102 movementsno events in 102 movementsno events in 102 movementsdescriptive comparison
Vueling Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, EXT had the lowest disruption share at 9.3% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked and MAN the highest at 44.8% of 446 movements. This route sits at 45.2% of 783 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBfs ↔ Mahon43.8% of 73 flightsBhx ↔ Mahon36.4% of 250 flightsBoh ↔ Mahon36.8% of 68 flightsBrs ↔ Mahon42.8% of 222 flightsCwl ↔ Mahon †34.0% of 47 flightsEdi ↔ Mahon †23.9% of 46 flightsEma ↔ Mahon33.8% of 207 flightsExt ↔ Mahon †9.3% of 43 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Bfs ↔ Mahon7343.8% of 73 movementsno events in 73 movements1.4% of 73 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhx ↔ Mahon25036.4% of 250 movementsno events in 250 movements0.8% of 250 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Mahon6836.8% of 68 movementsno events in 68 movementsno events in 68 movementsdescriptive comparison
Brs ↔ Mahon22242.8% of 222 movementsno events in 222 movements0.5% of 222 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Mahon4734.0% of 47 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 47 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 47 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Mahon4623.9% of 46 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 46 movements — small sample, not ranked4.3% of 46 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Ema ↔ Mahon20733.8% of 207 movements0.5% of 207 movements0.5% of 207 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ext ↔ Mahon439.3% of 43 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 43 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 43 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Gla ↔ Mahon8837.5% of 88 movementsno events in 88 movements2.3% of 88 movementsdescriptive comparison
Iom ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Mahon12619.0% of 126 movementsno events in 126 movements0.8% of 126 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lcy ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lhr ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lpl ↔ Mahon4818.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 48 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 48 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Ltn ↔ Mahon18634.9% of 186 movements1.1% of 186 movements0.5% of 186 movementsdescriptive comparison
Man ↔ Mahon44644.8% of 446 movementsno events in 446 movements0.4% of 446 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Mahon13036.2% of 130 movementsno events in 130 movements0.8% of 130 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sou ↔ Mahonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Stn ↔ Mahon31740.7% of 317 movementsno events in 317 movements0.9% of 317 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into LGW ran 45.2% of 783 movements disrupted, departures 28.6% of 783 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into LGW45.2% of 783 movements0.1% of 783 movements0.6% of 783 movements
Departures from LGW28.6% of 783 movementsno events in 783 movements0.4% of 783 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202673 flights out of 5,33173 × £220 = £16,060
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202658 flights out of 3,83458 × £220 = £12,760
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202635 flights out of 5,32835 × £220 = £7,700
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202622 flights out of 3,83322 × £220 = £4,840
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportGATWICK · LGW
Final point / countryMAHON / SPAIN
Final point codesMAH / LEMH
Great-circle distance1,300 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£220
Average operated arrivals per day2.14
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthFeb 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive88

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 783; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

45.2% of 783 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.1% of 783 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.6% of 783 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

chronically slightly late. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

1,300 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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