UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

LGW ↔ NANTES

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 25.1% of 565 movements arriving into LGW were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 74.9% of 565 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: no such event in this sample, which does not mean zero risk crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 25.1% of 565 movements were disrupted and 1.6% of 565 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
25.1% of 565 movements1.6% of 565 movements28.8–55.9 min; N of delayed flights=133–239565
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 1.6% of 565 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min23.5%30 min14.9%60 min6.4%120 min0.7%180 min0.0%360 min0.0%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min23.5% of 565 movements1334.2
>30 min14.9% of 565 movements846.7
>60 min6.4% of 565 movements3615.7
>120 min0.7% of 565 movements4141.2
>180 minno events in 565 movements0no observed events, which is not zero risk
>360 minno events in 565 movements0no observed events, which is not zero risk
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

When this route runs late, it is usually only a little late: big blow-ups are rarer here than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early14125.0%15–1 early17631.2%0–15 late10618.8%16–30498.7%31–60488.5%61…120325.7%121…18040.7%181…36000.0%>36000.0%D=565
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0000; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Dec 2025, 17.5% of 57 movements. Worst month: Aug 2019, 65.5% of 58 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 10.5%; sample: 382018Feb 2018: 2.9%; sample: 35Mar 2018: 19.0%; sample: 42Apr 2018: 14.6%; sample: 48May 2018: 25.5%; sample: 51Jun 2018: 41.1%; sample: 56Jul 2018: 46.8%; sample: 62Aug 2018: 45.2%; sample: 62Sep 2018: 24.5%; sample: 53Oct 2018: 34.1%; sample: 44Nov 2018: 13.9%; sample: 36Dec 2018: 22.0%; sample: 50Jan 2019: 12.8%; sample: 392019Feb 2019: 36.1%; sample: 36Mar 2019: 31.7%; sample: 41Apr 2019: 18.2%; sample: 55May 2019: 34.5%; sample: 58Jun 2019: 35.7%; sample: 56Jul 2019: 57.9%; sample: 57Aug 2019: 65.5%; sample: 58Sep 2019: 45.3%; sample: 53Oct 2019: 34.0%; sample: 50Nov 2019: 12.1%; sample: 33Dec 2019: 28.1%; sample: 57Jan 2020: 17.5%; sample: 402020Feb 2020: 52.4%; sample: 42Mar 2020: 27.3%; sample: 33Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Nov 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2021: 3.2%; sample: 31Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: 20.0%; sample: 25Mar 2022: 16.1%; sample: 31Apr 2022: 25.6%; sample: 39May 2022: 55.9%; sample: 34Jun 2022: 65.8%; sample: 38Jul 2022: 77.8%; sample: 36Aug 2022: 62.5%; sample: 40Sep 2022: 64.4%; sample: 45Oct 2022: 40.0%; sample: 50Nov 2022: 39.1%; sample: 23Dec 2022: 57.8%; sample: 45Jan 2023: 12.0%; sample: 252023Feb 2023: 28.6%; sample: 35Mar 2023: 45.8%; sample: 48Apr 2023: 38.1%; sample: 42May 2023: 40.0%; sample: 40Jun 2023: 57.1%; sample: 35Jul 2023: 61.5%; sample: 52Aug 2023: 58.0%; sample: 50Sep 2023: 55.3%; sample: 47Oct 2023: 34.5%; sample: 55Nov 2023: 13.8%; sample: 29Dec 2023: 51.7%; sample: 58Jan 2024: 26.9%; sample: 262024Feb 2024: 21.1%; sample: 38Mar 2024: 28.6%; sample: 49Apr 2024: 23.8%; sample: 42May 2024: 33.3%; sample: 45Jun 2024: 46.5%; sample: 43Jul 2024: 41.9%; sample: 43Aug 2024: 53.3%; sample: 45Sep 2024: 60.5%; sample: 43Oct 2024: 31.9%; sample: 47Nov 2024: 28.6%; sample: 42Dec 2024: 30.4%; sample: 69Jan 2025: 25.8%; sample: 312025Feb 2025: 14.3%; sample: 42Mar 2025: 14.3%; sample: 49Apr 2025: 13.0%; sample: 46May 2025: 18.4%; sample: 49Jun 2025: 40.8%; sample: 49Jul 2025: 42.3%; sample: 52Aug 2025: 33.3%; sample: 54Sep 2025: 51.0%; sample: 51Oct 2025: 26.4%; sample: 53Nov 2025: 4.9%; sample: 41Dec 2025: 17.5%; sample: 57Jan 2026: 44.0%; sample: 252026Feb 2026: 17.9%; sample: 39Mar 2026: 14.3%; sample: 49Apr 2026: 6.4%; sample: 47May 2026: 20.4%; sample: 49Jun 2026: 25.0%; sample: 48Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201810.5% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20182.9% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201819.0% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201814.6% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201825.5% of 51 movements
Jun 201841.1% of 56 movements
Jul 201846.8% of 62 movements
Aug 201845.2% of 62 movements
Sep 201824.5% of 53 movements
Oct 201834.1% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 201813.9% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201822.0% of 50 movements
Jan 201912.8% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 201936.1% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201931.7% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201918.2% of 55 movements
May 201934.5% of 58 movements
Jun 201935.7% of 56 movements
Jul 201957.9% of 57 movements
Aug 201965.5% of 58 movements
Sep 201945.3% of 53 movements
Oct 201934.0% of 50 movements
Nov 201912.1% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201928.1% of 57 movements
Jan 202017.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202052.4% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202027.3% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Nov 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 20213.2% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 202220.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202216.1% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202225.6% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202255.9% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202265.8% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202277.8% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202262.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202264.4% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202240.0% of 50 movements
Nov 202239.1% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202257.8% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202312.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202328.6% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202345.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202338.1% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202340.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202357.1% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202361.5% of 52 movements
Aug 202358.0% of 50 movements
Sep 202355.3% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202334.5% of 55 movements
Nov 202313.8% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202351.7% of 58 movements
Jan 202426.9% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202421.1% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202428.6% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202423.8% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202433.3% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202446.5% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202441.9% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202453.3% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202460.5% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202431.9% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202428.6% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202430.4% of 69 movements
Jan 202525.8% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202514.3% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202514.3% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202513.0% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202518.4% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202540.8% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202542.3% of 52 movements
Aug 202533.3% of 54 movements
Sep 202551.0% of 51 movements
Oct 202526.4% of 53 movements
Nov 20254.9% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202517.5% of 57 movements
Jan 202644.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202617.9% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202614.3% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 20266.4% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202620.4% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202625.0% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals77.8% of 36 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures72.2% of 36 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals58.0% of 50 movements45.6% across 480 flightsreturned after 2 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures63.3% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked43.2% across 481 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals14.3% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked34.9% across 541 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures22.4% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked31.0% across 539 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

August has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical August, 55.7% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Augusts in the archive. November has been the calmest, at 13.8% across 6 Novembers.

Even August has ranged from 33.3% to 65.5% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201912.8% of 39 movements †36.1% of 36 movements †31.7% of 41 movements †18.2% of 55 movements34.5% of 58 movements35.7% of 56 movements57.9% of 57 movements65.5% of 58 movements45.3% of 53 movements34.0% of 50 movements12.1% of 33 movements †28.1% of 57 movements202017.5% of 40 movements †52.4% of 42 movements †27.3% of 33 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements3.2% of 31 movements †2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements20.0% of 25 movements †16.1% of 31 movements †25.6% of 39 movements †55.9% of 34 movements †65.8% of 38 movements †77.8% of 36 movements †62.5% of 40 movements †64.4% of 45 movements †40.0% of 50 movements39.1% of 23 movements †57.8% of 45 movements †202312.0% of 25 movements †28.6% of 35 movements †45.8% of 48 movements †38.1% of 42 movements †40.0% of 40 movements †57.1% of 35 movements †61.5% of 52 movements58.0% of 50 movements55.3% of 47 movements †34.5% of 55 movements13.8% of 29 movements †51.7% of 58 movements202426.9% of 26 movements †21.1% of 38 movements †28.6% of 49 movements †23.8% of 42 movements †33.3% of 45 movements †46.5% of 43 movements †41.9% of 43 movements †53.3% of 45 movements †60.5% of 43 movements †31.9% of 47 movements †28.6% of 42 movements †30.4% of 69 movements202525.8% of 31 movements †14.3% of 42 movements †14.3% of 49 movements †13.0% of 46 movements †18.4% of 49 movements †40.8% of 49 movements †42.3% of 52 movements33.3% of 54 movements51.0% of 51 movements26.4% of 53 movements4.9% of 41 movements †17.5% of 57 movements202644.0% of 25 movements †17.9% of 39 movements †14.3% of 49 movements †6.4% of 47 movements †20.4% of 49 movements †25.0% of 48 movements †no datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan19.3%10.5–44.0%6 months, 184 flights
Feb20.0%2.9–36.1%7 months, 250 flights
Mar19.0%14.3–45.8%7 months, 309 flights
Apr18.2%6.4–38.1%7 months, 319 flights
May33.3%18.4–55.9%7 months, 326 flights
Jun41.1%25.0–65.8%7 months, 325 flights
Jul52.3%41.9–77.8%6 months, 302 flights
Aug55.7%33.3–65.5%6 months, 309 flights
Sep53.1%24.5–64.4%6 months, 292 flights
Oct34.0%26.4–40.0%6 months, 299 flights
Nov13.8%4.9–39.1%6 months, 204 flights
Dec29.3%17.5–57.8%6 months, 336 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

Only one carrier published enough flights here to report: Easyjet Uk Ltd, 25.1% of 565 movements disrupted.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Uk25.1% of 565 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk56525.1% of 565 movements1.6% of 565 movementsno events in 565 movementsdescriptive comparison
Royal Air Marocsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Vueling Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, BOH had the lowest disruption share at 7.4% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked and EDI the highest at 67.1% of 73 movements. This route sits at 25.1% of 565 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBoh ↔ Nantes †7.4% of 27 flightsEdi ↔ Nantes67.1% of 73 flightsMan ↔ Nantes40.2% of 92 flightsStn ↔ Nantes31.2% of 512 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Bhx ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Boh ↔ Nantes277.4% of 27 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 27 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 27 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Brs ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Cwl ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Nantes7367.1% of 73 movementsno events in 73 movements2.7% of 73 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ext ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jer ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lcy ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lhr ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lpl ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ltn ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Man ↔ Nantes9240.2% of 92 movements1.1% of 92 movements1.1% of 92 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sou ↔ Nantessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Stn ↔ Nantes51231.2% of 512 movements1.8% of 512 movements1.2% of 512 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Barely: arrivals into LGW ran 25.1% of 565 movements disrupted, departures 26.8% of 564 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into LGW25.1% of 565 movements1.6% of 565 movementsno events in 565 movements
Departures from LGW26.8% of 564 movements1.2% of 564 movements0.4% of 564 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202631 flights out of 3,73731 × £220 = £6,820
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202622 flights out of 2,45222 × £220 = £4,840
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202618 flights out of 3,73318 × £220 = £3,960
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202616 flights out of 2,44816 × £220 = £3,520
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportGATWICK · LGW
Final point / countryNANTES / FRANCE
Final point codesNTE / LFRS
Great-circle distance456 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£220
Average operated arrivals per day1.52
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive96

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 565; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

25.1% of 565 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

1.6% of 565 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

no events in 565 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

chronically slightly late. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

456 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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