UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

LTN ↔ LISBON

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 55.7% of 879 movements arriving into LTN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 44.3% of 879 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 440 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 55.7% of 879 movements were disrupted and 0.3% of 879 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
55.7% of 879 movements0.3% of 879 movements33.0–51.7 min; N of delayed flights=487–736879
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.3% of 879 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min55.4%30 min31.7%60 min12.6%120 min2.7%180 min0.2%360 min0.0%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min55.4% of 879 movements4871.8
>30 min31.7% of 879 movements2793.2
>60 min12.6% of 879 movements1117.9
>120 min2.7% of 879 movements2436.6
>180 min0.2% of 879 movements2439.5
>360 minno events in 879 movements0no observed events, which is not zero risk
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

When this route runs late, it is usually only a little late: big blow-ups are rarer here than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early212.4%15–1 early11913.5%0–15 late24928.3%16–3020823.7%31–6016819.1%61…120879.9%121…180222.5%181…36020.2%>36000.0%D=879
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0053; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Sep 2020, 4.3% of 93 movements. Worst month: Jul 2025, 81.7% of 93 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 10.4%; sample: 482018Feb 2018: 27.1%; sample: 48Mar 2018: 45.9%; sample: 61Apr 2018: 41.2%; sample: 80May 2018: 40.0%; sample: 85Jun 2018: 52.5%; sample: 80Jul 2018: 47.1%; sample: 85Aug 2018: 41.7%; sample: 84Sep 2018: 44.4%; sample: 81Oct 2018: 36.1%; sample: 83Nov 2018: 21.8%; sample: 87Dec 2018: 40.5%; sample: 84Jan 2019: 29.2%; sample: 892019Feb 2019: 19.8%; sample: 81Mar 2019: 19.3%; sample: 88Apr 2019: 45.6%; sample: 114May 2019: 36.8%; sample: 117Jun 2019: 54.1%; sample: 111Jul 2019: 51.3%; sample: 117Aug 2019: 61.7%; sample: 115Sep 2019: 55.0%; sample: 111Oct 2019: 38.7%; sample: 111Nov 2019: 38.9%; sample: 72Dec 2019: 67.4%; sample: 86Jan 2020: 42.3%; sample: 782020Feb 2020: 44.1%; sample: 68Mar 2020: 27.1%; sample: 59Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: 6.9%; sample: 29Jul 2020: 11.1%; sample: 72Aug 2020: 6.5%; sample: 107Sep 2020: 4.3%; sample: 93Oct 2020: 8.2%; sample: 49Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: 30.0%; sample: 20Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2021: 60.9%; sample: 23Jul 2021: 10.0%; sample: 20Aug 2021: 25.5%; sample: 55Sep 2021: 17.1%; sample: 70Oct 2021: 29.6%; sample: 71Nov 2021: 31.8%; sample: 22Dec 2021: 21.9%; sample: 32Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: 34.1%; sample: 41Apr 2022: 51.9%; sample: 77May 2022: 48.4%; sample: 93Jun 2022: 58.4%; sample: 101Jul 2022: 72.4%; sample: 105Aug 2022: 69.2%; sample: 107Sep 2022: 67.6%; sample: 111Oct 2022: 70.5%; sample: 112Nov 2022: 48.1%; sample: 54Dec 2022: 65.2%; sample: 69Jan 2023: 36.5%; sample: 522023Feb 2023: 34.8%; sample: 69Mar 2023: 62.1%; sample: 95Apr 2023: 64.8%; sample: 122May 2023: 60.2%; sample: 123Jun 2023: 77.1%; sample: 118Jul 2023: 69.8%; sample: 126Aug 2023: 75.2%; sample: 125Sep 2023: 70.8%; sample: 120Oct 2023: 64.5%; sample: 121Nov 2023: 34.8%; sample: 69Dec 2023: 48.4%; sample: 91Jan 2024: 50.0%; sample: 542024Feb 2024: 34.3%; sample: 67Mar 2024: 59.0%; sample: 83Apr 2024: 50.4%; sample: 121May 2024: 52.5%; sample: 122Jun 2024: 68.3%; sample: 120Jul 2024: 75.6%; sample: 123Aug 2024: 66.9%; sample: 124Sep 2024: 77.9%; sample: 122Oct 2024: 64.9%; sample: 114Nov 2024: 34.1%; sample: 44Dec 2024: 33.3%; sample: 54Jan 2025: 44.4%; sample: 272025Feb 2025: 37.5%; sample: 48Mar 2025: 37.5%; sample: 64Apr 2025: 64.4%; sample: 90May 2025: 62.0%; sample: 92Jun 2025: 63.7%; sample: 91Jul 2025: 81.7%; sample: 93Aug 2025: 72.8%; sample: 92Sep 2025: 60.0%; sample: 90Oct 2025: 66.7%; sample: 87Nov 2025: 37.5%; sample: 48Dec 2025: 42.1%; sample: 57Jan 2026: 40.7%; sample: 272026Feb 2026: 45.8%; sample: 48Mar 2026: 42.2%; sample: 64Apr 2026: 38.9%; sample: 90May 2026: 47.8%; sample: 92Jun 2026: 59.3%; sample: 91Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201810.4% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 201827.1% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201845.9% of 61 movements
Apr 201841.2% of 80 movements
May 201840.0% of 85 movements
Jun 201852.5% of 80 movements
Jul 201847.1% of 85 movements
Aug 201841.7% of 84 movements
Sep 201844.4% of 81 movements
Oct 201836.1% of 83 movements
Nov 201821.8% of 87 movements
Dec 201840.5% of 84 movements
Jan 201929.2% of 89 movements
Feb 201919.8% of 81 movements
Mar 201919.3% of 88 movements
Apr 201945.6% of 114 movements
May 201936.8% of 117 movements
Jun 201954.1% of 111 movements
Jul 201951.3% of 117 movements
Aug 201961.7% of 115 movements
Sep 201955.0% of 111 movements
Oct 201938.7% of 111 movements
Nov 201938.9% of 72 movements
Dec 201967.4% of 86 movements
Jan 202042.3% of 78 movements
Feb 202044.1% of 68 movements
Mar 202027.1% of 59 movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 20206.9% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202011.1% of 72 movements
Aug 20206.5% of 107 movements
Sep 20204.3% of 93 movements
Oct 20208.2% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 202030.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 202160.9% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202110.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202125.5% of 55 movements
Sep 202117.1% of 70 movements
Oct 202129.6% of 71 movements
Nov 202131.8% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202121.9% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 202234.1% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202251.9% of 77 movements
May 202248.4% of 93 movements
Jun 202258.4% of 101 movements
Jul 202272.4% of 105 movements
Aug 202269.2% of 107 movements
Sep 202267.6% of 111 movements
Oct 202270.5% of 112 movements
Nov 202248.1% of 54 movements
Dec 202265.2% of 69 movements
Jan 202336.5% of 52 movements
Feb 202334.8% of 69 movements
Mar 202362.1% of 95 movements
Apr 202364.8% of 122 movements
May 202360.2% of 123 movements
Jun 202377.1% of 118 movements
Jul 202369.8% of 126 movements
Aug 202375.2% of 125 movements
Sep 202370.8% of 120 movements
Oct 202364.5% of 121 movements
Nov 202334.8% of 69 movements
Dec 202348.4% of 91 movements
Jan 202450.0% of 54 movements
Feb 202434.3% of 67 movements
Mar 202459.0% of 83 movements
Apr 202450.4% of 121 movements
May 202452.5% of 122 movements
Jun 202468.3% of 120 movements
Jul 202475.6% of 123 movements
Aug 202466.9% of 124 movements
Sep 202477.9% of 122 movements
Oct 202464.9% of 114 movements
Nov 202434.1% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202433.3% of 54 movements
Jan 202544.4% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202537.5% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202537.5% of 64 movements
Apr 202564.4% of 90 movements
May 202562.0% of 92 movements
Jun 202563.7% of 91 movements
Jul 202581.7% of 93 movements
Aug 202572.8% of 92 movements
Sep 202560.0% of 90 movements
Oct 202566.7% of 87 movements
Nov 202537.5% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202542.1% of 57 movements
Jan 202640.7% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202645.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202642.2% of 64 movements
Apr 202638.9% of 90 movements
May 202647.8% of 92 movements
Jun 202659.3% of 91 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivals6.9% of 29 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departures3.4% of 29 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals72.4% of 105 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures56.7% of 104 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals75.2% of 125 movements60.5% across 1,158 flightsreturned after 3 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures36.3% of 124 movements41.6% across 1,158 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals37.5% of 64 movements55.4% across 1,102 flightsreturned after 8 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures12.5% of 64 movements30.1% across 1,101 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

July has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical July, 71.1% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Julys in the archive. February has been the calmest, at 34.6% across 6 Februarys.

Even July has ranged from 47.1% to 81.7% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201929.2% of 89 movements19.8% of 81 movements19.3% of 88 movements45.6% of 114 movements36.8% of 117 movements54.1% of 111 movements51.3% of 117 movements61.7% of 115 movements55.0% of 111 movements38.7% of 111 movements38.9% of 72 movements67.4% of 86 movements202042.3% of 78 movements44.1% of 68 movements27.1% of 59 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements6.9% of 29 movements †11.1% of 72 movements6.5% of 107 movements4.3% of 93 movements8.2% of 49 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movements30.0% of 20 movements †2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movements60.9% of 23 movements †10.0% of 20 movements †25.5% of 55 movements17.1% of 70 movements29.6% of 71 movements31.8% of 22 movements †21.9% of 32 movements †2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements34.1% of 41 movements †51.9% of 77 movements48.4% of 93 movements58.4% of 101 movements72.4% of 105 movements69.2% of 107 movements67.6% of 111 movements70.5% of 112 movements48.1% of 54 movements65.2% of 69 movements202336.5% of 52 movements34.8% of 69 movements62.1% of 95 movements64.8% of 122 movements60.2% of 123 movements77.1% of 118 movements69.8% of 126 movements75.2% of 125 movements70.8% of 120 movements64.5% of 121 movements34.8% of 69 movements48.4% of 91 movements202450.0% of 54 movements34.3% of 67 movements59.0% of 83 movements50.4% of 121 movements52.5% of 122 movements68.3% of 120 movements75.6% of 123 movements66.9% of 124 movements77.9% of 122 movements64.9% of 114 movements34.1% of 44 movements †33.3% of 54 movements202544.4% of 27 movements †37.5% of 48 movements †37.5% of 64 movements64.4% of 90 movements62.0% of 92 movements63.7% of 91 movements81.7% of 93 movements72.8% of 92 movements60.0% of 90 movements66.7% of 87 movements37.5% of 48 movements †42.1% of 57 movements202640.7% of 27 movements †45.8% of 48 movements †42.2% of 64 movements38.9% of 90 movements47.8% of 92 movements59.3% of 91 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan38.6%10.4–50.0%6 months, 297 flights
Feb34.6%19.8–45.8%6 months, 361 flights
Mar42.2%19.3–62.1%7 months, 496 flights
Apr50.4%38.9–64.8%7 months, 694 flights
May48.4%36.8–62.0%7 months, 724 flights
Jun59.3%52.5–77.1%7 months, 712 flights
Jul71.1%47.1–81.7%6 months, 649 flights
Aug68.0%41.7–75.2%6 months, 647 flights
Sep63.8%44.4–77.9%6 months, 635 flights
Oct64.7%36.1–70.5%6 months, 628 flights
Nov36.1%21.8–48.1%6 months, 374 flights
Dec45.2%33.3–67.4%6 months, 441 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

Only one carrier published enough flights here to report: Easyjet Uk Ltd, 55.7% of 879 movements disrupted.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Uk55.7% of 879 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abelag Aviationsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Europesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk87955.7% of 879 movements0.3% of 879 movements0.2% of 879 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ryanairsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Vistajet Maltasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Wizz Air Uksuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, BHX had the lowest disruption share at 28.4% of 232 movements and GLA the highest at 50.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked. This route sits at 55.7% of 879 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBhx ↔ Lisbon28.4% of 232 flightsBrs ↔ Lisbon48.3% of 443 flightsEdi ↔ Lisbon47.0% of 334 flightsGla ↔ Lisbon †50.0% of 28 flightsLgw ↔ Lisbon35.7% of 1,620 flightsLhr ↔ Lisbon34.2% of 3,801 flightsLpl ↔ Lisbon †42.9% of 28 flightsMan ↔ Lisbon44.7% of 1,226 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bfs ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhd ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhx ↔ Lisbon23228.4% of 232 movements0.4% of 232 movements1.7% of 232 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Brs ↔ Lisbon44348.3% of 443 movements0.7% of 443 movements0.5% of 443 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Lisbon33447.0% of 334 movements0.3% of 334 movements0.6% of 334 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ext ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Lisbon2850.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 28 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Iom ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lcy ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lgw ↔ Lisbon1,62035.7% of 1,620 movements2.1% of 1,620 movements1.0% of 1,620 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Lisbon3,80134.2% of 3,801 movements0.7% of 3,801 movements0.1% of 3,801 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Lisbon2842.9% of 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 28 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Man ↔ Lisbon1,22644.7% of 1,226 movements0.8% of 1,226 movements0.2% of 1,226 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sen ↔ Lisbonsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Stn ↔ Lisbon1,21231.5% of 1,212 movements0.6% of 1,212 movements0.6% of 1,212 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into LTN ran 55.7% of 879 movements disrupted, departures 28.1% of 880 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into LTN55.7% of 879 movements0.3% of 879 movements0.2% of 879 movements
Departures from LTN28.1% of 880 movements0.2% of 880 movements0.1% of 880 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202674 flights out of 7,60174 × £350 = £25,900
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202652 flights out of 5,23652 × £350 = £18,200
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202639 flights out of 7,60439 × £350 = £13,650
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202629 flights out of 5,24129 × £350 = £10,150
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportLUTON · LTN
Final point / countryLISBON / PORTUGAL(EXCLUDING MADEIRA)
Final point codesLIS / LPPT
Great-circle distance1,606 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day2.40
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive99

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 879; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

55.7% of 879 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.3% of 879 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.2% of 879 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

chronically slightly late. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

1,606 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

Was your flight delayed 3h+? Check what you may be owed

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