UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

STN ↔ BUCHAREST OTOPENI

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 27.1% of 1,328 movements arriving into STN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 72.9% of 1,328 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 166 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 27.1% of 1,328 movements were disrupted and 0.9% of 1,328 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
27.1% of 1,328 movements0.9% of 1,328 movements33.6–64.8 min; N of delayed flights=348–6331,328
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.9% of 1,328 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min26.2%30 min16.3%60 min8.4%120 min2.3%180 min0.6%360 min0.2%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min26.2% of 1,328 movements3483.8
>30 min16.3% of 1,328 movements2176.1
>60 min8.4% of 1,328 movements11112.0
>120 min2.3% of 1,328 movements3044.3
>180 min0.6% of 1,328 movements8166.0
>360 min0.2% of 1,328 movements3442.7
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early27320.6%15–1 early41030.9%0–15 late28521.5%16–301319.9%31–601068.0%61…120816.1%121…180221.7%181…36050.4%>36030.2%D=1,328
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0338; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Jun 2021, 2.0% of 50 movements. Worst month: Jul 2024, 81.0% of 100 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 33.3%; sample: 362018Feb 2018: 9.4%; sample: 32Mar 2018: 14.3%; sample: 42Apr 2018: 10.0%; sample: 60May 2018: 21.0%; sample: 62Jun 2018: 25.0%; sample: 60Jul 2018: 32.3%; sample: 62Aug 2018: 24.2%; sample: 62Sep 2018: 21.7%; sample: 60Oct 2018: 11.3%; sample: 62Nov 2018: 8.3%; sample: 60Dec 2018: 33.9%; sample: 59Jan 2019: 26.6%; sample: 642019Feb 2019: 8.9%; sample: 56Mar 2019: 14.5%; sample: 62Apr 2019: 15.0%; sample: 60May 2019: 21.0%; sample: 62Jun 2019: 38.3%; sample: 60Jul 2019: 33.9%; sample: 62Aug 2019: 37.1%; sample: 62Sep 2019: 20.8%; sample: 48Oct 2019: 13.5%; sample: 52Nov 2019: 2.7%; sample: 73Dec 2019: 8.3%; sample: 72Jan 2020: 10.5%; sample: 762020Feb 2020: 35.2%; sample: 71Mar 2020: 16.9%; sample: 59Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: 2.4%; sample: 41Sep 2020: 0.0%; sample: 39Oct 2020: 2.5%; sample: 40Nov 2020: 4.0%; sample: 25Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: 22.2%; sample: 272021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: 2.6%; sample: 39May 2021: 2.5%; sample: 40Jun 2021: 2.0%; sample: 50Jul 2021: 11.3%; sample: 71Aug 2021: 12.9%; sample: 70Sep 2021: 10.1%; sample: 69Oct 2021: 21.4%; sample: 70Nov 2021: 5.0%; sample: 60Dec 2021: 21.3%; sample: 61Jan 2022: 12.2%; sample: 492022Feb 2022: 21.4%; sample: 56Mar 2022: 19.1%; sample: 68Apr 2022: 47.1%; sample: 104May 2022: 63.2%; sample: 106Jun 2022: 68.3%; sample: 101Jul 2022: 61.0%; sample: 105Aug 2022: 54.7%; sample: 106Sep 2022: 67.3%; sample: 104Oct 2022: 51.9%; sample: 106Nov 2022: 27.2%; sample: 103Dec 2022: 57.4%; sample: 108Jan 2023: 43.9%; sample: 1072023Feb 2023: 35.4%; sample: 96Mar 2023: 39.6%; sample: 106Apr 2023: 32.7%; sample: 104May 2023: 32.7%; sample: 107Jun 2023: 41.2%; sample: 102Jul 2023: 57.0%; sample: 107Aug 2023: 46.2%; sample: 106Sep 2023: 40.6%; sample: 101Oct 2023: 41.1%; sample: 107Nov 2023: 27.5%; sample: 102Dec 2023: 39.3%; sample: 107Jan 2024: 38.5%; sample: 1092024Feb 2024: 23.2%; sample: 99Mar 2024: 20.6%; sample: 107Apr 2024: 35.3%; sample: 102May 2024: 47.6%; sample: 105Jun 2024: 78.8%; sample: 104Jul 2024: 81.0%; sample: 100Aug 2024: 78.1%; sample: 105Sep 2024: 66.3%; sample: 98Oct 2024: 48.1%; sample: 108Nov 2024: 13.3%; sample: 113Dec 2024: 28.7%; sample: 115Jan 2025: 29.8%; sample: 842025Feb 2025: 23.4%; sample: 111Mar 2025: 10.6%; sample: 123Apr 2025: 25.0%; sample: 108May 2025: 19.8%; sample: 106Jun 2025: 37.9%; sample: 103Jul 2025: 49.5%; sample: 105Aug 2025: 47.2%; sample: 108Sep 2025: 48.5%; sample: 103Oct 2025: 30.6%; sample: 111Nov 2025: 5.2%; sample: 97Dec 2025: 10.1%; sample: 119Jan 2026: 18.6%; sample: 1292026Feb 2026: 28.3%; sample: 120Mar 2026: 4.8%; sample: 126Apr 2026: 21.4%; sample: 103May 2026: 18.9%; sample: 106Jun 2026: 49.5%; sample: 101Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201833.3% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20189.4% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201814.3% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201810.0% of 60 movements
May 201821.0% of 62 movements
Jun 201825.0% of 60 movements
Jul 201832.3% of 62 movements
Aug 201824.2% of 62 movements
Sep 201821.7% of 60 movements
Oct 201811.3% of 62 movements
Nov 20188.3% of 60 movements
Dec 201833.9% of 59 movements
Jan 201926.6% of 64 movements
Feb 20198.9% of 56 movements
Mar 201914.5% of 62 movements
Apr 201915.0% of 60 movements
May 201921.0% of 62 movements
Jun 201938.3% of 60 movements
Jul 201933.9% of 62 movements
Aug 201937.1% of 62 movements
Sep 201920.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 201913.5% of 52 movements
Nov 20192.7% of 73 movements
Dec 20198.3% of 72 movements
Jan 202010.5% of 76 movements
Feb 202035.2% of 71 movements
Mar 202016.9% of 59 movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 20202.4% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 2020no events in 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 20202.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 20204.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 202122.2% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 20212.6% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 20212.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 20212.0% of 50 movements
Jul 202111.3% of 71 movements
Aug 202112.9% of 70 movements
Sep 202110.1% of 69 movements
Oct 202121.4% of 70 movements
Nov 20215.0% of 60 movements
Dec 202121.3% of 61 movements
Jan 202212.2% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202221.4% of 56 movements
Mar 202219.1% of 68 movements
Apr 202247.1% of 104 movements
May 202263.2% of 106 movements
Jun 202268.3% of 101 movements
Jul 202261.0% of 105 movements
Aug 202254.7% of 106 movements
Sep 202267.3% of 104 movements
Oct 202251.9% of 106 movements
Nov 202227.2% of 103 movements
Dec 202257.4% of 108 movements
Jan 202343.9% of 107 movements
Feb 202335.4% of 96 movements
Mar 202339.6% of 106 movements
Apr 202332.7% of 104 movements
May 202332.7% of 107 movements
Jun 202341.2% of 102 movements
Jul 202357.0% of 107 movements
Aug 202346.2% of 106 movements
Sep 202340.6% of 101 movements
Oct 202341.1% of 107 movements
Nov 202327.5% of 102 movements
Dec 202339.3% of 107 movements
Jan 202438.5% of 109 movements
Feb 202423.2% of 99 movements
Mar 202420.6% of 107 movements
Apr 202435.3% of 102 movements
May 202447.6% of 105 movements
Jun 202478.8% of 104 movements
Jul 202481.0% of 100 movements
Aug 202478.1% of 105 movements
Sep 202466.3% of 98 movements
Oct 202448.1% of 108 movements
Nov 202413.3% of 113 movements
Dec 202428.7% of 115 movements
Jan 202529.8% of 84 movements
Feb 202523.4% of 111 movements
Mar 202510.6% of 123 movements
Apr 202525.0% of 108 movements
May 202519.8% of 106 movements
Jun 202537.9% of 103 movements
Jul 202549.5% of 105 movements
Aug 202547.2% of 108 movements
Sep 202548.5% of 103 movements
Oct 202530.6% of 111 movements
Nov 20255.2% of 97 movements
Dec 202510.1% of 119 movements
Jan 202618.6% of 129 movements
Feb 202628.3% of 120 movements
Mar 20264.8% of 126 movements
Apr 202621.4% of 103 movements
May 202618.9% of 106 movements
Jun 202649.5% of 101 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals61.0% of 105 movements26.1% across 885 flightsstill above it 8 months later
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures61.9% of 105 movements21.3% across 884 flightsreturned after 4 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals46.2% of 106 movements45.1% across 1,256 flightsreturned the next month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures50.9% of 106 movements35.8% across 1,255 flightsreturned after 3 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals10.6% of 123 movements45.9% across 1,252 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures17.1% of 123 movements35.7% across 1,255 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

July has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical July, 53.3% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Julys in the archive. November has been the calmest, at 10.8% across 6 Novembers.

Even July has ranged from 32.3% to 81.0% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201926.6% of 64 movements8.9% of 56 movements14.5% of 62 movements15.0% of 60 movements21.0% of 62 movements38.3% of 60 movements33.9% of 62 movements37.1% of 62 movements20.8% of 48 movements †13.5% of 52 movements2.7% of 73 movements8.3% of 72 movements202010.5% of 76 movements35.2% of 71 movements16.9% of 59 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2.4% of 41 movements †no events in 39 movements †2.5% of 40 movements †4.0% of 25 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movements202122.2% of 27 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2.6% of 39 movements †2.5% of 40 movements †2.0% of 50 movements11.3% of 71 movements12.9% of 70 movements10.1% of 69 movements21.4% of 70 movements5.0% of 60 movements21.3% of 61 movements202212.2% of 49 movements †21.4% of 56 movements19.1% of 68 movements47.1% of 104 movements63.2% of 106 movements68.3% of 101 movements61.0% of 105 movements54.7% of 106 movements67.3% of 104 movements51.9% of 106 movements27.2% of 103 movements57.4% of 108 movements202343.9% of 107 movements35.4% of 96 movements39.6% of 106 movements32.7% of 104 movements32.7% of 107 movements41.2% of 102 movements57.0% of 107 movements46.2% of 106 movements40.6% of 101 movements41.1% of 107 movements27.5% of 102 movements39.3% of 107 movements202438.5% of 109 movements23.2% of 99 movements20.6% of 107 movements35.3% of 102 movements47.6% of 105 movements78.8% of 104 movements81.0% of 100 movements78.1% of 105 movements66.3% of 98 movements48.1% of 108 movements13.3% of 113 movements28.7% of 115 movements202529.8% of 84 movements23.4% of 111 movements10.6% of 123 movements25.0% of 108 movements19.8% of 106 movements37.9% of 103 movements49.5% of 105 movements47.2% of 108 movements48.5% of 103 movements30.6% of 111 movements5.2% of 97 movements10.1% of 119 movements202618.6% of 129 movements28.3% of 120 movements4.8% of 126 movements21.4% of 103 movements18.9% of 106 movements49.5% of 101 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan29.8%12.2–43.9%7 months, 578 flights
Feb23.2%8.9–35.4%7 months, 570 flights
Mar14.5%4.8–39.6%7 months, 634 flights
Apr25.0%10.0–47.1%7 months, 641 flights
May21.0%18.9–63.2%7 months, 654 flights
Jun41.2%25.0–78.8%7 months, 631 flights
Jul53.3%32.3–81.0%6 months, 541 flights
Aug46.7%24.2–78.1%6 months, 549 flights
Sep44.6%20.8–67.3%6 months, 514 flights
Oct35.9%11.3–51.9%6 months, 546 flights
Nov10.8%2.7–27.5%6 months, 548 flights
Dec31.3%8.3–57.4%6 months, 580 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

Only one carrier published enough flights here to report: Ryanair, 27.1% of 1,328 movements disrupted.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionRyanair27.1% of 1,328 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Dan Air (Aoc) S.R.Lsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jet2.Comsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ryanair1,32827.1% of 1,328 movements0.9% of 1,328 movements0.6% of 1,328 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ryanair Uksuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Taromsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Wizz Airsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LPL had the lowest disruption share at 16.8% of 143 movements and LGW the highest at 52.4% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked. This route sits at 27.1% of 1,328 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBhx ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni31.2% of 574 flightsBrs ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni34.6% of 205 flightsEdi ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni45.5% of 143 flightsLba ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni25.7% of 296 flightsLgw ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni †52.4% of 21 flightsLhr ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni23.3% of 765 flightsLpl ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni16.8% of 143 flightsLtn ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni24.1% of 1,421 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bfs ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhd ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhx ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni57431.2% of 574 movementsno events in 574 movements1.2% of 574 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Brs ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni20534.6% of 205 movements0.5% of 205 movements1.0% of 205 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni14345.5% of 143 movements0.7% of 143 movements0.7% of 143 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni29625.7% of 296 movements0.7% of 296 movements2.4% of 296 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lcy ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lgw ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni2152.4% of 21 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 21 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 21 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Lhr ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni76523.3% of 765 movements0.5% of 765 movements0.4% of 765 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni14316.8% of 143 movementsno events in 143 movementsno events in 143 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni1,42124.1% of 1,421 movements0.2% of 1,421 movements0.6% of 1,421 movementsdescriptive comparison
Man ↔ Bucharest-Otopeni20936.4% of 209 movements0.5% of 209 movements1.0% of 209 movementsdescriptive comparison
Mme ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ncl ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sen ↔ Bucharest-Otopenisuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into STN ran 27.1% of 1,328 movements disrupted, departures 21.7% of 1,325 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into STN27.1% of 1,328 movements0.9% of 1,328 movements0.6% of 1,328 movements
Departures from STN21.7% of 1,325 movements0.5% of 1,325 movements0.1% of 1,325 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202661 flights out of 7,94561 × £350 = £21,350
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202650 flights out of 6,34150 × £350 = £17,500
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202625 flights out of 7,94425 × £350 = £8,750
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202615 flights out of 6,34115 × £350 = £5,250
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportSTANSTED · STN
Final point / countryBUCHAREST (OTOPENI) / ROMANIA
Final point codesOTP / LROP
Great-circle distance2,067 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day3.61
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive102

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 1,328; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

27.1% of 1,328 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.9% of 1,328 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.6% of 1,328 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

2,067 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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