UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

MAN ↔ ANTALYA

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.0% of 1,907 movements arriving into MAN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 55.0% of 1,907 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 119 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.0% of 1,907 movements were disrupted and 1.2% of 1,907 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
45.0% of 1,907 movements1.2% of 1,907 movements38.3–61.8 min; N of delayed flights=835–1,3001,907
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 1.2% of 1,907 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min43.8%30 min29.1%60 min11.9%120 min2.3%180 min0.8%360 min0.4%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min43.8% of 1,907 movements8352.3
>30 min29.1% of 1,907 movements5553.4
>60 min11.9% of 1,907 movements2278.4
>120 min2.3% of 1,907 movements4443.3
>180 min0.8% of 1,907 movements16119.2
>360 min0.4% of 1,907 movements7272.4
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early1879.8%15–1 early39720.8%0–15 late46524.4%16–3028014.7%31–6032817.2%61…1201839.6%121…180281.5%181…36090.5%>36070.4%D=1,907
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0263; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Mar 2024, 3.8% of 80 movements. Worst month: Jul 2024, 84.7% of 274 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2018Feb 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2018: 28.0%; sample: 25Apr 2018: 37.1%; sample: 70May 2018: 54.8%; sample: 93Jun 2018: 63.4%; sample: 112Jul 2018: 45.9%; sample: 111Aug 2018: 35.4%; sample: 113Sep 2018: 50.0%; sample: 108Oct 2018: 25.5%; sample: 102Nov 2018: 20.0%; sample: 35Dec 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2019Feb 2019: 30.0%; sample: 20Mar 2019: 62.9%; sample: 35Apr 2019: 23.3%; sample: 86May 2019: 33.7%; sample: 104Jun 2019: 39.2%; sample: 125Jul 2019: 45.2%; sample: 126Aug 2019: 37.9%; sample: 140Sep 2019: 45.5%; sample: 121Oct 2019: 31.8%; sample: 85Nov 2019: 21.4%; sample: 28Dec 2019: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2020Feb 2020: 50.0%; sample: 24Mar 2020: 28.6%; sample: 21Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: 9.6%; sample: 94Sep 2020: 5.2%; sample: 115Oct 2020: 12.9%; sample: 70Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: no data×Jun 2021: no data×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2021: 36.7%; sample: 60Nov 2021: 29.7%; sample: 37Dec 2021: 32.3%; sample: 31Jan 2022: 29.2%; sample: 242022Feb 2022: 58.3%; sample: 36Mar 2022: 54.0%; sample: 50Apr 2022: 41.5%; sample: 130May 2022: 64.0%; sample: 178Jun 2022: 78.3%; sample: 203Jul 2022: 70.7%; sample: 242Aug 2022: 58.8%; sample: 243Sep 2022: 74.4%; sample: 207Oct 2022: 62.3%; sample: 223Nov 2022: 25.4%; sample: 71Dec 2022: 58.3%; sample: 48Jan 2023: 46.7%; sample: 302023Feb 2023: 35.1%; sample: 37Mar 2023: 64.3%; sample: 70Apr 2023: 44.2%; sample: 165May 2023: 55.4%; sample: 204Jun 2023: 62.9%; sample: 248Jul 2023: 79.5%; sample: 258Aug 2023: 59.0%; sample: 266Sep 2023: 54.1%; sample: 244Oct 2023: 57.0%; sample: 237Nov 2023: 37.6%; sample: 85Dec 2023: 15.9%; sample: 44Jan 2024: 19.4%; sample: 362024Feb 2024: 20.4%; sample: 54Mar 2024: 3.8%; sample: 80Apr 2024: 23.0%; sample: 178May 2024: 45.7%; sample: 208Jun 2024: 77.7%; sample: 251Jul 2024: 84.7%; sample: 274Aug 2024: 54.9%; sample: 295Sep 2024: 50.9%; sample: 271Oct 2024: 38.6%; sample: 272Nov 2024: 20.6%; sample: 102Dec 2024: 39.7%; sample: 68Jan 2025: 40.7%; sample: 542025Feb 2025: 13.3%; sample: 60Mar 2025: 11.0%; sample: 82Apr 2025: 26.1%; sample: 188May 2025: 49.3%; sample: 225Jun 2025: 49.0%; sample: 243Jul 2025: 48.0%; sample: 277Aug 2025: 45.7%; sample: 289Sep 2025: 55.0%; sample: 260Oct 2025: 51.0%; sample: 251Nov 2025: 32.3%; sample: 93Dec 2025: 36.2%; sample: 47Jan 2026: 45.5%; sample: 332026Feb 2026: 37.2%; sample: 43Mar 2026: 19.1%; sample: 68Apr 2026: 33.3%; sample: 141May 2026: 33.8%; sample: 198Jun 2026: 56.5%; sample: 207Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 201828.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201837.1% of 70 movements
May 201854.8% of 93 movements
Jun 201863.4% of 112 movements
Jul 201845.9% of 111 movements
Aug 201835.4% of 113 movements
Sep 201850.0% of 108 movements
Oct 201825.5% of 102 movements
Nov 201820.0% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 201930.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201962.9% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201923.3% of 86 movements
May 201933.7% of 104 movements
Jun 201939.2% of 125 movements
Jul 201945.2% of 126 movements
Aug 201937.9% of 140 movements
Sep 201945.5% of 121 movements
Oct 201931.8% of 85 movements
Nov 201921.4% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 202050.0% of 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202028.6% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 20209.6% of 94 movements
Sep 20205.2% of 115 movements
Oct 202012.9% of 70 movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021no data
Jun 2021no data
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 202136.7% of 60 movements
Nov 202129.7% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202132.3% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202229.2% of 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202258.3% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202254.0% of 50 movements
Apr 202241.5% of 130 movements
May 202264.0% of 178 movements
Jun 202278.3% of 203 movements
Jul 202270.7% of 242 movements
Aug 202258.8% of 243 movements
Sep 202274.4% of 207 movements
Oct 202262.3% of 223 movements
Nov 202225.4% of 71 movements
Dec 202258.3% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202346.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202335.1% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202364.3% of 70 movements
Apr 202344.2% of 165 movements
May 202355.4% of 204 movements
Jun 202362.9% of 248 movements
Jul 202379.5% of 258 movements
Aug 202359.0% of 266 movements
Sep 202354.1% of 244 movements
Oct 202357.0% of 237 movements
Nov 202337.6% of 85 movements
Dec 202315.9% of 44 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202419.4% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202420.4% of 54 movements
Mar 20243.8% of 80 movements
Apr 202423.0% of 178 movements
May 202445.7% of 208 movements
Jun 202477.7% of 251 movements
Jul 202484.7% of 274 movements
Aug 202454.9% of 295 movements
Sep 202450.9% of 271 movements
Oct 202438.6% of 272 movements
Nov 202420.6% of 102 movements
Dec 202439.7% of 68 movements
Jan 202540.7% of 54 movements
Feb 202513.3% of 60 movements
Mar 202511.0% of 82 movements
Apr 202526.1% of 188 movements
May 202549.3% of 225 movements
Jun 202549.0% of 243 movements
Jul 202548.0% of 277 movements
Aug 202545.7% of 289 movements
Sep 202555.0% of 260 movements
Oct 202551.0% of 251 movements
Nov 202532.3% of 93 movements
Dec 202536.2% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202645.5% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202637.2% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202619.1% of 68 movements
Apr 202633.3% of 141 movements
May 202633.8% of 198 movements
Jun 202656.5% of 207 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals70.7% of 242 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures85.2% of 244 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals59.0% of 266 movements55.6% across 1,804 flightsreturned the next month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures69.7% of 261 movements51.8% across 1,797 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals11.0% of 82 movements41.1% across 2,113 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures22.6% of 84 movements42.7% across 2,106 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

June has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical June, 62.9% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 7 Junes in the archive. November has been the calmest, at 23.4% across 6 Novembers.

Even June has ranged from 39.2% to 78.3% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2019suppressed: fewer than twenty movements30.0% of 20 movements †62.9% of 35 movements †23.3% of 86 movements33.7% of 104 movements39.2% of 125 movements45.2% of 126 movements37.9% of 140 movements45.5% of 121 movements31.8% of 85 movements21.4% of 28 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movements2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements50.0% of 24 movements †28.6% of 21 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements9.6% of 94 movements5.2% of 115 movements12.9% of 70 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datano datano datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements36.7% of 60 movements29.7% of 37 movements †32.3% of 31 movements †202229.2% of 24 movements †58.3% of 36 movements †54.0% of 50 movements41.5% of 130 movements64.0% of 178 movements78.3% of 203 movements70.7% of 242 movements58.8% of 243 movements74.4% of 207 movements62.3% of 223 movements25.4% of 71 movements58.3% of 48 movements †202346.7% of 30 movements †35.1% of 37 movements †64.3% of 70 movements44.2% of 165 movements55.4% of 204 movements62.9% of 248 movements79.5% of 258 movements59.0% of 266 movements54.1% of 244 movements57.0% of 237 movements37.6% of 85 movements15.9% of 44 movements †202419.4% of 36 movements †20.4% of 54 movements3.8% of 80 movements23.0% of 178 movements45.7% of 208 movements77.7% of 251 movements84.7% of 274 movements54.9% of 295 movements50.9% of 271 movements38.6% of 272 movements20.6% of 102 movements39.7% of 68 movements202540.7% of 54 movements13.3% of 60 movements11.0% of 82 movements26.1% of 188 movements49.3% of 225 movements49.0% of 243 movements48.0% of 277 movements45.7% of 289 movements55.0% of 260 movements51.0% of 251 movements32.3% of 93 movements36.2% of 47 movements †202645.5% of 33 movements †37.2% of 43 movements †19.1% of 68 movements33.3% of 141 movements33.8% of 198 movements56.5% of 207 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan40.7%19.4–46.7%5 months, 177 flights
Feb32.6%13.3–58.3%6 months, 250 flights
Mar28.0%3.8–64.3%7 months, 410 flights
Apr33.3%23.0–44.2%7 months, 958 flights
May49.3%33.7–64.0%7 months, 1,210 flights
Jun62.9%39.2–78.3%7 months, 1,389 flights
Jul59.3%45.2–84.7%6 months, 1,288 flights
Aug50.3%35.4–59.0%6 months, 1,346 flights
Sep52.5%45.5–74.4%6 months, 1,211 flights
Oct44.8%25.5–62.3%6 months, 1,170 flights
Nov23.4%20.0–37.6%6 months, 414 flights
Dec37.9%15.9–58.3%4 months, 207 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Corendon Airlines 16.1% of 161 movements, Pegasus Airlines 22.2% of 117 movements, Sunexpress 25.1% of 676 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionCorendon Airlines16.1% of 161 flightsEasyjet Uk46.2% of 325 flightsJet2.Com82.6% of 522 flightsPegasus Airlines22.2% of 117 flightsSunexpress25.1% of 676 flightsTui Airways52.0% of 102 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Avion Expresssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Corendon Airlines16116.1% of 161 movementsno events in 161 movements1.2% of 161 movementsdescriptive comparison
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk32546.2% of 325 movements0.9% of 325 movements0.3% of 325 movementsdescriptive comparison
Freebird Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jet2.Com52282.6% of 522 movements0.2% of 522 movements1.7% of 522 movementsdescriptive comparison
Pegasus Airlines11722.2% of 117 movementsno events in 117 movements0.9% of 117 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sunexpress67625.1% of 676 movements2.8% of 676 movements0.3% of 676 movementsdescriptive comparison
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Thy Turkish Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airways10252.0% of 102 movementsno events in 102 movements1.0% of 102 movementsdescriptive comparison

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, NCL had the lowest disruption share at 22.2% of 554 movements and BOH the highest at 65.8% of 114 movements. This route sits at 45.0% of 1,907 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBfs ↔ Antalya42.1% of 171 flightsBhx ↔ Antalya38.3% of 978 flightsBoh ↔ Antalya65.8% of 114 flightsBrs ↔ Antalya44.2% of 579 flightsCwl ↔ Antalya55.2% of 58 flightsEdi ↔ Antalya29.3% of 491 flightsEma ↔ Antalya43.2% of 271 flightsExt ↔ Antalya †50.0% of 34 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Bfs ↔ Antalya17142.1% of 171 movements1.2% of 171 movements0.6% of 171 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhx ↔ Antalya97838.3% of 978 movements0.7% of 978 movements0.5% of 978 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Antalya11465.8% of 114 movements2.6% of 114 movements0.9% of 114 movementsdescriptive comparison
Brs ↔ Antalya57944.2% of 579 movements0.3% of 579 movements1.2% of 579 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Antalya5855.2% of 58 movementsno events in 58 movementsno events in 58 movementsdescriptive comparison
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Antalyasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Antalya49129.3% of 491 movements0.2% of 491 movementsno events in 491 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Antalya27143.2% of 271 movements0.4% of 271 movementsno events in 271 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ext ↔ Antalya3450.0% of 34 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 34 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 34 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Gla ↔ Antalya49528.7% of 495 movementsno events in 495 movements0.6% of 495 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lba ↔ Antalya38532.7% of 385 movements0.3% of 385 movements0.3% of 385 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lgw ↔ Antalya1,78742.3% of 1,787 movements1.1% of 1,787 movements1.0% of 1,787 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Antalyasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lpl ↔ Antalya33634.5% of 336 movementsno events in 336 movements0.3% of 336 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Antalya60933.5% of 609 movements0.5% of 609 movements1.0% of 609 movementsdescriptive comparison
Mme ↔ Antalyasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ncl ↔ Antalya55422.2% of 554 movementsno events in 554 movementsno events in 554 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Antalya10426.0% of 104 movementsno events in 104 movementsno events in 104 movementsdescriptive comparison
Stn ↔ Antalya1,11634.9% of 1,116 movements0.1% of 1,116 movements0.5% of 1,116 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Barely: arrivals into MAN ran 45.0% of 1,907 movements disrupted, departures 47.4% of 1,901 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into MAN45.0% of 1,907 movements1.2% of 1,907 movements0.8% of 1,907 movements
Departures from MAN47.4% of 1,901 movements1.2% of 1,901 movements0.4% of 1,901 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 2026111 flights out of 10,610111 × £350 = £38,850
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202689 flights out of 8,84289 × £350 = £31,150
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 2026106 flights out of 10,574106 × £350 = £37,100
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202681 flights out of 8,80681 × £350 = £28,350
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportMANCHESTER · MAN
Final point / countryANTALYA / TURKEY
Final point codesAYT / LTAI
Great-circle distance3,131 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day5.16
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive92

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 1,907; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

45.0% of 1,907 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

1.2% of 1,907 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.8% of 1,907 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

3,131 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

Was your flight delayed 3h+? Check what you may be owed

We'll email you once; unsubscribe any time.

Related records