UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

MAN ↔ MARRAKESH

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.2% of 825 movements arriving into MAN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 54.8% of 825 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 69 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 45.2% of 825 movements were disrupted and 0.2% of 825 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
45.2% of 825 movements0.2% of 825 movements35.3–58.2 min; N of delayed flights=371–588825
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.2% of 825 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min45.0%30 min26.5%60 min11.6%120 min3.8%180 min1.5%360 min0.1%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min45.0% of 825 movements3712.2
>30 min26.5% of 825 movements2193.8
>60 min11.6% of 825 movements968.6
>120 min3.8% of 825 movements3126.6
>180 min1.5% of 825 movements1268.8
>360 min0.1% of 825 movements1825.0
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early708.5%15–1 early16520.0%0–15 late21726.2%16–3015218.4%31–6012314.9%61…120657.9%121…180192.3%181…360111.3%>36010.1%D=827
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0436; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Aug 2024, 26.3% of 57 movements. Worst month: Sep 2025, 58.3% of 72 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2018Feb 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2018: 19.2%; sample: 26Apr 2018: 28.6%; sample: 21May 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2018: 26.9%; sample: 26Nov 2018: 14.3%; sample: 28Dec 2018: 18.5%; sample: 27Jan 2019: 32.1%; sample: 282019Feb 2019: 13.8%; sample: 29Mar 2019: 24.2%; sample: 33Apr 2019: 41.2%; sample: 34May 2019: 42.9%; sample: 35Jun 2019: 39.5%; sample: 38Jul 2019: 23.1%; sample: 39Aug 2019: 24.4%; sample: 41Sep 2019: 43.2%; sample: 37Oct 2019: 32.3%; sample: 31Nov 2019: 50.0%; sample: 28Dec 2019: 64.3%; sample: 28Jan 2020: 35.7%; sample: 282020Feb 2020: 46.9%; sample: 32Mar 2020: 50.0%; sample: 26Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Oct 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: no data×Jun 2021: no data×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2021: 4.8%; sample: 21Oct 2021: 14.3%; sample: 21Nov 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2022: no data×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: 26.7%; sample: 30Apr 2022: 37.2%; sample: 43May 2022: 57.9%; sample: 38Jun 2022: 29.4%; sample: 34Jul 2022: 45.9%; sample: 37Aug 2022: 45.0%; sample: 40Sep 2022: 60.5%; sample: 38Oct 2022: 50.0%; sample: 42Nov 2022: 15.0%; sample: 40Dec 2022: 45.0%; sample: 40Jan 2023: 38.2%; sample: 342023Feb 2023: 25.0%; sample: 36Mar 2023: 42.2%; sample: 45Apr 2023: 45.9%; sample: 37May 2023: 65.9%; sample: 41Jun 2023: 57.9%; sample: 38Jul 2023: 59.0%; sample: 39Aug 2023: 53.7%; sample: 41Sep 2023: 46.2%; sample: 39Oct 2023: 50.0%; sample: 42Nov 2023: 29.2%; sample: 48Dec 2023: 40.0%; sample: 45Jan 2024: 23.9%; sample: 462024Feb 2024: 39.1%; sample: 46Mar 2024: 20.4%; sample: 49Apr 2024: 36.9%; sample: 65May 2024: 41.3%; sample: 63Jun 2024: 32.2%; sample: 59Jul 2024: 34.5%; sample: 58Aug 2024: 26.3%; sample: 57Sep 2024: 39.4%; sample: 66Oct 2024: 37.5%; sample: 72Nov 2024: 38.2%; sample: 76Dec 2024: 47.4%; sample: 78Jan 2025: 54.1%; sample: 742025Feb 2025: 30.0%; sample: 70Mar 2025: 27.6%; sample: 76Apr 2025: 46.6%; sample: 73May 2025: 41.3%; sample: 75Jun 2025: 53.6%; sample: 69Jul 2025: 47.7%; sample: 65Aug 2025: 38.8%; sample: 67Sep 2025: 58.3%; sample: 72Oct 2025: 51.9%; sample: 77Nov 2025: 37.8%; sample: 74Dec 2025: 49.3%; sample: 67Jan 2026: 46.3%; sample: 542026Feb 2026: 42.2%; sample: 64Mar 2026: 33.8%; sample: 77Apr 2026: 47.8%; sample: 69May 2026: 42.6%; sample: 68Jun 2026: 46.5%; sample: 71Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 201819.2% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201828.6% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 201826.9% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 201814.3% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201818.5% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 201932.1% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 201913.8% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201924.2% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 201941.2% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201942.9% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 201939.5% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 201923.1% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 201924.4% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 201943.2% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 201932.3% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 201950.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201964.3% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202035.7% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202046.9% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202050.0% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Oct 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021no data
Jun 2021no data
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 20214.8% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202114.3% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2022no data
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 202226.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202237.2% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202257.9% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202229.4% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202245.9% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202245.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202260.5% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202250.0% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202215.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202245.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202338.2% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202325.0% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202342.2% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202345.9% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202365.9% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202357.9% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202359.0% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202353.7% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202346.2% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202350.0% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202329.2% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202340.0% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202423.9% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202439.1% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202420.4% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202436.9% of 65 movements
May 202441.3% of 63 movements
Jun 202432.2% of 59 movements
Jul 202434.5% of 58 movements
Aug 202426.3% of 57 movements
Sep 202439.4% of 66 movements
Oct 202437.5% of 72 movements
Nov 202438.2% of 76 movements
Dec 202447.4% of 78 movements
Jan 202554.1% of 74 movements
Feb 202530.0% of 70 movements
Mar 202527.6% of 76 movements
Apr 202546.6% of 73 movements
May 202541.3% of 75 movements
Jun 202553.6% of 69 movements
Jul 202547.7% of 65 movements
Aug 202538.8% of 67 movements
Sep 202558.3% of 72 movements
Oct 202551.9% of 77 movements
Nov 202537.8% of 74 movements
Dec 202549.3% of 67 movements
Jan 202646.3% of 54 movements
Feb 202642.2% of 64 movements
Mar 202633.8% of 77 movements
Apr 202647.8% of 69 movements
May 202642.6% of 68 movements
Jun 202646.5% of 71 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals45.9% of 37 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures42.1% of 38 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals53.7% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked45.8% across 470 flightsreturned after 3 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures38.5% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked30.6% across 471 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals27.6% of 76 movements36.5% across 787 flightsstill above it 8 months later
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures13.3% of 75 movements25.7% across 784 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

December has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical December, 46.2% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Decembers in the archive. March has been the calmest, at 26.7% across 7 Marchs.

Even December has ranged from 18.5% to 64.3% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201932.1% of 28 movements †13.8% of 29 movements †24.2% of 33 movements †41.2% of 34 movements †42.9% of 35 movements †39.5% of 38 movements †23.1% of 39 movements †24.4% of 41 movements †43.2% of 37 movements †32.3% of 31 movements †50.0% of 28 movements †64.3% of 28 movements †202035.7% of 28 movements †46.9% of 32 movements †50.0% of 26 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datano datano datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements4.8% of 21 movements †14.3% of 21 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2022no datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movements26.7% of 30 movements †37.2% of 43 movements †57.9% of 38 movements †29.4% of 34 movements †45.9% of 37 movements †45.0% of 40 movements †60.5% of 38 movements †50.0% of 42 movements †15.0% of 40 movements †45.0% of 40 movements †202338.2% of 34 movements †25.0% of 36 movements †42.2% of 45 movements †45.9% of 37 movements †65.9% of 41 movements †57.9% of 38 movements †59.0% of 39 movements †53.7% of 41 movements †46.2% of 39 movements †50.0% of 42 movements †29.2% of 48 movements †40.0% of 45 movements †202423.9% of 46 movements †39.1% of 46 movements †20.4% of 49 movements †36.9% of 65 movements41.3% of 63 movements32.2% of 59 movements34.5% of 58 movements26.3% of 57 movements39.4% of 66 movements37.5% of 72 movements38.2% of 76 movements47.4% of 78 movements202554.1% of 74 movements30.0% of 70 movements27.6% of 76 movements46.6% of 73 movements41.3% of 75 movements53.6% of 69 movements47.7% of 65 movements38.8% of 67 movements58.3% of 72 movements51.9% of 77 movements37.8% of 74 movements49.3% of 67 movements202646.3% of 54 movements42.2% of 64 movements33.8% of 77 movements47.8% of 69 movements42.6% of 68 movements46.5% of 71 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan38.2%23.9–54.1%5 months, 236 flights
Feb30.0%13.8–42.2%5 months, 245 flights
Mar26.7%19.2–42.2%7 months, 336 flights
Apr41.2%28.6–47.8%7 months, 342 flights
May42.8%41.3–65.9%6 months, 320 flights
Jun43.0%29.4–57.9%6 months, 309 flights
Jul45.9%23.1–59.0%5 months, 238 flights
Aug38.8%24.4–53.7%5 months, 246 flights
Sep46.2%39.4–60.5%5 months, 252 flights
Oct43.8%26.9–51.9%6 months, 290 flights
Nov33.5%14.3–50.0%6 months, 294 flights
Dec46.2%18.5–64.3%6 months, 285 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Easyjet Uk 25.6% of 270 movements, Ryanair Uk 53.0% of 353 movements, Tui Airways 56.1% of 98 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Uk25.6% of 270 flightsJet2.Com59.6% of 104 flightsRyanair Uk53.0% of 353 flightsTui Airways56.1% of 98 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Corendon Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Corendon Airlines Europesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Corendon Dutch Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk27025.6% of 270 movements0.4% of 270 movements1.5% of 270 movementsdescriptive comparison
Jet2.Com10459.6% of 104 movementsno events in 104 movements1.9% of 104 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ryanairsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ryanair Uk35353.0% of 353 movements0.3% of 353 movements1.4% of 353 movementsdescriptive comparison
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airways9856.1% of 98 movementsno events in 98 movements1.0% of 98 movementsdescriptive comparison

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LHR had the lowest disruption share at 5.7% of 228 movements and EDI the highest at 35.8% of 165 movements. This route sits at 45.2% of 825 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBfs ↔ Marrakesh22.0% of 50 flightsBhx ↔ Marrakesh31.7% of 312 flightsBrs ↔ Marrakesh29.2% of 195 flightsEdi ↔ Marrakesh35.8% of 165 flightsGla ↔ Marrakesh16.1% of 112 flightsLba ↔ Marrakesh23.3% of 60 flightsLgw ↔ Marrakesh20.5% of 1,721 flightsLhr ↔ Marrakesh5.7% of 228 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Bfs ↔ Marrakesh5022.0% of 50 movementsno events in 50 movements2.0% of 50 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhx ↔ Marrakesh31231.7% of 312 movementsno events in 312 movements0.6% of 312 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Marrakeshsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Brs ↔ Marrakesh19529.2% of 195 movements0.5% of 195 movementsno events in 195 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Marrakeshsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Marrakesh16535.8% of 165 movementsno events in 165 movements1.2% of 165 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Marrakeshsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Marrakesh11216.1% of 112 movementsno events in 112 movementsno events in 112 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lba ↔ Marrakesh6023.3% of 60 movements1.7% of 60 movementsno events in 60 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lgw ↔ Marrakesh1,72120.5% of 1,721 movements0.2% of 1,721 movements0.5% of 1,721 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Marrakesh2285.7% of 228 movementsno events in 228 movements0.4% of 228 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Marrakesh13016.9% of 130 movementsno events in 130 movementsno events in 130 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Marrakesh23717.7% of 237 movements0.8% of 237 movementsno events in 237 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Marrakesh9323.7% of 93 movementsno events in 93 movements1.1% of 93 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Marrakesh11915.1% of 119 movements0.8% of 119 movements0.8% of 119 movementsdescriptive comparison
Stn ↔ Marrakesh81930.4% of 819 movements0.2% of 819 movements0.6% of 819 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into MAN ran 45.2% of 825 movements disrupted, departures 27.2% of 826 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into MAN45.2% of 825 movements0.2% of 825 movements1.5% of 825 movements
Departures from MAN27.2% of 826 movements0.1% of 826 movements0.8% of 826 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202648 flights out of 3,70148 × £350 = £16,800
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202643 flights out of 2,96043 × £350 = £15,050
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202622 flights out of 3,69722 × £350 = £7,700
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202620 flights out of 2,95820 × £350 = £7,000
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportMANCHESTER · MAN
Final point / countryMARRAKESH / MOROCCO
Final point codesRAK / GMMX
Great-circle distance2,462 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day2.25
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive90

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 2; all recorded operations: 827; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

45.2% of 825 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.2% of 825 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

1.5% of 825 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

2,462 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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