UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

MAN ↔ FARO

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 30.2% of 1,368 movements arriving into MAN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 69.8% of 1,368 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 171 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 30.2% of 1,368 movements were disrupted and 0.6% of 1,368 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
30.2% of 1,368 movements0.6% of 1,368 movements29.6–61.0 min; N of delayed flights=405–7891,368
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.6% of 1,368 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min29.6%30 min16.4%60 min7.0%120 min1.4%180 min0.6%360 min0.4%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min29.6% of 1,368 movements4053.4
>30 min16.4% of 1,368 movements2246.1
>60 min7.0% of 1,368 movements9614.2
>120 min1.4% of 1,368 movements1972.0
>180 min0.6% of 1,368 movements8171.0
>360 min0.4% of 1,368 movements5273.6
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early15711.5%15–1 early41430.3%0–15 late38428.1%16–3018113.2%31–601289.4%61…120775.6%121…180110.8%181…36030.2%>36050.4%D=1,368
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0259; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Nov 2018, 1.5% of 67 movements. Worst month: Sep 2025, 47.4% of 152 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 12.5%; sample: 242018Feb 2018: 5.7%; sample: 35Mar 2018: 13.3%; sample: 60Apr 2018: 7.0%; sample: 114May 2018: 28.1%; sample: 121Jun 2018: 18.4%; sample: 158Jul 2018: 16.3%; sample: 172Aug 2018: 14.6%; sample: 171Sep 2018: 19.2%; sample: 156Oct 2018: 15.9%; sample: 138Nov 2018: 1.5%; sample: 67Dec 2018: 11.7%; sample: 60Jan 2019: 20.3%; sample: 592019Feb 2019: 10.9%; sample: 64Mar 2019: 10.4%; sample: 77Apr 2019: 13.6%; sample: 140May 2019: 13.0%; sample: 154Jun 2019: 10.9%; sample: 147Jul 2019: 11.9%; sample: 168Aug 2019: 8.4%; sample: 190Sep 2019: 19.6%; sample: 179Oct 2019: 5.2%; sample: 153Nov 2019: 13.8%; sample: 58Dec 2019: 17.5%; sample: 57Jan 2020: 2.9%; sample: 352020Feb 2020: 28.9%; sample: 38Mar 2020: 44.4%; sample: 36Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: 5.8%; sample: 52Aug 2020: 11.9%; sample: 101Sep 2020: 8.7%; sample: 138Oct 2020: 12.1%; sample: 58Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2021: 5.4%; sample: 56Jun 2021: 13.4%; sample: 112Jul 2021: 13.9%; sample: 101Aug 2021: 6.1%; sample: 131Sep 2021: 7.0%; sample: 128Oct 2021: 14.2%; sample: 127Nov 2021: 20.5%; sample: 39Dec 2021: 14.7%; sample: 34Jan 2022: 7.4%; sample: 272022Feb 2022: 23.1%; sample: 39Mar 2022: 14.3%; sample: 63Apr 2022: 21.7%; sample: 138May 2022: 32.0%; sample: 153Jun 2022: 37.3%; sample: 158Jul 2022: 26.7%; sample: 165Aug 2022: 22.0%; sample: 164Sep 2022: 31.4%; sample: 159Oct 2022: 29.2%; sample: 154Nov 2022: 24.5%; sample: 49Dec 2022: 43.8%; sample: 48Jan 2023: 11.9%; sample: 422023Feb 2023: 16.7%; sample: 48Mar 2023: 32.9%; sample: 73Apr 2023: 26.9%; sample: 134May 2023: 27.9%; sample: 147Jun 2023: 27.2%; sample: 151Jul 2023: 31.4%; sample: 169Aug 2023: 24.6%; sample: 175Sep 2023: 28.0%; sample: 164Oct 2023: 23.1%; sample: 160Nov 2023: 10.9%; sample: 64Dec 2023: 30.9%; sample: 55Jan 2024: 10.6%; sample: 472024Feb 2024: 28.6%; sample: 56Mar 2024: 20.3%; sample: 74Apr 2024: 22.6%; sample: 115May 2024: 25.5%; sample: 137Jun 2024: 34.9%; sample: 146Jul 2024: 34.7%; sample: 150Aug 2024: 23.8%; sample: 151Sep 2024: 36.6%; sample: 153Oct 2024: 19.0%; sample: 142Nov 2024: 16.4%; sample: 67Dec 2024: 28.8%; sample: 59Jan 2025: 42.2%; sample: 452025Feb 2025: 22.2%; sample: 54Mar 2025: 17.0%; sample: 94Apr 2025: 26.2%; sample: 130May 2025: 26.0%; sample: 146Jun 2025: 36.6%; sample: 153Jul 2025: 38.2%; sample: 157Aug 2025: 29.4%; sample: 163Sep 2025: 47.4%; sample: 152Oct 2025: 35.1%; sample: 151Nov 2025: 22.9%; sample: 70Dec 2025: 31.0%; sample: 58Jan 2026: 26.3%; sample: 382026Feb 2026: 29.4%; sample: 51Mar 2026: 28.1%; sample: 89Apr 2026: 14.7%; sample: 129May 2026: 24.0%; sample: 154Jun 2026: 25.6%; sample: 156Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201812.5% of 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20185.7% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201813.3% of 60 movements
Apr 20187.0% of 114 movements
May 201828.1% of 121 movements
Jun 201818.4% of 158 movements
Jul 201816.3% of 172 movements
Aug 201814.6% of 171 movements
Sep 201819.2% of 156 movements
Oct 201815.9% of 138 movements
Nov 20181.5% of 67 movements
Dec 201811.7% of 60 movements
Jan 201920.3% of 59 movements
Feb 201910.9% of 64 movements
Mar 201910.4% of 77 movements
Apr 201913.6% of 140 movements
May 201913.0% of 154 movements
Jun 201910.9% of 147 movements
Jul 201911.9% of 168 movements
Aug 20198.4% of 190 movements
Sep 201919.6% of 179 movements
Oct 20195.2% of 153 movements
Nov 201913.8% of 58 movements
Dec 201917.5% of 57 movements
Jan 20202.9% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202028.9% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202044.4% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 20205.8% of 52 movements
Aug 202011.9% of 101 movements
Sep 20208.7% of 138 movements
Oct 202012.1% of 58 movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 20215.4% of 56 movements
Jun 202113.4% of 112 movements
Jul 202113.9% of 101 movements
Aug 20216.1% of 131 movements
Sep 20217.0% of 128 movements
Oct 202114.2% of 127 movements
Nov 202120.5% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202114.7% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 20227.4% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202223.1% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202214.3% of 63 movements
Apr 202221.7% of 138 movements
May 202232.0% of 153 movements
Jun 202237.3% of 158 movements
Jul 202226.7% of 165 movements
Aug 202222.0% of 164 movements
Sep 202231.4% of 159 movements
Oct 202229.2% of 154 movements
Nov 202224.5% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202243.8% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202311.9% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202316.7% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202332.9% of 73 movements
Apr 202326.9% of 134 movements
May 202327.9% of 147 movements
Jun 202327.2% of 151 movements
Jul 202331.4% of 169 movements
Aug 202324.6% of 175 movements
Sep 202328.0% of 164 movements
Oct 202323.1% of 160 movements
Nov 202310.9% of 64 movements
Dec 202330.9% of 55 movements
Jan 202410.6% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202428.6% of 56 movements
Mar 202420.3% of 74 movements
Apr 202422.6% of 115 movements
May 202425.5% of 137 movements
Jun 202434.9% of 146 movements
Jul 202434.7% of 150 movements
Aug 202423.8% of 151 movements
Sep 202436.6% of 153 movements
Oct 202419.0% of 142 movements
Nov 202416.4% of 67 movements
Dec 202428.8% of 59 movements
Jan 202542.2% of 45 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202522.2% of 54 movements
Mar 202517.0% of 94 movements
Apr 202526.2% of 130 movements
May 202526.0% of 146 movements
Jun 202536.6% of 153 movements
Jul 202538.2% of 157 movements
Aug 202529.4% of 163 movements
Sep 202547.4% of 152 movements
Oct 202535.1% of 151 movements
Nov 202522.9% of 70 movements
Dec 202531.0% of 58 movements
Jan 202626.3% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202629.4% of 51 movements
Mar 202628.1% of 89 movements
Apr 202614.7% of 129 movements
May 202624.0% of 154 movements
Jun 202625.6% of 156 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals26.7% of 165 movements17.7% across 1,138 flightsreturned after 6 months
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures57.2% of 166 movements28.3% across 1,135 flightsreturned after 4 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals24.6% of 175 movements27.1% across 1,338 flightsreturned after 2 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures37.1% of 170 movements35.5% across 1,337 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals17.0% of 94 movements27.3% across 1,293 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures18.9% of 95 movements32.4% across 1,285 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

December has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical December, 29.9% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Decembers in the archive. January has been the calmest, at 12.5% across 7 Januarys.

Even December has ranged from 11.7% to 43.8% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201920.3% of 59 movements10.9% of 64 movements10.4% of 77 movements13.6% of 140 movements13.0% of 154 movements10.9% of 147 movements11.9% of 168 movements8.4% of 190 movements19.6% of 179 movements5.2% of 153 movements13.8% of 58 movements17.5% of 57 movements20202.9% of 35 movements †28.9% of 38 movements †44.4% of 36 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements5.8% of 52 movements11.9% of 101 movements8.7% of 138 movements12.1% of 58 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements5.4% of 56 movements13.4% of 112 movements13.9% of 101 movements6.1% of 131 movements7.0% of 128 movements14.2% of 127 movements20.5% of 39 movements †14.7% of 34 movements †20227.4% of 27 movements †23.1% of 39 movements †14.3% of 63 movements21.7% of 138 movements32.0% of 153 movements37.3% of 158 movements26.7% of 165 movements22.0% of 164 movements31.4% of 159 movements29.2% of 154 movements24.5% of 49 movements †43.8% of 48 movements †202311.9% of 42 movements †16.7% of 48 movements †32.9% of 73 movements26.9% of 134 movements27.9% of 147 movements27.2% of 151 movements31.4% of 169 movements24.6% of 175 movements28.0% of 164 movements23.1% of 160 movements10.9% of 64 movements30.9% of 55 movements202410.6% of 47 movements †28.6% of 56 movements20.3% of 74 movements22.6% of 115 movements25.5% of 137 movements34.9% of 146 movements34.7% of 150 movements23.8% of 151 movements36.6% of 153 movements19.0% of 142 movements16.4% of 67 movements28.8% of 59 movements202542.2% of 45 movements †22.2% of 54 movements17.0% of 94 movements26.2% of 130 movements26.0% of 146 movements36.6% of 153 movements38.2% of 157 movements29.4% of 163 movements47.4% of 152 movements35.1% of 151 movements22.9% of 70 movements31.0% of 58 movements202626.3% of 38 movements †29.4% of 51 movements28.1% of 89 movements14.7% of 129 movements24.0% of 154 movements25.6% of 156 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan12.5%7.4–42.2%7 months, 282 flights
Feb22.2%5.7–29.4%7 months, 347 flights
Mar17.0%10.4–32.9%7 months, 530 flights
Apr21.7%7.0–26.9%7 months, 900 flights
May26.0%13.0–32.0%7 months, 1,012 flights
Jun27.2%10.9–37.3%7 months, 1,069 flights
Jul29.0%11.9–38.2%6 months, 981 flights
Aug22.9%8.4–29.4%6 months, 1,014 flights
Sep29.7%19.2–47.4%6 months, 963 flights
Oct21.1%5.2–35.1%6 months, 898 flights
Nov15.1%1.5–24.5%6 months, 375 flights
Dec29.9%11.7–43.8%6 months, 337 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Easyjet Europe 9.7% of 155 movements, Ryanair 29.1% of 536 movements, Jet2.Com 32.9% of 432 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Europe9.7% of 155 flightsEasyjet Uk36.0% of 111 flightsJet2.Com32.9% of 432 flightsRyanair29.1% of 536 flightsRyanair Uk40.0% of 95 flightsTui Airways †56.8% of 37 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Air Alliance Expresssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Air Transatsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Air X Chartersuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
British Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Eastern Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Europe1559.7% of 155 movements1.3% of 155 movementsno events in 155 movementsdescriptive comparison
Easyjet Uk11136.0% of 111 movements1.8% of 111 movements2.7% of 111 movementsdescriptive comparison
Enter Airsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Flybesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Hi Flysuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Hi Fly Maltasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jet2.Com43232.9% of 432 movements0.2% of 432 movements0.5% of 432 movementsdescriptive comparison
Klasjet Uabsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Monarch Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Pullmantur Airsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ryanair53629.1% of 536 movements0.2% of 536 movementsno events in 536 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ryanair Uk9540.0% of 95 movements1.1% of 95 movements3.2% of 95 movementsdescriptive comparison
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airways3756.8% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked2.7% of 37 movements — small sample, not rankedno events in 37 movements — small sample, not rankedsmall sample; not ranked
Unknownsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, CWL had the lowest disruption share at 4.8% of 84 movements and LTN the highest at 27.9% of 1,162 movements. This route sits at 30.2% of 1,368 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionAbz ↔ Faro5.5% of 91 flightsBfs ↔ Faro11.9% of 798 flightsBhx ↔ Faro16.4% of 877 flightsBoh ↔ Faro12.6% of 317 flightsBrs ↔ Faro20.0% of 1,192 flightsCwl ↔ Faro4.8% of 84 flightsEdi ↔ Faro19.1% of 476 flightsEma ↔ Faro15.3% of 653 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Faro915.5% of 91 movements1.1% of 91 movementsno events in 91 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bfs ↔ Faro79811.9% of 798 movements0.3% of 798 movements0.1% of 798 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhd ↔ Farosuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bhx ↔ Faro87716.4% of 877 movements0.1% of 877 movements0.3% of 877 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Faro31712.6% of 317 movementsno events in 317 movements0.3% of 317 movementsdescriptive comparison
Brs ↔ Faro1,19220.0% of 1,192 movements0.8% of 1,192 movements0.4% of 1,192 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Faro844.8% of 84 movementsno events in 84 movements1.2% of 84 movementsdescriptive comparison
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Farosuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Faro47619.1% of 476 movementsno events in 476 movementsno events in 476 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Faro65315.3% of 653 movements0.2% of 653 movementsno events in 653 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ext ↔ Faro595.1% of 59 movementsno events in 59 movementsno events in 59 movementsdescriptive comparison
Gla ↔ Faro48113.5% of 481 movements1.0% of 481 movements0.6% of 481 movementsdescriptive comparison
Iom ↔ Farosuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jer ↔ Farosuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Faro64720.9% of 647 movements0.8% of 647 movements0.8% of 647 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lcy ↔ Faro10615.1% of 106 movements0.9% of 106 movementsno events in 106 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lgw ↔ Faro2,65527.3% of 2,655 movements1.0% of 2,655 movements0.6% of 2,655 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Faro52719.7% of 527 movements0.8% of 527 movementsno events in 527 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Faro76511.5% of 765 movements0.7% of 765 movements0.1% of 765 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Faro1,16227.9% of 1,162 movements0.4% of 1,162 movements0.3% of 1,162 movementsdescriptive comparison
Mme ↔ Faro6116.4% of 61 movementsno events in 61 movementsno events in 61 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Faro48512.2% of 485 movementsno events in 485 movementsno events in 485 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Faro14319.6% of 143 movementsno events in 143 movementsno events in 143 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sou ↔ Faro5115.7% of 51 movements2.0% of 51 movements2.0% of 51 movementsdescriptive comparison
Stn ↔ Faro1,24421.7% of 1,244 movements0.3% of 1,244 movements0.6% of 1,244 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into MAN ran 30.2% of 1,368 movements disrupted, departures 33.3% of 1,357 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into MAN30.2% of 1,368 movements0.6% of 1,368 movements0.6% of 1,368 movements
Departures from MAN33.3% of 1,357 movements0.4% of 1,357 movements0.4% of 1,357 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202653 flights out of 9,93553 × £350 = £18,550
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202640 flights out of 7,10140 × £350 = £14,000
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202643 flights out of 9,91743 × £350 = £15,050
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202631 flights out of 7,07531 × £350 = £10,850
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportMANCHESTER · MAN
Final point / countryFARO / PORTUGAL(EXCLUDING MADEIRA)
Final point codesFAO / LPFR
Great-circle distance1,869 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£350
Average operated arrivals per day3.73
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive98

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 1,368; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

30.2% of 1,368 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.6% of 1,368 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.6% of 1,368 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

1,869 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

Was your flight delayed 3h+? Check what you may be owed

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