UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

MAN ↔ OPORTO PORTUGAL

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 37.4% of 514 movements arriving into MAN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 62.6% of 514 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 171 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 37.4% of 514 movements were disrupted and 0.2% of 514 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
37.4% of 514 movements0.2% of 514 movements31.1–55.8 min; N of delayed flights=191–326514
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 0.2% of 514 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min37.2%30 min21.6%60 min8.9%120 min2.5%180 min0.6%360 min0.0%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min37.2% of 514 movements1912.7
>30 min21.6% of 514 movements1114.6
>60 min8.9% of 514 movements4611.2
>120 min2.5% of 514 movements1339.5
>180 min0.6% of 514 movements3171.3
>360 minno events in 514 movements0no observed events, which is not zero risk
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

When this route runs late, it is usually only a little late: big blow-ups are rarer here than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early5610.9%15–1 early13125.5%0–15 late13526.3%16–308015.6%31–606512.6%61…120336.4%121…180101.9%181…36030.6%>36000.0%D=514
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0207; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Apr 2026, 21.2% of 52 movements. Worst month: Oct 2025, 50.0% of 50 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2018Feb 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2018: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2018: 30.8%; sample: 26Jul 2018: 22.2%; sample: 27Aug 2018: 26.9%; sample: 26Sep 2018: 38.5%; sample: 26Oct 2018: 28.0%; sample: 25Nov 2018: 7.7%; sample: 26Dec 2018: 25.0%; sample: 24Jan 2019: 21.7%; sample: 232019Feb 2019: 4.3%; sample: 23Mar 2019: 14.8%; sample: 27Apr 2019: 3.6%; sample: 28May 2019: 11.5%; sample: 26Jun 2019: 15.4%; sample: 26Jul 2019: 23.1%; sample: 26Aug 2019: 44.4%; sample: 27Sep 2019: 48.0%; sample: 25Oct 2019: 18.5%; sample: 27Nov 2019: 27.3%; sample: 22Dec 2019: 36.0%; sample: 25Jan 2020: 26.1%; sample: 232020Feb 2020: 21.7%; sample: 23Mar 2020: 28.6%; sample: 21Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Sep 2020: 4.8%; sample: 21Oct 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: 75.0%; sample: 36Jun 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: 15.4%; sample: 26Sep 2021: 16.0%; sample: 25Oct 2021: 11.5%; sample: 26Nov 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2022Feb 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2022: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2022: 36.7%; sample: 30May 2022: 32.3%; sample: 31Jun 2022: 62.5%; sample: 32Jul 2022: 46.9%; sample: 32Aug 2022: 35.5%; sample: 31Sep 2022: 56.7%; sample: 30Oct 2022: 29.0%; sample: 31Nov 2022: 18.2%; sample: 22Dec 2022: 50.0%; sample: 20Jan 2023: 19.0%; sample: 212023Feb 2023: 5.0%; sample: 20Mar 2023: 36.0%; sample: 25Apr 2023: 23.7%; sample: 38May 2023: 17.5%; sample: 40Jun 2023: 20.5%; sample: 39Jul 2023: 43.6%; sample: 39Aug 2023: 29.3%; sample: 41Sep 2023: 23.7%; sample: 38Oct 2023: 37.5%; sample: 40Nov 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2023: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2024Feb 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2024: 25.8%; sample: 31May 2024: 42.9%; sample: 35Jun 2024: 50.0%; sample: 34Jul 2024: 51.2%; sample: 43Aug 2024: 56.5%; sample: 46Sep 2024: 60.5%; sample: 43Oct 2024: 59.2%; sample: 49Nov 2024: 20.8%; sample: 24Dec 2024: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2025Feb 2025: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2025: 25.0%; sample: 28Apr 2025: 28.6%; sample: 49May 2025: 28.6%; sample: 49Jun 2025: 37.5%; sample: 48Jul 2025: 44.9%; sample: 49Aug 2025: 40.8%; sample: 49Sep 2025: 43.5%; sample: 46Oct 2025: 50.0%; sample: 50Nov 2025: 30.0%; sample: 30Dec 2025: 28.1%; sample: 32Jan 2026: 13.6%; sample: 222026Feb 2026: 34.6%; sample: 26Mar 2026: 34.2%; sample: 38Apr 2026: 21.2%; sample: 52May 2026: 35.1%; sample: 57Jun 2026: 49.2%; sample: 63Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2018suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 201830.8% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 201822.2% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 201826.9% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 201838.5% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 201828.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 20187.7% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201825.0% of 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 201921.7% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20194.3% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 201914.8% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 20193.6% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 201911.5% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 201915.4% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 201923.1% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 201944.4% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 201948.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 201918.5% of 27 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 201927.3% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 201936.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202026.1% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202021.7% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202028.6% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Sep 20204.8% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 202175.0% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 202115.4% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202116.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202111.5% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202236.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202232.3% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202262.5% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202246.9% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202235.5% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202256.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202229.0% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202218.2% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202250.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202319.0% of 21 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 20235.0% of 20 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202336.0% of 25 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202323.7% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202317.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202320.5% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202343.6% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202329.3% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202323.7% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202337.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2023suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 202425.8% of 31 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202442.9% of 35 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202450.0% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202451.2% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202456.5% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202460.5% of 43 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202459.2% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 202420.8% of 24 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 202525.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202528.6% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
May 202528.6% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jun 202537.5% of 48 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jul 202544.9% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 202540.8% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202543.5% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202550.0% of 50 movements
Nov 202530.0% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Dec 202528.1% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Jan 202613.6% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202634.6% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked
Mar 202634.2% of 38 movements — small sample, not ranked
Apr 202621.2% of 52 movements
May 202635.1% of 57 movements
Jun 202649.2% of 63 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals46.9% of 32 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures68.8% of 32 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals29.3% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked29.6% across 356 flightsreturned the next month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures37.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked39.8% across 355 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals25.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures32.1% of 28 movements — small sample, not rankedno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

September has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical September, 45.7% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 6 Septembers in the archive. February has been the calmest, at 5.0% across 3 Februarys.

Even September has ranged from 23.7% to 60.5% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201921.7% of 23 movements †4.3% of 23 movements †14.8% of 27 movements †3.6% of 28 movements †11.5% of 26 movements †15.4% of 26 movements †23.1% of 26 movements †44.4% of 27 movements †48.0% of 25 movements †18.5% of 27 movements †27.3% of 22 movements †36.0% of 25 movements †202026.1% of 23 movements †21.7% of 23 movements †28.6% of 21 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements4.8% of 21 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno data75.0% of 36 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements15.4% of 26 movements †16.0% of 25 movements †11.5% of 26 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2022suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements36.7% of 30 movements †32.3% of 31 movements †62.5% of 32 movements †46.9% of 32 movements †35.5% of 31 movements †56.7% of 30 movements †29.0% of 31 movements †18.2% of 22 movements †50.0% of 20 movements †202319.0% of 21 movements †5.0% of 20 movements †36.0% of 25 movements †23.7% of 38 movements †17.5% of 40 movements †20.5% of 39 movements †43.6% of 39 movements †29.3% of 41 movements †23.7% of 38 movements †37.5% of 40 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2024suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements25.8% of 31 movements †42.9% of 35 movements †50.0% of 34 movements †51.2% of 43 movements †56.5% of 46 movements †60.5% of 43 movements †59.2% of 49 movements †20.8% of 24 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movements2025suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements25.0% of 28 movements †28.6% of 49 movements †28.6% of 49 movements †37.5% of 48 movements †44.9% of 49 movements †40.8% of 49 movements †43.5% of 46 movements †50.0% of 50 movements30.0% of 30 movements †28.1% of 32 movements †202613.6% of 22 movements †34.6% of 26 movements †34.2% of 38 movements †21.2% of 52 movements35.1% of 57 movements49.2% of 63 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan19.0%13.6–21.7%3 months, 66 flights
Feb5.0%4.3–34.6%3 months, 69 flights
Mar29.6%14.8–36.0%4 months, 118 flights
Apr24.7%3.6–36.7%6 months, 228 flights
May30.4%11.5–42.9%6 months, 238 flights
Jun37.5%15.4–62.5%7 months, 268 flights
Jul44.2%22.2–51.2%6 months, 216 flights
Aug38.2%26.9–56.5%6 months, 220 flights
Sep45.7%23.7–60.5%6 months, 208 flights
Oct33.3%18.5–59.2%6 months, 222 flights
Nov20.8%7.7–30.0%5 months, 124 flights
Dec32.1%25.0–50.0%4 months, 101 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Ryanair 25.9% of 274 movements, Easyjet Uk 46.2% of 119 movements, Jet2.Com 51.1% of 94 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Uk46.2% of 119 flightsJet2.Com51.1% of 94 flightsRyanair25.9% of 274 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
British Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
City Jetsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Eastern Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Europesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Uk11946.2% of 119 movements0.8% of 119 movements0.8% of 119 movementsdescriptive comparison
Etihad Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Hi Flysuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Hi Fly Maltasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Icelandairsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Jet2.Com9451.1% of 94 movementsno events in 94 movements1.1% of 94 movementsdescriptive comparison
Jota Aviationsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Monarch Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ryanair27425.9% of 274 movementsno events in 274 movements0.4% of 274 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ryanair Uksuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Thomas Cook Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Titan Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Transaviasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Tui Airwayssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LBA had the lowest disruption share at 20.3% of 59 movements and BHX the highest at 30.3% of 244 movements. This route sits at 37.4% of 514 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionBfs ↔ Oporto-Portugal24.6% of 61 flightsBhx ↔ Oporto-Portugal30.3% of 244 flightsBrs ↔ Oporto-Portugal28.5% of 376 flightsEdi ↔ Oporto-Portugal28.8% of 208 flightsGla ↔ Oporto-Portugal30.3% of 66 flightsLba ↔ Oporto-Portugal20.3% of 59 flightsLgw ↔ Oporto-Portugal26.6% of 1,572 flightsLpl ↔ Oporto-Portugal22.1% of 68 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Bfs ↔ Oporto-Portugal6124.6% of 61 movementsno events in 61 movementsno events in 61 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhx ↔ Oporto-Portugal24430.3% of 244 movementsno events in 244 movements0.4% of 244 movementsdescriptive comparison
Brs ↔ Oporto-Portugal37628.5% of 376 movements1.1% of 376 movements0.5% of 376 movementsdescriptive comparison
Edi ↔ Oporto-Portugal20828.8% of 208 movementsno events in 208 movementsno events in 208 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Gla ↔ Oporto-Portugal6630.3% of 66 movementsno events in 66 movements1.5% of 66 movementsdescriptive comparison
Jer ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Oporto-Portugal5920.3% of 59 movements1.7% of 59 movements1.7% of 59 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lcy ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lgw ↔ Oporto-Portugal1,57226.6% of 1,572 movements1.0% of 1,572 movements0.3% of 1,572 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lpl ↔ Oporto-Portugal6822.1% of 68 movementsno events in 68 movements1.5% of 68 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ltn ↔ Oporto-Portugal19428.9% of 194 movementsno events in 194 movementsno events in 194 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Sen ↔ Oporto-Portugalsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Stn ↔ Oporto-Portugal1,09228.8% of 1,092 movements0.3% of 1,092 movements0.4% of 1,092 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into MAN ran 37.4% of 514 movements disrupted, departures 33.0% of 512 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into MAN37.4% of 514 movements0.2% of 514 movements0.6% of 514 movements
Departures from MAN33.0% of 512 movementsno events in 512 movements0.2% of 512 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202621 flights out of 2,61021 × £220 = £4,620
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202613 flights out of 1,99313 × £220 = £2,860
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202615 flights out of 2,59515 × £220 = £3,300
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202611 flights out of 1,98211 × £220 = £2,420
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportMANCHESTER · MAN
Final point / countryOPORTO (PORTUGAL) / PORTUGAL(EXCLUDING MADEIRA)
Final point codesOPO / LPPR
Great-circle distance1,428 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£220
Average operated arrivals per day1.41
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive97

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 514; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

37.4% of 514 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

0.2% of 514 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.6% of 514 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

chronically slightly late. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

1,428 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

Was your flight delayed 3h+? Check what you may be owed

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