How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Emerald Airlines (Ireland) Limited
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 29.0% of 2,427 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 71.0% of 2,427 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
29.0% of 2,427 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.0% of 2,427 movements | 1.7% of 2,427 movements | 30.2–65.3 minutes; delayed denominator 662–1,352 | 1.0% of 2,427 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
1.0% of 2,427 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 1.7% of 2,427 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 27.3% of 2,427 movements | 3.7 |
| More than 30 minutes | 16.7% of 2,427 movements | 6.0 |
| More than 60 minutes | 8.4% of 2,427 movements | 11.9 |
| More than 120 minutes | 2.3% of 2,427 movements | 44.1 |
| More than 180 minutes | 1.0% of 2,427 movements | 97.1 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.1% of 2,427 movements | 1,213.5 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
2.3% of 2,427 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Jan 2023, 9.0% of 89 movements. Worst month: Jul 2023, 68.6% of 70 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | no data |
| Feb 2018 | no data |
| Mar 2018 | no data |
| Apr 2018 | no data |
| May 2018 | no data |
| Jun 2018 | no data |
| Jul 2018 | no data |
| Aug 2018 | no data |
| Sep 2018 | no data |
| Oct 2018 | no data |
| Nov 2018 | no data |
| Dec 2018 | no data |
| Jan 2019 | no data |
| Feb 2019 | no data |
| Mar 2019 | no data |
| Apr 2019 | no data |
| May 2019 | no data |
| Jun 2019 | no data |
| Jul 2019 | no data |
| Aug 2019 | no data |
| Sep 2019 | no data |
| Oct 2019 | no data |
| Nov 2019 | no data |
| Dec 2019 | no data |
| Jan 2020 | no data |
| Feb 2020 | no data |
| Mar 2020 | no data |
| Apr 2020 | no data |
| May 2020 | no data |
| Jun 2020 | no data |
| Jul 2020 | no data |
| Aug 2020 | no data |
| Sep 2020 | no data |
| Oct 2020 | no data |
| Nov 2020 | no data |
| Dec 2020 | no data |
| Jan 2021 | no data |
| Feb 2021 | no data |
| Mar 2021 | no data |
| Apr 2021 | no data |
| May 2021 | no data |
| Jun 2021 | no data |
| Jul 2021 | no data |
| Aug 2021 | no data |
| Sep 2021 | no data |
| Oct 2021 | no data |
| Nov 2021 | no data |
| Dec 2021 | no data |
| Jan 2022 | no data |
| Feb 2022 | no data |
| Mar 2022 | no data |
| Apr 2022 | no data |
| May 2022 | 41.1% of 56 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 51.3% of 78 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 39.8% of 93 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 31.9% of 94 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 44.9% of 98 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 37.0% of 100 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 33.3% of 87 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 32.3% of 99 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 9.0% of 89 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 28.4% of 67 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 29.5% of 78 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 38.7% of 75 movements |
| May 2023 | 51.9% of 79 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 48.3% of 87 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 68.6% of 70 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 56.3% of 71 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 49.3% of 71 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 38.5% of 65 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 17.0% of 53 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 23.5% of 51 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 28.0% of 50 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 26.0% of 50 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 16.0% of 50 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 24.1% of 58 movements |
| May 2024 | 43.1% of 58 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 37.7% of 69 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 30.8% of 65 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 37.3% of 67 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 32.8% of 64 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 13.8% of 58 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 26.2% of 42 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Dec 2024 | 37.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jan 2025 | 42.3% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Feb 2025 | 16.7% of 30 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Mar 2025 | 27.0% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Apr 2025 | 18.6% of 70 movements |
| May 2025 | 21.5% of 256 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 26.5% of 230 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 32.4% of 250 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 30.1% of 239 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 32.2% of 214 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 19.8% of 222 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 24.2% of 194 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 35.6% of 180 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 26.6% of 218 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 16.7% of 162 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 30.5% of 177 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 28.1% of 160 movements |
| May 2026 | 33.2% of 214 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 36.0% of 197 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | no data | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | no data | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 39.8% of 93 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 34.8% of 89 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 56.3% of 71 movements | 37.8% across 1,023 flights | returned after 3 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 50.7% of 67 movements | 39.6% across 985 flights | returned after 2 months |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 27.0% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked | 29.9% across 627 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 27.0% of 37 movements — small sample, not ranked | 34.6% across 635 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: May, 41.1% across 5 months. Lowest median: Feb, 21.3% across 4 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 27.3% | 9.0–42.3% | 4 months, 383 flights |
| Feb | 21.3% | 16.7–28.4% | 4 months, 309 flights |
| Mar | 28.3% | 16.0–30.5% | 4 months, 342 flights |
| Apr | 26.1% | 18.6–38.7% | 4 months, 363 flights |
| May | 41.1% | 21.5–51.9% | 5 months, 663 flights |
| Jun | 37.7% | 26.5–51.3% | 5 months, 661 flights |
| Jul | 36.1% | 30.8–68.6% | 4 months, 478 flights |
| Aug | 34.6% | 30.1–56.3% | 4 months, 471 flights |
| Sep | 38.9% | 32.2–49.3% | 4 months, 447 flights |
| Oct | 28.4% | 13.8–38.5% | 4 months, 445 flights |
| Nov | 25.2% | 17.0–33.3% | 4 months, 376 flights |
| Dec | 33.9% | 23.5–37.5% | 4 months, 370 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: EXT ↔ DUBLIN, 11.9% of 109 movements. Highest disruption: BHD ↔ BIRMINGHAM, 56.9% of 109 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| EXT ↔ DUBLIN | 11.9% of 109 movements | no events in 109 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BRS ↔ CORK | 18.8% of 463 movements | 2.2% of 463 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Isle Of Man ↔ Dublin | 25.3% of 529 movements | 2.5% of 529 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Bristol ↔ Dublin | 27.9% of 960 movements | 1.5% of 960 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Belfast City (George Best) ↔ Edinburgh | 50.7% of 75 movements | 1.3% of 75 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Belfast City (George Best) ↔ Birmingham | 56.9% of 109 movements | 0.9% of 109 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Belfast City (George Best) ↔ Leeds Bradford | 54.5% of 33 movements — small sample, not ranked | no events in 33 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| Belfast City (George Best) ↔ Manchester | 61.7% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked | 2.1% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| JER ↔ DUBLIN | 55.6% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked | no events in 36 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
5 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Belfast City (George Best) | 55.1% of 323 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Bristol | 24.9% of 1,425 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Exeter | 11.9% of 109 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Isle Of Man | 25.3% of 529 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Jersey | 55.6% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
29.0% of 2,427 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 30.0% of 2,446 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
1.0% of 2,427 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Emerald Airlines (Ireland) Limited appears from May 2022 to Jun 2026 with 5,308 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 57.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
29.0% of 2,427 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
1.7% of 2,427 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
30.2–65.3 minutes; delayed denominator 662–1,352
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.