How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Emirates
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 31.4% of 6,737 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 68.6% of 6,737 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
31.4% of 6,737 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.4% of 6,737 movements | 3.7% of 6,737 movements | 23.9–51.7 minutes; delayed denominator 1,864–3,761 | 0.5% of 6,737 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
0.5% of 6,737 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 3.7% of 6,737 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 27.7% of 6,737 movements | 3.6 |
| More than 30 minutes | 12.9% of 6,737 movements | 7.8 |
| More than 60 minutes | 3.7% of 6,737 movements | 26.8 |
| More than 120 minutes | 1.1% of 6,737 movements | 92.3 |
| More than 180 minutes | 0.5% of 6,737 movements | 198.1 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.1% of 6,737 movements | 673.7 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
1.1% of 6,737 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Jun 2020, no events in 51 movements. Worst month: Mar 2026, 78.8% of 594 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 37.8% of 537 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 24.5% of 478 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 31.5% of 534 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 20.6% of 504 movements |
| May 2018 | 9.3% of 506 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 3.9% of 534 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 12.8% of 563 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 19.8% of 562 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 23.3% of 540 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 17.0% of 587 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 7.8% of 563 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 21.7% of 595 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 32.1% of 589 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 26.0% of 527 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 39.1% of 581 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 24.1% of 477 movements |
| May 2019 | 11.2% of 401 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 11.4% of 570 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 16.3% of 625 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 21.4% of 632 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 25.5% of 601 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 21.8% of 616 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 9.3% of 600 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 15.7% of 619 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 33.2% of 620 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 33.8% of 583 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 12.3% of 438 movements |
| Apr 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | no events in 51 movements |
| Jul 2020 | 10.4% of 115 movements |
| Aug 2020 | 7.7% of 142 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 3.2% of 154 movements |
| Oct 2020 | 2.1% of 191 movements |
| Nov 2020 | 5.4% of 168 movements |
| Dec 2020 | 7.9% of 242 movements |
| Jan 2021 | 15.5% of 226 movements |
| Feb 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Apr 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2021 | 6.9% of 58 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 4.3% of 94 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 20.7% of 140 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 13.3% of 203 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 18.4% of 332 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 13.8% of 333 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 29.0% of 369 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 23.9% of 376 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 38.2% of 359 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 26.9% of 405 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 29.9% of 408 movements |
| May 2022 | 19.9% of 422 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 10.8% of 407 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 20.8% of 432 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 17.6% of 459 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 30.6% of 441 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 31.6% of 503 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 11.7% of 472 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 31.7% of 526 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 34.5% of 531 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 27.3% of 477 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 28.3% of 530 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 23.1% of 510 movements |
| May 2023 | 21.3% of 558 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 15.3% of 542 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 32.4% of 559 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 21.5% of 558 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 23.5% of 540 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 38.0% of 560 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 35.1% of 562 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 43.7% of 581 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 42.9% of 585 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 47.6% of 544 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 22.9% of 581 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 54.6% of 573 movements |
| May 2024 | 27.0% of 589 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 26.4% of 572 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 25.6% of 589 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 30.1% of 589 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 25.3% of 570 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 52.9% of 586 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 14.6% of 569 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 19.9% of 588 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 21.9% of 594 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 20.3% of 532 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 10.6% of 592 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 16.0% of 570 movements |
| May 2025 | 21.1% of 589 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 34.9% of 571 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 18.8% of 592 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 26.0% of 589 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 38.2% of 570 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 30.4% of 595 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 13.9% of 596 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 25.2% of 615 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 40.6% of 616 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 25.4% of 579 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 78.8% of 594 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 52.6% of 409 movements |
| May 2026 | 20.2% of 515 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 6.6% of 467 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | no events in 51 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | 9.8% of 51 movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 20.8% of 432 movements | 20.8% across 3,848 flights | returned the next month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 62.3% of 432 movements | 30.1% across 3,862 flights | returned after 4 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 21.5% of 558 movements | 25.5% across 6,108 flights | returned the next month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 43.1% of 561 movements | 42.0% across 6,110 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 10.6% of 592 movements | 28.5% across 6,932 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 13.7% of 592 movements | 38.7% across 6,934 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Jan, 34.5% across 7 months. Lowest median: Jun, 11.4% across 7 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 34.5% | 21.9–42.9% | 7 months, 3,828 flights |
| Feb | 26.0% | 20.3–47.6% | 7 months, 3,496 flights |
| Mar | 28.3% | 10.6–78.8% | 7 months, 3,817 flights |
| Apr | 24.1% | 16.0–54.6% | 7 months, 3,451 flights |
| May | 20.2% | 9.3–27.0% | 7 months, 3,580 flights |
| Jun | 11.4% | 3.9–34.9% | 7 months, 3,663 flights |
| Jul | 19.8% | 12.8–32.4% | 6 months, 3,360 flights |
| Aug | 21.4% | 17.6–30.1% | 6 months, 3,389 flights |
| Sep | 25.4% | 23.3–38.2% | 6 months, 3,262 flights |
| Oct | 31.0% | 17.0–52.9% | 6 months, 3,447 flights |
| Nov | 12.8% | 7.8–35.1% | 6 months, 3,362 flights |
| Dec | 23.4% | 15.7–43.7% | 6 months, 3,524 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: EDI ↔ DUBAI, 20.3% of 340 movements. Highest disruption: MAN ↔ DUBAI, 35.9% of 1,063 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDI ↔ DUBAI | 20.3% of 340 movements | 2.9% of 340 movements | descriptive comparison |
| NCL ↔ DUBAI | 21.1% of 341 movements | 2.6% of 341 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted ↔ Dubai | 24.4% of 630 movements | 5.6% of 630 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Birmingham ↔ Dubai | 26.4% of 644 movements | 6.2% of 644 movements | descriptive comparison |
| GLA ↔ DUBAI | 30.1% of 365 movements | 2.2% of 365 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick ↔ Dubai | 32.4% of 1,100 movements | 5.7% of 1,100 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow ↔ Dubai | 35.6% of 2,252 movements | 2.4% of 2,252 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester ↔ Dubai | 35.9% of 1,063 movements | 3.1% of 1,063 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
8 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 26.4% of 644 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh | 20.3% of 340 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Glasgow | 30.1% of 365 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick | 32.4% of 1,100 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow | 35.6% of 2,252 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 36.0% of 1,064 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Newcastle | 21.1% of 342 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted | 24.4% of 630 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
31.4% of 6,737 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 31.9% of 6,730 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
0.5% of 6,737 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Emirates appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 46,678 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 43.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
31.4% of 6,737 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
3.7% of 6,737 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
23.9–51.7 minutes; delayed denominator 1,864–3,761
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.