How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Latvia
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 26.6% of 2,054 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 73.4% of 2,054 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
26.6% of 2,054 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.6% of 2,054 movements | 0.3% of 2,054 movements | 25.3–55.3 minutes; delayed denominator 540–1,098 | 0.3% of 2,054 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
0.3% of 2,054 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 0.3% of 2,054 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 26.3% of 2,054 movements | 3.8 |
| More than 30 minutes | 14.3% of 2,054 movements | 7.0 |
| More than 60 minutes | 5.6% of 2,054 movements | 18.0 |
| More than 120 minutes | 1.3% of 2,054 movements | 79.0 |
| More than 180 minutes | 0.3% of 2,054 movements | 293.4 |
| More than 360 minutes | no events in 2,054 movements | No observed events; this is not zero risk. |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
1.3% of 2,054 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Aug 2020, 2.6% of 153 movements. Worst month: Jul 2024, 54.4% of 171 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 23.7% of 215 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 25.3% of 182 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 22.1% of 213 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 19.0% of 226 movements |
| May 2018 | 17.9% of 235 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 27.5% of 236 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 27.8% of 252 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 21.3% of 253 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 17.3% of 231 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 20.1% of 224 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 16.0% of 194 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 27.4% of 201 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 25.9% of 205 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 20.4% of 181 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 13.8% of 196 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 12.6% of 230 movements |
| May 2019 | 15.9% of 232 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 24.8% of 234 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 21.8% of 248 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 32.9% of 249 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 30.6% of 232 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 32.9% of 225 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 6.1% of 179 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 17.0% of 235 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 9.6% of 219 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 26.1% of 180 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 23.3% of 133 movements |
| Apr 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2020 | 3.1% of 128 movements |
| Aug 2020 | 2.6% of 153 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 3.4% of 145 movements |
| Oct 2020 | 4.5% of 111 movements |
| Nov 2020 | 3.3% of 60 movements |
| Dec 2020 | 40.0% of 60 movements |
| Jan 2021 | 30.5% of 59 movements |
| Feb 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2021 | 6.2% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Apr 2021 | 17.4% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| May 2021 | 5.0% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jun 2021 | 3.5% of 113 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 9.7% of 155 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 10.8% of 204 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 8.1% of 198 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 10.9% of 193 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 15.1% of 172 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 39.5% of 177 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 27.3% of 121 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 30.8% of 120 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 12.4% of 185 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 23.6% of 208 movements |
| May 2022 | 30.3% of 234 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 38.6% of 236 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 44.5% of 227 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 37.2% of 215 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 39.5% of 215 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 41.2% of 216 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 21.1% of 194 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 51.7% of 201 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 32.5% of 206 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 26.1% of 184 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 26.6% of 203 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 27.1% of 188 movements |
| May 2023 | 24.0% of 196 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 40.5% of 200 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 38.8% of 209 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 33.9% of 218 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 30.3% of 198 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 32.7% of 202 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 25.8% of 163 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 48.5% of 194 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 31.7% of 180 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 28.2% of 149 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 11.4% of 175 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 27.7% of 159 movements |
| May 2024 | 28.7% of 164 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 39.3% of 163 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 54.4% of 171 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 49.1% of 167 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 43.0% of 158 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 32.6% of 175 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 18.0% of 205 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 36.4% of 214 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 30.9% of 181 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 20.7% of 184 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 11.0% of 227 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 16.9% of 189 movements |
| May 2025 | 18.9% of 196 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 27.6% of 185 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 32.6% of 187 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 32.8% of 186 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 40.6% of 187 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 26.2% of 191 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 25.4% of 169 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 35.1% of 185 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 30.4% of 138 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 26.2% of 149 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 12.9% of 171 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 18.1% of 160 movements |
| May 2026 | 8.7% of 161 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 26.5% of 170 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 44.5% of 227 movements | 21.4% across 2,203 flights | returned after 4 months |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 59.7% of 226 movements | 17.3% across 2,200 flights | returned after 7 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 33.9% of 218 movements | 33.9% across 2,427 flights | returned the next month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 36.3% of 215 movements | 34.3% across 2,426 flights | returned after 3 months |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 11.0% of 227 movements | 32.7% across 2,116 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 12.7% of 229 movements | 33.3% across 2,113 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Dec, 35.8% across 6 months. Lowest median: Mar, 12.9% across 7 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 30.4% | 23.7–32.5% | 7 months, 1,246 flights |
| Feb | 26.1% | 20.4–30.8% | 7 months, 1,149 flights |
| Mar | 12.9% | 11.0–26.6% | 7 months, 1,370 flights |
| Apr | 19.0% | 12.6–27.7% | 7 months, 1,360 flights |
| May | 18.9% | 8.7–30.3% | 7 months, 1,418 flights |
| Jun | 27.6% | 24.8–40.5% | 7 months, 1,424 flights |
| Jul | 35.7% | 21.8–54.4% | 6 months, 1,294 flights |
| Aug | 33.4% | 21.3–49.1% | 6 months, 1,288 flights |
| Sep | 35.1% | 17.3–43.0% | 6 months, 1,221 flights |
| Oct | 32.6% | 20.1–41.2% | 6 months, 1,233 flights |
| Nov | 19.6% | 6.1–25.8% | 6 months, 1,104 flights |
| Dec | 35.8% | 17.0–51.7% | 6 months, 1,230 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: LHR ↔ RIGA, 16.8% of 143 movements. Highest disruption: MAN ↔ RIGA, 48.1% of 208 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| LHR ↔ RIGA | 16.8% of 143 movements | no events in 143 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EDI ↔ RIGA | 19.7% of 76 movements | no events in 76 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted ↔ Riga | 21.1% of 674 movements | 0.9% of 674 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick ↔ Riga | 25.8% of 589 movements | no events in 589 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LBA ↔ RIGA | 25.9% of 216 movements | 0.5% of 216 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EMA ↔ RIGA | 39.6% of 139 movements | no events in 139 movements | descriptive comparison |
| MAN ↔ RIGA | 48.1% of 208 movements | no events in 208 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
7 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh | 19.7% of 76 movements | descriptive comparison |
| East Midlands International | 39.6% of 139 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Leeds Bradford | 25.9% of 216 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick | 25.8% of 589 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow | 16.8% of 143 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 48.1% of 208 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted | 21.1% of 674 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
26.6% of 2,054 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 22.3% of 2,053 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
0.3% of 2,054 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Latvia appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 17,926 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 17.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
26.6% of 2,054 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
0.3% of 2,054 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
25.3–55.3 minutes; delayed denominator 540–1,098
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.