How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Lithuania
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 22.2% of 2,954 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 77.8% of 2,954 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
22.2% of 2,954 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.2% of 2,954 movements | 0.1% of 2,954 movements | 26.7–59.1 minutes; delayed denominator 652–1,335 | 0.5% of 2,954 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
0.5% of 2,954 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 0.1% of 2,954 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 22.1% of 2,954 movements | 4.5 |
| More than 30 minutes | 12.8% of 2,954 movements | 7.8 |
| More than 60 minutes | 5.2% of 2,954 movements | 19.2 |
| More than 120 minutes | 1.5% of 2,954 movements | 68.7 |
| More than 180 minutes | 0.5% of 2,954 movements | 184.6 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.1% of 2,954 movements | 738.5 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
1.5% of 2,954 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Oct 2020, 2.8% of 176 movements. Worst month: Dec 2022, 50.2% of 269 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 20.4% of 269 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 13.5% of 230 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 12.2% of 270 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 14.8% of 290 movements |
| May 2018 | 12.1% of 281 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 17.6% of 289 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 18.2% of 303 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 14.3% of 300 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 10.5% of 267 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 11.9% of 268 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 6.6% of 229 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 24.1% of 257 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 17.6% of 262 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 17.0% of 235 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 11.8% of 255 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 11.9% of 236 movements |
| May 2019 | 7.8% of 245 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 15.6% of 243 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 15.1% of 265 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 15.6% of 263 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 24.8% of 250 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 28.3% of 254 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 10.7% of 224 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 14.6% of 247 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 9.6% of 302 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 22.1% of 280 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 24.5% of 212 movements |
| Apr 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2020 | 7.1% of 182 movements |
| Aug 2020 | 5.2% of 252 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 4.4% of 249 movements |
| Oct 2020 | 2.8% of 176 movements |
| Nov 2020 | 4.8% of 84 movements |
| Dec 2020 | 44.6% of 101 movements |
| Jan 2021 | 21.6% of 97 movements |
| Feb 2021 | 12.5% of 40 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Mar 2021 | 6.5% of 46 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Apr 2021 | 15.1% of 53 movements |
| May 2021 | 4.9% of 61 movements |
| Jun 2021 | 7.9% of 151 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 7.8% of 204 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 12.1% of 282 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 12.8% of 242 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 15.4% of 253 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 15.4% of 259 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 36.4% of 294 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 32.2% of 177 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 32.1% of 187 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 12.5% of 280 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 31.1% of 322 movements |
| May 2022 | 22.7% of 330 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 28.3% of 325 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 32.9% of 325 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 27.3% of 326 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 28.5% of 295 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 27.6% of 294 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 20.7% of 241 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 50.2% of 269 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 25.9% of 263 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 25.8% of 233 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 24.5% of 253 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 28.3% of 223 movements |
| May 2023 | 20.9% of 230 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 21.6% of 218 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 25.9% of 232 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 24.8% of 234 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 20.6% of 223 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 29.9% of 224 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 23.2% of 194 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 46.4% of 235 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 43.9% of 221 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 24.5% of 188 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 12.6% of 214 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 23.2% of 233 movements |
| May 2024 | 17.9% of 252 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 20.3% of 241 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 31.8% of 242 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 22.7% of 247 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 29.3% of 239 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 24.5% of 257 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 22.0% of 264 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 34.1% of 293 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 31.2% of 263 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 21.4% of 238 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 14.7% of 265 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 18.0% of 272 movements |
| May 2025 | 18.7% of 278 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 17.8% of 269 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 24.5% of 282 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 26.0% of 277 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 30.3% of 271 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 24.0% of 275 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 25.1% of 219 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 25.8% of 252 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 30.3% of 228 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 20.4% of 216 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 13.4% of 239 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 9.7% of 238 movements |
| May 2026 | 15.5% of 232 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 19.1% of 225 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 32.9% of 325 movements | 21.6% across 3,155 flights | returned after 4 months |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 46.3% of 326 movements | 20.4% across 3,154 flights | returned after 4 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 24.8% of 234 movements | 27.2% across 3,077 flights | returned the next month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 30.6% of 235 movements | 30.1% across 3,076 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 14.7% of 265 movements | 24.2% across 2,983 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 12.5% of 265 movements | 27.0% across 2,986 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Jan, 30.3% across 7 months. Lowest median: Mar, 12.6% across 7 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 30.3% | 17.6–43.9% | 7 months, 1,683 flights |
| Feb | 21.4% | 13.5–32.1% | 7 months, 1,527 flights |
| Mar | 12.6% | 11.8–24.5% | 7 months, 1,776 flights |
| Apr | 18.0% | 9.7–31.1% | 7 months, 1,814 flights |
| May | 17.9% | 7.8–22.7% | 7 months, 1,848 flights |
| Jun | 19.1% | 15.6–28.3% | 7 months, 1,810 flights |
| Jul | 25.2% | 15.1–32.9% | 6 months, 1,649 flights |
| Aug | 23.7% | 14.3–27.3% | 6 months, 1,647 flights |
| Sep | 26.6% | 10.5–30.3% | 6 months, 1,545 flights |
| Oct | 26.0% | 11.9–29.9% | 6 months, 1,572 flights |
| Nov | 21.4% | 6.6–25.1% | 6 months, 1,371 flights |
| Dec | 30.0% | 14.6–50.2% | 6 months, 1,553 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: LCY ↔ VILNIUS, 14.6% of 192 movements. Highest disruption: STN ↔ PALANGA, 42.6% of 317 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| LCY ↔ VILNIUS | 14.6% of 192 movements | no events in 192 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BFS ↔ KAUNAS | 14.8% of 81 movements | no events in 81 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Luton ↔ Kaunas | 17.2% of 647 movements | no events in 647 movements | descriptive comparison |
| STN ↔ KAUNAS | 17.3% of 323 movements | no events in 323 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LPL ↔ KAUNAS | 17.4% of 195 movements | no events in 195 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Luton ↔ Vilnius | 17.9% of 565 movements | 0.5% of 565 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BRS ↔ KAUNAS | 18.8% of 160 movements | no events in 160 movements | descriptive comparison |
| STN ↔ VILNIUS | 29.8% of 326 movements | no events in 326 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EDI ↔ KAUNAS | 34.9% of 146 movements | no events in 146 movements | descriptive comparison |
| STN ↔ PALANGA | 42.6% of 317 movements | no events in 317 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
7 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Belfast International | 14.8% of 81 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Bristol | 18.8% of 160 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh | 34.9% of 146 movements | descriptive comparison |
| London City | 14.6% of 192 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Liverpool (John Lennon) | 17.4% of 195 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Luton | 17.5% of 1,212 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted | 29.8% of 966 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
22.2% of 2,954 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 23.2% of 2,953 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
0.5% of 2,954 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Lithuania appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 23,644 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 33.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
22.2% of 2,954 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
0.1% of 2,954 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
26.7–59.1 minutes; delayed denominator 652–1,335
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.