How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Portugal(Madeira)
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 29.2% of 2,898 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 70.8% of 2,898 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
29.2% of 2,898 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.2% of 2,898 movements | 3.5% of 2,898 movements | 43.6–80.9 minutes; delayed denominator 744–1,316 | 1.3% of 2,898 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
1.3% of 2,898 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 3.5% of 2,898 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 25.7% of 2,898 movements | 3.9 |
| More than 30 minutes | 15.9% of 2,898 movements | 6.3 |
| More than 60 minutes | 7.7% of 2,898 movements | 13.1 |
| More than 120 minutes | 2.8% of 2,898 movements | 35.8 |
| More than 180 minutes | 1.3% of 2,898 movements | 76.3 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.5% of 2,898 movements | 193.2 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
2.8% of 2,898 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Nov 2019, 6.9% of 145 movements. Worst month: Jul 2022, 48.4% of 223 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 20.6% of 155 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 23.9% of 134 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 17.4% of 144 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 35.7% of 168 movements |
| May 2018 | 17.8% of 169 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 16.5% of 182 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 15.2% of 191 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 12.5% of 184 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 14.6% of 171 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 26.8% of 183 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 31.7% of 145 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 21.9% of 178 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 22.6% of 159 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 17.8% of 146 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 24.5% of 159 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 20.6% of 160 movements |
| May 2019 | 19.9% of 166 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 21.8% of 170 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 13.7% of 183 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 27.7% of 173 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 24.9% of 173 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 11.6% of 155 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 6.9% of 145 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 25.5% of 161 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 10.6% of 151 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 21.4% of 140 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 21.1% of 109 movements |
| Apr 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Aug 2020 | 16.5% of 97 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 7.9% of 89 movements |
| Oct 2020 | 12.5% of 120 movements |
| Nov 2020 | 20.3% of 59 movements |
| Dec 2020 | 21.1% of 90 movements |
| Jan 2021 | 25.0% of 28 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Feb 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Apr 2021 | no data |
| May 2021 | 41.2% of 34 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jun 2021 | 37.3% of 67 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 33.3% of 183 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 37.0% of 200 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 21.7% of 184 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 19.6% of 194 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 22.8% of 158 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 19.7% of 178 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 11.4% of 149 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 40.0% of 135 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 25.7% of 175 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 42.9% of 226 movements |
| May 2022 | 40.3% of 233 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 34.6% of 214 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 48.4% of 223 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 30.3% of 241 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 41.0% of 234 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 31.7% of 252 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 15.9% of 208 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 30.0% of 233 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 21.5% of 233 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 30.4% of 207 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 31.9% of 226 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 29.4% of 214 movements |
| May 2023 | 44.4% of 234 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 41.2% of 221 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 30.7% of 241 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 39.8% of 221 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 34.4% of 218 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 27.8% of 237 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 12.4% of 193 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 23.1% of 216 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 20.2% of 188 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 25.2% of 163 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 27.7% of 184 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 18.3% of 202 movements |
| May 2024 | 23.5% of 200 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 23.0% of 196 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 20.4% of 221 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 38.4% of 219 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 35.9% of 209 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 30.0% of 213 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 19.4% of 206 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 33.9% of 233 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 26.9% of 201 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 23.7% of 186 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 20.5% of 220 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 7.9% of 228 movements |
| May 2025 | 23.7% of 236 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 30.8% of 247 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 42.1% of 252 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 32.7% of 248 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 37.2% of 250 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 17.5% of 252 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 19.8% of 227 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 22.6% of 252 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 26.1% of 218 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 26.6% of 199 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 46.5% of 256 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 25.7% of 253 movements |
| May 2026 | 20.5% of 239 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 30.2% of 252 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 48.4% of 223 movements | 29.1% across 2,229 flights | returned after 4 months |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 56.5% of 223 movements | 23.0% across 2,229 flights | returned after 4 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 39.8% of 221 movements | 31.5% across 2,744 flights | returned after 2 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 43.4% of 219 movements | 34.8% across 2,725 flights | returned after 2 months |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 20.5% of 220 movements | 26.7% across 2,470 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 23.6% of 220 movements | 27.3% across 2,458 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Sep, 35.1% across 6 months. Lowest median: Nov, 17.6% across 6 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 21.5% | 11.4–26.9% | 7 months, 1,303 flights |
| Feb | 25.2% | 17.8–40.0% | 7 months, 1,170 flights |
| Mar | 25.7% | 17.4–46.5% | 7 months, 1,364 flights |
| Apr | 25.7% | 7.9–42.9% | 7 months, 1,451 flights |
| May | 23.5% | 17.8–44.4% | 7 months, 1,477 flights |
| Jun | 30.2% | 16.5–41.2% | 7 months, 1,482 flights |
| Jul | 25.5% | 13.7–48.4% | 6 months, 1,311 flights |
| Aug | 31.5% | 12.5–39.8% | 6 months, 1,286 flights |
| Sep | 35.1% | 14.6–41.0% | 6 months, 1,255 flights |
| Oct | 27.3% | 11.6–31.7% | 6 months, 1,292 flights |
| Nov | 17.6% | 6.9–31.7% | 6 months, 1,124 flights |
| Dec | 24.3% | 21.9–33.9% | 6 months, 1,273 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: LBA ↔ FUNCHAL, 14.5% of 55 movements. Highest disruption: MAN ↔ FUNCHAL, 40.0% of 450 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBA ↔ FUNCHAL | 14.5% of 55 movements | no events in 55 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LPL ↔ FUNCHAL | 17.0% of 53 movements | 3.8% of 53 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EDI ↔ FUNCHAL | 19.9% of 146 movements | 3.4% of 146 movements | descriptive comparison |
| GLA ↔ FUNCHAL | 22.6% of 53 movements | 5.7% of 53 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EMA ↔ FUNCHAL | 23.1% of 52 movements | no events in 52 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick ↔ Funchal | 25.0% of 1,028 movements | 4.7% of 1,028 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BRS ↔ FUNCHAL | 27.7% of 224 movements | 3.1% of 224 movements | descriptive comparison |
| STN ↔ FUNCHAL | 30.0% of 320 movements | 1.9% of 320 movements | descriptive comparison |
| NCL ↔ FUNCHAL | 32.1% of 53 movements | 1.9% of 53 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BHX ↔ FUNCHAL | 33.9% of 180 movements | 3.3% of 180 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LTN ↔ FUNCHAL | 36.3% of 171 movements | 2.3% of 171 movements | descriptive comparison |
| MAN ↔ FUNCHAL | 40.0% of 450 movements | 3.3% of 450 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BFS ↔ FUNCHAL | 4.5% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked | no events in 22 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| BOH ↔ FUNCHAL | 46.9% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked | 4.1% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| JER ↔ FUNCHAL | 20.7% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked | no events in 29 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
15 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Belfast International | 4.5% of 22 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| Birmingham | 33.7% of 181 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Bournemouth | 46.9% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| Bristol | 28.0% of 225 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh | 19.9% of 146 movements | descriptive comparison |
| East Midlands International | 23.1% of 52 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Glasgow | 22.6% of 53 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Jersey | 20.7% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
| Leeds Bradford | 14.5% of 55 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick | 25.5% of 1,036 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Liverpool (John Lennon) | 16.7% of 54 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Luton | 36.3% of 171 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 40.1% of 451 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Newcastle | 32.1% of 53 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted | 30.2% of 321 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
29.2% of 2,898 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 26.0% of 2,867 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
1.3% of 2,898 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Portugal(Madeira) appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 17,879 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 30.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
29.2% of 2,898 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
3.5% of 2,898 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
43.6–80.9 minutes; delayed denominator 744–1,316
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.