UK FLIGHT DELAY INDEX

derived from CAA punctuality statistics for UK reporting airports

How often are these flights late or cancelled?

LTN ↔ AMS

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 30.2% of 1,653 movements arriving into LTN were disrupted — that is, they landed more than fifteen minutes late or were cancelled at short notice.

Put the other way round, 69.8% of 1,653 movements arrived on time by the industry's fifteen-minute standard. Severe delays were rarer: about one arrival in every 138 crossed the three-hour mark. Lower is better on every figure on this page. These numbers describe what happened on the route; they are not a prediction for any individual flight.

Definitions, denominators and limits
  • “Disrupted” means an arrival more than fifteen minutes late or a short-notice cancellation. The denominator is operated movements plus short-notice cancellations.
  • Arrivals into the UK airport only; all published carriers.
  • Crossing three hours is one condition for compensation, but monthly data cannot establish any individual passenger’s rights.
  • Delay cause is not published in the open data.
  • Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

The four numbers at a glance

In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 30.2% of 1,653 movements were disrupted and 1.7% of 1,653 movements were cancelled at short notice.

When a flight was late, it was typically late by the range shown below. The delay is given as a range, not a single number, because the regulator rounds its published percentages and never says how many flights landed exactly on time.

Disruption shareShort-notice cancellationsAverage delay among delayed flights only — boundsOperations
30.2% of 1,653 movements1.7% of 1,653 movements28.2–59.2 min; N of delayed flights=471–9311,653
Definitions, denominators and limits

The bounds account for CAA rounding and the unknown number of zero delays. A point average across all operated movements, including punctual ones, would answer a different question and is not used here.

When it is late, how late is it?

Most delays here are short. The ladder below shows how many arrivals crossed each threshold, from a quarter of an hour up to six hours; each rung can only be smaller than the one above it.

Cancellations are counted separately: 1.7% of 1,653 movements. “One in N” means how many arrivals you would typically see between events at that level.

Delay threshold ladder; count and share of known operations15 min28.5%30 min15.8%60 min6.9%120 min2.1%180 min0.7%360 min0.1%
Delay ladder table: share, movements and one-in-N
DelayShare and nMovementsOne delay in every N operations
>15 min28.5% of 1,653 movements4713.5
>30 min15.8% of 1,653 movements2626.3
>60 min6.9% of 1,653 movements11414.5
>120 min2.1% of 1,653 movements3547.2
>180 min0.7% of 1,653 movements12137.8
>360 min0.1% of 1,653 movements11,653.0
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA counts delays strictly greater than each threshold, so exactly three hours is inseparable from the previous bucket. The ladder describes the archive, not a forecast.

Slightly late, or occasionally a disaster?

This route runs late less often than most, but when it does go wrong it tends to go badly wrong: its long delays are heavier than on the typical UK route.

The histogram below counts every recorded arrival, from more than fifteen minutes early through to more than six hours late. A tall bar near the middle and a thin right-hand tail is the healthy shape.

Nine delay buckets, minutes; share of all recorded operations>15 early1338.0%15–1 early56133.9%0–15 late46027.8%16–3020912.6%31–601489.0%61…120794.8%121…180231.4%181…360110.7%>36010.1%D=1,653
Definitions, denominators and limits

Ratio of the long tail to sixteen-to-sixty-minute delays: 0.0336; corpus median 0.0217; 2056 routes in the corpus. The shape is compared conditionally among delays; the class name does not measure absolute frequency. Histogram counts and shares cover all recorded operations including unmatched records; reconstructed uniquely.

Has this route got better or worse since 2018?

Best month: Feb 2023, 9.6% of 156 movements. Worst month: Oct 2021, 57.4% of 61 movements.

The line traces every month in the archive; lower is better. Gaps are months with no published data, never zeros. The 2020 and 2021 readings reflect the pandemic, not normal service.

Monthly disruption share; gaps mean no published dataJan 2018: 18.9%; sample: 2442018Feb 2018: 27.9%; sample: 229Mar 2018: 34.7%; sample: 245Apr 2018: 37.6%; sample: 237May 2018: 44.6%; sample: 242Jun 2018: 49.3%; sample: 229Jul 2018: 43.6%; sample: 218Aug 2018: 41.6%; sample: 219Sep 2018: 36.3%; sample: 237Oct 2018: 34.6%; sample: 254Nov 2018: 18.5%; sample: 243Dec 2018: 28.3%; sample: 237Jan 2019: 23.0%; sample: 2482019Feb 2019: 17.6%; sample: 227Mar 2019: 38.5%; sample: 252Apr 2019: 36.9%; sample: 236May 2019: 51.8%; sample: 247Jun 2019: 49.8%; sample: 225Jul 2019: 40.3%; sample: 216Aug 2019: 39.4%; sample: 213Sep 2019: 49.1%; sample: 224Oct 2019: 41.7%; sample: 247Nov 2019: 24.9%; sample: 245Dec 2019: 23.9%; sample: 247Jan 2020: 11.3%; sample: 2482020Feb 2020: 32.3%; sample: 232Mar 2020: 21.2%; sample: 165Apr 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×May 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jun 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jul 2020: 13.8%; sample: 29Aug 2020: 9.8%; sample: 61Sep 2020: 0.0%; sample: 30Oct 2020: 2.4%; sample: 41Nov 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Dec 2020: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Jan 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×2021Feb 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Mar 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Apr 2021: no data×May 2021: no data×Jun 2021: no data×Jul 2021: suppressed: fewer than twenty movements×Aug 2021: 43.6%; sample: 39Sep 2021: 10.2%; sample: 49Oct 2021: 57.4%; sample: 61Nov 2021: 13.6%; sample: 88Dec 2021: 19.8%; sample: 111Jan 2022: 18.8%; sample: 322022Feb 2022: 32.2%; sample: 118Mar 2022: 26.0%; sample: 154Apr 2022: 55.8%; sample: 154May 2022: 48.5%; sample: 167Jun 2022: 48.4%; sample: 159Jul 2022: 48.0%; sample: 100Aug 2022: 30.2%; sample: 139Sep 2022: 50.7%; sample: 148Oct 2022: 31.9%; sample: 119Nov 2022: 16.0%; sample: 131Dec 2022: 42.4%; sample: 132Jan 2023: 21.0%; sample: 1192023Feb 2023: 9.6%; sample: 156Mar 2023: 37.4%; sample: 174Apr 2023: 37.0%; sample: 165May 2023: 48.9%; sample: 188Jun 2023: 48.3%; sample: 178Jul 2023: 32.3%; sample: 158Aug 2023: 35.8%; sample: 159Sep 2023: 39.1%; sample: 179Oct 2023: 37.7%; sample: 191Nov 2023: 16.4%; sample: 183Dec 2023: 33.7%; sample: 184Jan 2024: 23.8%; sample: 1512024Feb 2024: 23.2%; sample: 168Mar 2024: 24.9%; sample: 189Apr 2024: 29.8%; sample: 168May 2024: 29.8%; sample: 178Jun 2024: 23.9%; sample: 163Jul 2024: 35.1%; sample: 154Aug 2024: 18.7%; sample: 155Sep 2024: 39.8%; sample: 171Oct 2024: 30.7%; sample: 166Nov 2024: 28.8%; sample: 146Dec 2024: 39.0%; sample: 164Jan 2025: 34.6%; sample: 1272025Feb 2025: 36.7%; sample: 139Mar 2025: 19.9%; sample: 161Apr 2025: 14.8%; sample: 135May 2025: 25.6%; sample: 129Jun 2025: 30.9%; sample: 123Jul 2025: 40.7%; sample: 135Aug 2025: 33.1%; sample: 133Sep 2025: 37.9%; sample: 116Oct 2025: 48.8%; sample: 125Nov 2025: 18.4%; sample: 158Dec 2025: 21.8%; sample: 165Jan 2026: 37.9%; sample: 1322026Feb 2026: 22.7%; sample: 141Mar 2026: 26.2%; sample: 160Apr 2026: 23.3%; sample: 129May 2026: 26.3%; sample: 133Jun 2026: 32.5%; sample: 126Pandemic regime Jun 2020Summer 2022 breakdown Jul 2022NATS system failure Aug 2023Heathrow fire closure Mar 2025100%0%
Every month since 2018, including gaps and suppressed cells
MonthDisruption on arrivals
Jan 201818.9% of 244 movements
Feb 201827.9% of 229 movements
Mar 201834.7% of 245 movements
Apr 201837.6% of 237 movements
May 201844.6% of 242 movements
Jun 201849.3% of 229 movements
Jul 201843.6% of 218 movements
Aug 201841.6% of 219 movements
Sep 201836.3% of 237 movements
Oct 201834.6% of 254 movements
Nov 201818.5% of 243 movements
Dec 201828.3% of 237 movements
Jan 201923.0% of 248 movements
Feb 201917.6% of 227 movements
Mar 201938.5% of 252 movements
Apr 201936.9% of 236 movements
May 201951.8% of 247 movements
Jun 201949.8% of 225 movements
Jul 201940.3% of 216 movements
Aug 201939.4% of 213 movements
Sep 201949.1% of 224 movements
Oct 201941.7% of 247 movements
Nov 201924.9% of 245 movements
Dec 201923.9% of 247 movements
Jan 202011.3% of 248 movements
Feb 202032.3% of 232 movements
Mar 202021.2% of 165 movements
Apr 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
May 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jun 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jul 202013.8% of 29 movements — small sample, not ranked
Aug 20209.8% of 61 movements
Sep 2020no events in 30 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 20202.4% of 41 movements — small sample, not ranked
Nov 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Dec 2020suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Jan 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Feb 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Mar 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Apr 2021no data
May 2021no data
Jun 2021no data
Jul 2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movements
Aug 202143.6% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked
Sep 202110.2% of 49 movements — small sample, not ranked
Oct 202157.4% of 61 movements
Nov 202113.6% of 88 movements
Dec 202119.8% of 111 movements
Jan 202218.8% of 32 movements — small sample, not ranked
Feb 202232.2% of 118 movements
Mar 202226.0% of 154 movements
Apr 202255.8% of 154 movements
May 202248.5% of 167 movements
Jun 202248.4% of 159 movements
Jul 202248.0% of 100 movements
Aug 202230.2% of 139 movements
Sep 202250.7% of 148 movements
Oct 202231.9% of 119 movements
Nov 202216.0% of 131 movements
Dec 202242.4% of 132 movements
Jan 202321.0% of 119 movements
Feb 20239.6% of 156 movements
Mar 202337.4% of 174 movements
Apr 202337.0% of 165 movements
May 202348.9% of 188 movements
Jun 202348.3% of 178 movements
Jul 202332.3% of 158 movements
Aug 202335.8% of 159 movements
Sep 202339.1% of 179 movements
Oct 202337.7% of 191 movements
Nov 202316.4% of 183 movements
Dec 202333.7% of 184 movements
Jan 202423.8% of 151 movements
Feb 202423.2% of 168 movements
Mar 202424.9% of 189 movements
Apr 202429.8% of 168 movements
May 202429.8% of 178 movements
Jun 202423.9% of 163 movements
Jul 202435.1% of 154 movements
Aug 202418.7% of 155 movements
Sep 202439.8% of 171 movements
Oct 202430.7% of 166 movements
Nov 202428.8% of 146 movements
Dec 202439.0% of 164 movements
Jan 202534.6% of 127 movements
Feb 202536.7% of 139 movements
Mar 202519.9% of 161 movements
Apr 202514.8% of 135 movements
May 202525.6% of 129 movements
Jun 202530.9% of 123 movements
Jul 202540.7% of 135 movements
Aug 202533.1% of 133 movements
Sep 202537.9% of 116 movements
Oct 202548.8% of 125 movements
Nov 202518.4% of 158 movements
Dec 202521.8% of 165 movements
Jan 202637.9% of 132 movements
Feb 202622.7% of 141 movements
Mar 202626.2% of 160 movements
Apr 202623.3% of 129 movements
May 202626.3% of 133 movements
Jun 202632.5% of 126 movements

What did the big disruptions actually do here?

Each named event below is shown against this route’s own baseline for the twelve months before it, and against how long the route took to get back to that baseline.

A month worse than baseline is not proof the named event caused it: the open data carry no delay-cause field at all. Some events sit near the edge of the archive, which limits how long a recovery can be traced.

EventDirectionDisruption that monthBaseline beforeReturn to baseline
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Arrivalssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Pandemic regime · Jun 2020Departuressuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Arrivals48.0% of 100 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022Departures39.6% of 101 movementsno complete baselinenot enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Arrivals35.8% of 159 movements33.8% across 1,807 flightsreturned after 3 months
NATS system failure · Aug 2023Departures32.9% of 158 movements29.9% across 1,813 flightsreturned after 2 months
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Arrivals19.9% of 161 movements31.0% across 1,920 flightsreturned the next month
Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025Departures9.9% of 161 movements23.3% across 1,919 flightsreturned the next month
Definitions, denominators and limits

The baseline is the unweighted mean share over the twelve preceding calendar months. The return window is the following eight months, up to the end of the archive. Return means the first observed value at or below the baseline; it is not the duration of the disruption itself. If the event month is already below the baseline, counting still starts the month after. Gaps and suppressed cells are not treated as zeros or as recovery.

Which time of year has historically been hardest?

June has historically been the hardest month on this route: in a typical June, 48.3% of arrivals were disrupted, measured across 7 Junes in the archive. November has been the calmest, at 18.4% across 6 Novembers.

Even June has ranged from 23.9% to 49.8% in different years, so this is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what will. Lower is better throughout.

Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.

Seasonality: calendar month by year; share and nJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec201923.0% of 248 movements17.6% of 227 movements38.5% of 252 movements36.9% of 236 movements51.8% of 247 movements49.8% of 225 movements40.3% of 216 movements39.4% of 213 movements49.1% of 224 movements41.7% of 247 movements24.9% of 245 movements23.9% of 247 movements202011.3% of 248 movements32.3% of 232 movements21.2% of 165 movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements13.8% of 29 movements †9.8% of 61 movementsno events in 30 movements †2.4% of 41 movements †suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movements2021suppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementsno datano datano datasuppressed: fewer than twenty movements43.6% of 39 movements †10.2% of 49 movements †57.4% of 61 movements13.6% of 88 movements19.8% of 111 movements202218.8% of 32 movements †32.2% of 118 movements26.0% of 154 movements55.8% of 154 movements48.5% of 167 movements48.4% of 159 movements48.0% of 100 movements30.2% of 139 movements50.7% of 148 movements31.9% of 119 movements16.0% of 131 movements42.4% of 132 movements202321.0% of 119 movements9.6% of 156 movements37.4% of 174 movements37.0% of 165 movements48.9% of 188 movements48.3% of 178 movements32.3% of 158 movements35.8% of 159 movements39.1% of 179 movements37.7% of 191 movements16.4% of 183 movements33.7% of 184 movements202423.8% of 151 movements23.2% of 168 movements24.9% of 189 movements29.8% of 168 movements29.8% of 178 movements23.9% of 163 movements35.1% of 154 movements18.7% of 155 movements39.8% of 171 movements30.7% of 166 movements28.8% of 146 movements39.0% of 164 movements202534.6% of 127 movements36.7% of 139 movements19.9% of 161 movements14.8% of 135 movements25.6% of 129 movements30.9% of 123 movements40.7% of 135 movements33.1% of 133 movements37.9% of 116 movements48.8% of 125 movements18.4% of 158 movements21.8% of 165 movements202637.9% of 132 movements22.7% of 141 movements26.2% of 160 movements23.3% of 129 movements26.3% of 133 movements32.5% of 126 movementsno datano datano datano datano datano data
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
MonthMedianObserved rangeSample
Jan23.0%18.8–37.9%7 months, 1,053 flights
Feb23.2%9.6–36.7%7 months, 1,178 flights
Mar26.2%19.9–38.5%7 months, 1,335 flights
Apr36.9%14.8–55.8%7 months, 1,224 flights
May44.6%25.6–51.8%7 months, 1,284 flights
Jun48.3%23.9–49.8%7 months, 1,203 flights
Jul40.5%32.3–48.0%6 months, 981 flights
Aug34.5%18.7–41.6%6 months, 1,018 flights
Sep39.4%36.3–50.7%6 months, 1,075 flights
Oct36.2%30.7–48.8%6 months, 1,102 flights
Nov18.4%16.0–28.8%6 months, 1,106 flights
Dec31.0%21.8–42.4%6 months, 1,129 flights
Definitions, denominators and limits

The matrix shows the last eight calendar years, including an incomplete final year; the start of the archive is kept in the history above. Seasonal summaries use the whole available archive, excluding the pandemic regime 2020–2021; this is an observed range, not a forecast. Zero events, missing data and suppressed cells are marked separately. † marks a small sample, described but not ranked. For ranges the colour follows the upper bound.

Which airline has the better record here?

On the published record there is no clear winner: Easyjet Europe 20.1% of 134 movements, Easyjet Uk 31.0% of 1,518 movements. Observed shares differ; the mix of operations is not matched, so no causal conclusion follows.

Figures cover arrivals, July 2025 to June 2026; lower is better in every column. Carriers with fewer than twenty published flights are suppressed rather than shown as zero. The page makes no ranking: the operations behind these shares are not matched for aircraft, time of day or season.

Observed disruption share by optionEasyjet Europe20.1% of 134 flightsEasyjet Uk31.0% of 1,518 flights
Airline comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
AirlineOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Air Nigeriasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ba Cityflyersuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Airlinesuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Easyjet Europe13420.1% of 134 movements3.7% of 134 movements1.5% of 134 movementsdescriptive comparison
Easyjet Uk1,51831.0% of 1,518 movements1.5% of 1,518 movements0.6% of 1,518 movementsdescriptive comparison
El Alsuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Iberiasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Itali Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Vistajet Maltasuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Vueling Airlinessuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Wizz Air Uksuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed

The noise check is a descriptive approximation assuming independent operations. Delay correlation and mix differences are not estimated; no ranking is derived.

Would another UK airport have been better?

Among UK airports flying to this city with enough flights to publish, LCY had the lowest disruption share at 16.7% of 3,758 movements and BFS the highest at 41.3% of 213 movements. This route sits at 30.2% of 1,653 movements.

Each figure is arrivals into that UK airport, all carriers combined, over the same twelve months. It is a historical record, not a recommendation about where to fly from, and it says nothing about getting to or from each airport on the ground.

Observed disruption share by optionAbz ↔ Ams22.9% of 1,715 flightsBfs ↔ Ams41.3% of 213 flightsBhd ↔ Ams18.9% of 661 flightsBhx ↔ Ams26.0% of 2,325 flightsBrs ↔ Ams30.4% of 2,208 flightsCwl ↔ Ams22.2% of 729 flightsEdi ↔ Ams27.9% of 2,433 flightsExt ↔ Ams18.5% of 356 flights
Airport comparison table: operations, cancellations, three-hour delays and data quality
Other UK airport to the same cityOperationsDisruptionCancellations>180 minData quality
Abz ↔ Ams1,71522.9% of 1,715 movements4.2% of 1,715 movementsno events in 1,715 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bfs ↔ Ams21341.3% of 213 movements2.3% of 213 movements0.5% of 213 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhd ↔ Ams66118.9% of 661 movements2.1% of 661 movementsno events in 661 movementsdescriptive comparison
Bhx ↔ Ams2,32526.0% of 2,325 movements2.9% of 2,325 movements0.3% of 2,325 movementsdescriptive comparison
Boh ↔ Amssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Brs ↔ Ams2,20830.4% of 2,208 movements2.4% of 2,208 movements0.6% of 2,208 movementsdescriptive comparison
Cwl ↔ Ams72922.2% of 729 movements4.1% of 729 movements0.4% of 729 movementsdescriptive comparison
Doncaster-Sheffield ↔ Amssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Durham-Tees-Valley ↔ Amssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Edi ↔ Ams2,43327.9% of 2,433 movements2.7% of 2,433 movements0.4% of 2,433 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ema ↔ Amssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Ext ↔ Ams35618.5% of 356 movements4.2% of 356 movementsno events in 356 movementsdescriptive comparison
Gla ↔ Ams1,56025.7% of 1,560 movements2.2% of 1,560 movements0.3% of 1,560 movementsdescriptive comparison
Jer ↔ Amssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed: fewer than twenty movementssuppressed
Lba ↔ Ams1,13024.3% of 1,130 movements3.5% of 1,130 movements0.1% of 1,130 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lcy ↔ Ams3,75816.7% of 3,758 movements2.8% of 3,758 movements0.3% of 3,758 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lgw ↔ Ams1,82127.3% of 1,821 movements2.1% of 1,821 movements0.6% of 1,821 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lhr ↔ Ams5,65524.4% of 5,655 movements2.6% of 5,655 movements0.3% of 5,655 movementsdescriptive comparison
Lpl ↔ Ams39223.7% of 392 movements2.3% of 392 movements0.3% of 392 movementsdescriptive comparison
Man ↔ Ams3,77738.4% of 3,777 movements2.4% of 3,777 movements0.5% of 3,777 movementsdescriptive comparison
Mme ↔ Ams84623.0% of 846 movements4.3% of 846 movements0.4% of 846 movementsdescriptive comparison
Ncl ↔ Ams1,82928.0% of 1,829 movements1.6% of 1,829 movements0.5% of 1,829 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sen ↔ Ams25026.8% of 250 movements0.4% of 250 movementsno events in 250 movementsdescriptive comparison
Sou ↔ Ams78923.3% of 789 movements3.0% of 789 movements0.3% of 789 movementsdescriptive comparison
Stn ↔ Ams49325.4% of 493 movements2.2% of 493 movements0.2% of 493 movementsdescriptive comparison

Does the direction you are flying change anything?

Yes: arrivals into LTN ran 30.2% of 1,653 movements disrupted, departures 23.4% of 1,652 movements.

It matters legally as well as practically: a departure from the UK and an arrival into the UK on a UK or EU carrier fall under different conditions, and a departure delay does not establish a late arrival at your final destination.

Arrivals and departures side by side
DirectionDisruptionCancellationsOver three hours
Arrivals into LTN30.2% of 1,653 movements1.7% of 1,653 movements0.7% of 1,653 movements
Departures from LTN23.4% of 1,652 movements1.5% of 1,652 movements0.2% of 1,652 movements
Definitions, denominators and limits

CAA conditions on delays and cancellations.

How many flights here crossed the three-hour mark?

The table below counts arrivals and departures that ran more than three hours late — the threshold that is one of the conditions for compensation — across the whole archive and within the last six years.

The pound figure beside each count is arithmetic, not money anyone received: it is the count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for this distance band. Whether any of those flights actually qualified is not knowable from this data.

DirectionWindowFlights over three hoursArithmetic statutory ceiling
ArrivalsWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202690 flights out of 14,86290 × £220 = £19,800
ArrivalsLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202648 flights out of 8,55648 × £220 = £10,560
DeparturesWhole archive · Jan 2018–Jun 202655 flights out of 14,88055 × £220 = £12,100
DeparturesLast 72 months · Jul 2020–Jun 202618 flights out of 8,56818 × £220 = £3,960
Definitions, denominators and limits

Full formula: the count is the sum of the two tail buckets across months, carriers and service types in one direction; the ceiling is that count multiplied by the maximum statutory amount for the distance band. The condition is: if every such delay had been the carrier's fault and a claim had been filed on every one of them.

This is conditional arithmetic over operations: passenger numbers, legal applicability and the number of claims are all unknown. For departures it is an arithmetic scenario only, because arrival at the final point is not observed. For long routes the maximum ceiling is used; any reduction in the payable amount is not calculated.

The archive window is counted from the last month of data, not from today: this is not a limitation check for an individual case. The CAA states six years for England and Wales and five for Scotland. CAA: time limits and how to complain. Information, not a legal service.

The facts about this route

Route reference table: codes, distance, frequency, archive span
FieldValue
UK airportLUTON · LTN
Final point / countryAMSTERDAM / NETHERLANDS
Final point codesAMS / EHAM
Great-circle distance354 km
Maximum statutory amount for the band£220
Average operated arrivals per day4.45
Presence in the latest twelve-month windowoperations present in every month of the latest twelve-month window
First and last active monthJan 2018–Jun 2026
Months with operations in the archive94

origin_destination is the final point of the CAA service, not evidence of a nonstop connection. The distance joins the coordinates of the named airports; the actual track is unknown. Frequency describes published operations.

What this data cannot tell you

Delay cause is not published in the regulator's open data. Monthly aggregates describe a population, not a specific flight. Cells below twenty operations are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive only and not ranked. Arrivals and departures do not add up. Cancellations are short-notice only, by the CAA definition. A movement is not the same as a scheduled flight.

0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.

Data-quality counters for this route

Zero observed events does not mean zero risk. Operator coverage against the Summary file is not established in this record; comparisons are limited to the published population.

Unmatched records: 0; all recorded operations: 1,653; excluded by quarantine: 0.

Quick answers

How often is this route disrupted?

30.2% of 1,653 movements over July 2025 to June 2026. Arrivals into the UK airport; all published carriers.

How many flights are cancelled at short notice?

1.7% of 1,653 movements in the same window.

How many delays crossed three hours?

0.7% of 1,653 movements in the same window; these are observed movements, not a count of claims.

What does the delay distribution look like?

rare but severe. The class compares the tail with short delays across routes in the corpus.

What distance is used?

354 km, great-circle.

Can compensation entitlement be established here?

No. The cause and the circumstances of an individual flight are unknown. Official CAA conditions.

Why do some cells say "no data"?

That month is absent from the published series. Small cells carry a separate "suppressed" marker; a gap is never replaced by a zero.

How this was calculated

Dataset version, input hashes and reconstruction rules

Dataset version: 396da8dde2874f14; method route-record-v2.1.

Versioned register of every number and the entity map · Input hashes · Correction log · Reconstruction and formulas.

Reconstruction: integer counts inside the rounding bounds of shares of D, summing to M. Ambiguity is preserved as a range of feasible counts; non-convergence stays in quarantine. The map of codes and coordinates is pinned by hash alongside the data. Raw CSV files are not included in the published output.

Your trip has already gone wrong — what now?

The official route to complain

Contact the airline first, then the relevant ADR body or the CAA. The right to care is assessed separately from compensation; time limits and circumstances are checked case by case. CAA: how to complain.

Reconstruction and formulas

Open the versioned claim register

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