How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Air France
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 30.1% of 6,888 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 69.9% of 6,888 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
30.1% of 6,888 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.1% of 6,888 movements | 1.4% of 6,888 movements | 24.6–53.6 minutes; delayed denominator 1,976–4,022 | 0.4% of 6,888 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
0.4% of 6,888 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 1.4% of 6,888 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 28.7% of 6,888 movements | 3.5 |
| More than 30 minutes | 15.6% of 6,888 movements | 6.4 |
| More than 60 minutes | 5.9% of 6,888 movements | 17.0 |
| More than 120 minutes | 1.2% of 6,888 movements | 80.1 |
| More than 180 minutes | 0.4% of 6,888 movements | 275.5 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.0% of 6,888 movements | 3,444.0 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
1.2% of 6,888 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Jun 2020, 4.5% of 89 movements. Worst month: Mar 2021, 54.7% of 172 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 25.6% of 602 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 42.7% of 578 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 26.3% of 642 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 29.7% of 573 movements |
| May 2018 | 27.3% of 597 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 27.2% of 611 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 37.2% of 639 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 28.6% of 615 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 25.5% of 609 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 21.3% of 609 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 18.3% of 606 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 20.3% of 627 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 18.9% of 581 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 13.2% of 531 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 18.3% of 585 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 21.6% of 551 movements |
| May 2019 | 16.4% of 544 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 25.1% of 553 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 25.6% of 575 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 17.6% of 552 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 17.5% of 553 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 15.5% of 568 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 8.1% of 543 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 21.8% of 570 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 13.5% of 556 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 19.6% of 526 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 15.0% of 361 movements |
| Apr 2020 | 11.5% of 26 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| May 2020 | 13.9% of 36 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jun 2020 | 4.5% of 89 movements |
| Jul 2020 | 9.3% of 215 movements |
| Aug 2020 | 7.7% of 235 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 6.6% of 227 movements |
| Oct 2020 | 12.0% of 191 movements |
| Nov 2020 | 6.0% of 100 movements |
| Dec 2020 | 23.4% of 124 movements |
| Jan 2021 | 17.6% of 142 movements |
| Feb 2021 | 48.1% of 129 movements |
| Mar 2021 | 54.7% of 172 movements |
| Apr 2021 | 42.4% of 177 movements |
| May 2021 | 11.7% of 163 movements |
| Jun 2021 | 17.6% of 176 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 31.9% of 235 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 32.8% of 265 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 22.6% of 301 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 22.0% of 354 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 16.9% of 409 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 12.7% of 371 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 15.7% of 235 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 11.9% of 260 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 7.6% of 393 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 23.5% of 455 movements |
| May 2022 | 19.2% of 474 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 29.8% of 476 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 51.3% of 474 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 29.0% of 476 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 40.7% of 464 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 22.9% of 467 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 16.3% of 459 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 37.7% of 469 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 22.4% of 491 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 13.8% of 449 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 32.2% of 509 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 42.1% of 556 movements |
| May 2023 | 24.3% of 569 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 38.1% of 562 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 32.0% of 556 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 32.6% of 549 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 29.1% of 553 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 24.6% of 561 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 23.4% of 495 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 35.1% of 541 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 34.0% of 426 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 20.9% of 416 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 17.3% of 509 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 25.9% of 549 movements |
| May 2024 | 18.1% of 574 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 27.5% of 586 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 34.9% of 582 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 21.7% of 585 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 26.6% of 579 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 23.8% of 581 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 27.5% of 534 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 35.7% of 572 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 40.5% of 513 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 20.5% of 473 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 17.1% of 544 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 16.6% of 548 movements |
| May 2025 | 23.7% of 579 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 25.8% of 594 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 38.0% of 595 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 33.0% of 597 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 40.1% of 586 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 36.3% of 581 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 36.6% of 522 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 30.9% of 560 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 37.0% of 533 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 26.9% of 502 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 18.8% of 553 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 18.9% of 607 movements |
| May 2026 | 15.5% of 633 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 30.5% of 619 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | 4.5% of 89 movements | 17.1% across 5,419 flights | returned the next month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | 4.5% of 89 movements | 15.1% across 5,417 flights | returned the next month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 51.3% of 474 movements | 20.6% across 4,228 flights | returned after 4 months |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 68.0% of 472 movements | 29.1% across 4,218 flights | returned after 4 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 32.6% of 549 movements | 29.3% across 6,027 flights | returned the next month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 45.0% of 549 movements | 40.7% across 6,021 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 17.1% of 544 movements | 26.7% across 6,637 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 20.1% of 542 movements | 29.3% across 6,638 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Jul, 36.1% across 6 months. Lowest median: Mar, 18.3% across 7 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 25.6% | 15.7–40.5% | 7 months, 3,381 flights |
| Feb | 20.5% | 11.9–42.7% | 7 months, 3,209 flights |
| Mar | 18.3% | 7.6–32.2% | 7 months, 3,735 flights |
| Apr | 23.5% | 16.6–42.1% | 7 months, 3,839 flights |
| May | 19.2% | 15.5–27.3% | 7 months, 3,970 flights |
| Jun | 27.5% | 25.1–38.1% | 7 months, 4,001 flights |
| Jul | 36.1% | 25.6–51.3% | 6 months, 3,421 flights |
| Aug | 28.8% | 17.6–33.0% | 6 months, 3,374 flights |
| Sep | 27.9% | 17.5–40.7% | 6 months, 3,344 flights |
| Oct | 23.3% | 15.5–36.3% | 6 months, 3,367 flights |
| Nov | 20.9% | 8.1–36.6% | 6 months, 3,159 flights |
| Dec | 33.0% | 20.3–37.7% | 6 months, 3,339 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: LHR ↔ NICE, 19.7% of 117 movements. Highest disruption: MAN ↔ PARIS-CHARLES-DE-GAULLE, 40.1% of 1,245 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heathrow ↔ Nice | 19.7% of 117 movements | 0.9% of 117 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 27.0% of 185 movements | no events in 185 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 27.3% of 2,311 movements | 2.3% of 2,311 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Birmingham ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 27.5% of 1,203 movements | 1.3% of 1,203 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Newcastle ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 27.7% of 851 movements | 0.9% of 851 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 30.8% of 968 movements | 0.4% of 968 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester ↔ Paris (Charles De Gaulle) | 40.1% of 1,245 movements | 1.1% of 1,245 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
6 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 27.5% of 1,203 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh | 30.8% of 968 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick | 27.0% of 185 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow | 27.0% of 2,428 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 40.1% of 1,245 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Newcastle | 27.7% of 851 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
30.1% of 6,888 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 32.9% of 6,884 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
0.4% of 6,888 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Air France appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 47,719 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 33.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
30.1% of 6,888 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
1.4% of 6,888 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
24.6–53.6 minutes; delayed denominator 1,976–4,022
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.