How often are these flights late or cancelled?
Iceland
In the twelve months from July 2025 to June 2026, 18.4% of 3,621 movements arriving into the UK were disrupted — more than fifteen minutes late or cancelled at short notice.
Put the other way round, 81.6% of 3,621 movements met the fifteen-minute convention. These are historical observations, not a forecast.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
The four numbers at a glance
18.4% of 3,621 movements were disrupted over July 2025 to June 2026.
Average delay covers delayed movements only. Its range reflects rounded source means and the unknown count of exactly punctual movements.
| Disruption | Short-notice cancellations | Delay among delayed movements | Over three hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.4% of 3,621 movements | 1.4% of 3,621 movements | 25.2–69.8 minutes; delayed denominator 613–1,557 | 0.9% of 3,621 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
When late, how late?
0.9% of 3,621 movements passed the three-hour mark.
The ladder shows how many movements crossed each threshold. Cancellations are separate: 1.4% of 3,621 movements.
| Delay | Share and sample | One event per movements |
|---|---|---|
| More than 15 minutes | 16.9% of 3,621 movements | 5.9 |
| More than 30 minutes | 9.0% of 3,621 movements | 11.1 |
| More than 60 minutes | 4.2% of 3,621 movements | 23.7 |
| More than 120 minutes | 1.6% of 3,621 movements | 62.4 |
| More than 180 minutes | 0.9% of 3,621 movements | 113.2 |
| More than 360 minutes | 0.2% of 3,621 movements | 402.3 |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Slightly late or occasionally a disaster?
1.6% of 3,621 movements passed two hours.
The histogram shows the published delay bands. Bucket shares use all reported operations, including unmatched records; cancellations are reported separately.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Better or worse since the start of the archive?
Best month: Aug 2021, 4.4% of 114 movements. Worst month: Jun 2018, 50.4% of 345 movements.
The line traces every month. Lower disruption is better; gaps are never zeros. Pandemic readings describe a different operating regime.
Every monthly observation
| Month | Disruption on arrivals |
|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | 35.3% of 519 movements |
| Feb 2018 | 34.9% of 502 movements |
| Mar 2018 | 25.7% of 526 movements |
| Apr 2018 | 18.8% of 416 movements |
| May 2018 | 23.9% of 376 movements |
| Jun 2018 | 50.4% of 345 movements |
| Jul 2018 | 42.3% of 359 movements |
| Aug 2018 | 33.7% of 365 movements |
| Sep 2018 | 25.5% of 369 movements |
| Oct 2018 | 25.9% of 397 movements |
| Nov 2018 | 26.7% of 460 movements |
| Dec 2018 | 29.5% of 478 movements |
| Jan 2019 | 18.8% of 473 movements |
| Feb 2019 | 19.7% of 462 movements |
| Mar 2019 | 21.5% of 497 movements |
| Apr 2019 | 26.4% of 242 movements |
| May 2019 | 22.2% of 239 movements |
| Jun 2019 | 33.2% of 241 movements |
| Jul 2019 | 31.0% of 242 movements |
| Aug 2019 | 28.4% of 243 movements |
| Sep 2019 | 21.3% of 239 movements |
| Oct 2019 | 22.4% of 303 movements |
| Nov 2019 | 9.9% of 364 movements |
| Dec 2019 | 19.3% of 384 movements |
| Jan 2020 | 36.0% of 381 movements |
| Feb 2020 | 34.8% of 385 movements |
| Mar 2020 | 18.5% of 298 movements |
| Apr 2020 | 34.8% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| May 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jul 2020 | 12.3% of 65 movements |
| Aug 2020 | 8.3% of 84 movements |
| Sep 2020 | 6.4% of 47 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Oct 2020 | 8.6% of 58 movements |
| Nov 2020 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Dec 2020 | 17.4% of 23 movements — small sample, not ranked |
| Jan 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Feb 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Mar 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Apr 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| May 2021 | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements |
| Jun 2021 | 6.2% of 65 movements |
| Jul 2021 | 12.0% of 83 movements |
| Aug 2021 | 4.4% of 114 movements |
| Sep 2021 | 6.0% of 149 movements |
| Oct 2021 | 9.1% of 176 movements |
| Nov 2021 | 9.0% of 211 movements |
| Dec 2021 | 13.3% of 240 movements |
| Jan 2022 | 23.2% of 207 movements |
| Feb 2022 | 34.5% of 275 movements |
| Mar 2022 | 22.0% of 282 movements |
| Apr 2022 | 14.0% of 257 movements |
| May 2022 | 19.6% of 235 movements |
| Jun 2022 | 37.7% of 231 movements |
| Jul 2022 | 37.9% of 240 movements |
| Aug 2022 | 33.2% of 232 movements |
| Sep 2022 | 29.5% of 237 movements |
| Oct 2022 | 25.0% of 320 movements |
| Nov 2022 | 12.0% of 374 movements |
| Dec 2022 | 42.0% of 371 movements |
| Jan 2023 | 23.8% of 382 movements |
| Feb 2023 | 24.6% of 410 movements |
| Mar 2023 | 14.2% of 408 movements |
| Apr 2023 | 14.9% of 288 movements |
| May 2023 | 18.2% of 253 movements |
| Jun 2023 | 33.1% of 251 movements |
| Jul 2023 | 31.5% of 248 movements |
| Aug 2023 | 21.8% of 243 movements |
| Sep 2023 | 24.5% of 261 movements |
| Oct 2023 | 22.4% of 348 movements |
| Nov 2023 | 11.1% of 488 movements |
| Dec 2023 | 37.2% of 478 movements |
| Jan 2024 | 19.5% of 436 movements |
| Feb 2024 | 20.9% of 484 movements |
| Mar 2024 | 11.7% of 471 movements |
| Apr 2024 | 12.3% of 277 movements |
| May 2024 | 19.6% of 245 movements |
| Jun 2024 | 14.4% of 236 movements |
| Jul 2024 | 26.2% of 237 movements |
| Aug 2024 | 21.6% of 232 movements |
| Sep 2024 | 18.4% of 239 movements |
| Oct 2024 | 17.4% of 316 movements |
| Nov 2024 | 14.7% of 422 movements |
| Dec 2024 | 35.2% of 415 movements |
| Jan 2025 | 27.7% of 397 movements |
| Feb 2025 | 20.8% of 419 movements |
| Mar 2025 | 11.0% of 426 movements |
| Apr 2025 | 7.0% of 302 movements |
| May 2025 | 17.3% of 249 movements |
| Jun 2025 | 9.5% of 231 movements |
| Jul 2025 | 19.2% of 229 movements |
| Aug 2025 | 17.4% of 236 movements |
| Sep 2025 | 15.5% of 233 movements |
| Oct 2025 | 24.2% of 310 movements |
| Nov 2025 | 12.3% of 389 movements |
| Dec 2025 | 26.7% of 371 movements |
| Jan 2026 | 17.4% of 350 movements |
| Feb 2026 | 12.9% of 372 movements |
| Mar 2026 | 24.1% of 402 movements |
| Apr 2026 | 16.5% of 273 movements |
| May 2026 | 11.9% of 227 movements |
| Jun 2026 | 19.2% of 229 movements |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What did the big disruptions do here?
Each event is compared with the twelve preceding calendar months and the first later return to baseline.
A worse month is not proof the named event caused it. The open data carry no delay-cause field. Recovery is observed for at most eight subsequent months.
| Event | Direction | Disruption that month | Baseline before | Return to baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Arrivals | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Pandemic regime · Jun 2020 | Departures | suppressed: fewer than twenty movements | no complete baseline | not enough data: needs a complete baseline and a publishable event month |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Arrivals | 37.9% of 240 movements | 17.1% across 2,460 flights | returned after 4 months |
| Summer 2022 breakdown · Jul 2022 | Departures | 51.5% of 239 movements | 16.9% across 2,455 flights | returned after 4 months |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Arrivals | 21.8% of 243 movements | 25.2% across 3,774 flights | returned the next month |
| NATS system failure · Aug 2023 | Departures | 32.4% of 244 movements | 27.1% across 3,774 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Arrivals | 11.0% of 426 movements | 20.0% across 3,906 flights | returned the next month |
| Heathrow fire closure · Mar 2025 | Departures | 12.0% of 424 movements | 20.5% across 3,912 flights | returned the next month |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which time of year has been hardest?
Highest median: Jun, 33.1% across 7 months. Lowest median: Nov, 12.2% across 6 months.
Even the same calendar month differs across years. This is a record, not a forecast; pandemic years are excluded from the summaries.
Each cell is one calendar month of one year; the number is the share of that month’s arrivals that were disrupted. Darker means worse. A blank cell means no published data, not zero.
Month-by-month table: median, observed range and sample
| Month | Median | Observed range | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 23.2% | 17.4–35.3% | 7 months, 2,764 flights |
| Feb | 20.9% | 12.9–34.9% | 7 months, 2,924 flights |
| Mar | 21.5% | 11.0–25.7% | 7 months, 3,012 flights |
| Apr | 14.9% | 7.0–26.4% | 7 months, 2,055 flights |
| May | 19.6% | 11.9–23.9% | 7 months, 1,824 flights |
| Jun | 33.1% | 9.5–50.4% | 7 months, 1,764 flights |
| Jul | 31.2% | 19.2–42.3% | 6 months, 1,555 flights |
| Aug | 25.1% | 17.4–33.7% | 6 months, 1,551 flights |
| Sep | 22.9% | 15.5–29.5% | 6 months, 1,578 flights |
| Oct | 23.3% | 17.4–25.9% | 6 months, 1,994 flights |
| Nov | 12.2% | 9.9–26.7% | 6 months, 2,497 flights |
| Dec | 32.3% | 19.3–42.0% | 6 months, 2,497 flights |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which routes have the best and worst record?
Lowest disruption: BHX ↔ KEFLAVIK, 13.8% of 87 movements. Highest disruption: STN ↔ KEFLAVIK, 25.3% of 95 movements.
The airline table uses this carrier on each route; airport and country tables combine carriers. Each figure is arrivals into its UK airport. Only sufficiently large exact samples enter the ordered comparison.
All route comparisons and sample flags
| Route | Disruption | Cancellations | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHX ↔ KEFLAVIK | 13.8% of 87 movements | no events in 87 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow ↔ Keflavik | 14.6% of 1,106 movements | 0.9% of 1,106 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick ↔ Keflavik | 18.0% of 618 movements | 1.8% of 618 movements | descriptive comparison |
| EDI ↔ KEFLAVIK | 18.0% of 283 movements | 1.1% of 283 movements | descriptive comparison |
| GLA ↔ KEFLAVIK | 18.3% of 360 movements | 1.9% of 360 movements | descriptive comparison |
| BRS ↔ KEFLAVIK | 18.5% of 65 movements | no events in 65 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LTN ↔ KEFLAVIK | 22.0% of 246 movements | 1.2% of 246 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester ↔ Keflavik | 22.5% of 617 movements | 0.8% of 617 movements | descriptive comparison |
| LGW ↔ AKUREYRI | 23.7% of 59 movements | no events in 59 movements | descriptive comparison |
| STN ↔ KEFLAVIK | 25.3% of 95 movements | 13.7% of 95 movements | descriptive comparison |
| MAN ↔ AKUREYRI | 33.3% of 39 movements — small sample, not ranked | no events in 39 movements — small sample, not ranked | small sample; not ranked |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Which UK airports appear in this record?
9 published groups have enough arrivals to describe.
These operations are not matched for season, aircraft or time of day. The table makes no causal comparison.
| UK airport | Disruption | Sample flag |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 13.8% of 87 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Bristol | 18.5% of 65 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Edinburgh | 18.0% of 284 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Glasgow | 18.3% of 360 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Gatwick | 18.5% of 677 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Heathrow | 14.6% of 1,106 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Luton | 22.0% of 246 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Manchester | 23.2% of 656 movements | descriptive comparison |
| Stansted | 25.3% of 95 movements | descriptive comparison |
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Arrivals vs departures
18.4% of 3,621 movements arrivals were disrupted, against 19.2% of 3,627 movements departures.
The directions have separate denominators. A departure delay does not establish late arrival at the final destination; legal conditions differ by direction and carrier.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Movements past the three-hour mark
0.9% of 3,621 movements were more than three hours late over July 2025 to June 2026.
Cancellation is counted separately and is not a three-hour delay. Monthly counts cannot establish a passenger claim.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Facts about this record
Iceland appears from Jan 2018 to Jun 2026 with 28,506 arrivals.
The bounds describe the published record, not every commercial service. Final point is not necessarily a nonstop destination.
Archive route pairs: 48.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
What this data cannot tell you
Delay cause, individual passenger experience, commercial decisions and future performance are not established here.
Also absent are aircraft type, within-month time-of-day splits and cancellations made ahead of the short-notice reporting window.
0 operations (0.00%) excluded because their published percentages could not be reconciled to whole numbers. Excluded operations enter neither the numerator nor the denominator. Outcome figures and comparisons are unavailable when the excluded share exceeds fifteen percent.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Quick answers
These answers use the same populations and window as the tables above.
Every percentage retains its denominator.
How disrupted are these arrivals?
18.4% of 3,621 movements over July 2025 to June 2026.
How often are they cancelled?
1.4% of 3,621 movements at short notice.
How late is late?
25.2–69.8 minutes; delayed denominator 613–1,557
Are services improving?
The monthly line records past changes; it is not a forecast or a causal comparison.
Which routes are compared?
The route table uses separately identified UK airport and final-point pairs, with small samples flagged.
Does this cover my flight?
Only published aggregate movements; the circumstances of any individual flight are unknown.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
How this was calculated
Source: CAA punctuality statistics · snapshot 17/08/2026 10:24 · method route-record-v2.1 · Versioned claims, formulas and entity mapping.
Integer bucket counts are recovered from rounding intervals over D=M+C+U with their sum constrained to M. Ambiguous counts remain ranges; failed reconciliation is quarantined.
Definitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.
Your trip has already gone wrong
The monthly line and events table show whether your month was typical or unusual in the published record.
Nothing here decides an individual case or what a passenger may be owed.
CAA: the official route to complainDefinitions, denominators and limits
Arrivals into UK reporting airports only unless labelled departures. Denominator: operated movements plus short-notice cancellations (M+C). A movement is not a scheduled flight. Unmatched records are data quality, not outcomes. Cells below twenty movements are suppressed; twenty to forty-nine are descriptive and not ranked.